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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Magic53%95106
1276ers47%94100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
41.7
34.8
23
89%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
5-8
63%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.9
40.0
35.1
23
82%
6
7
1
1
0
3
0
6
6-7
86%
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
32.8
35.6
12
57%
8
0
0
1
3
3
2
6
4-8
50%
4-7
7-13
57%
58%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
31.4
30.6
18
48%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
4-12
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
27.4
29.2
11
50%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-6
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
20.6
16.8
7
39%
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
15.2
9.5
6
100%
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
13.8
15.8
4
58%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
13.2
17.4
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
4.0
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
3.9
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
45.4
40.1
22
46%
5
4
1
2
0
0
1
4
4-7
57%
6-17
5-11
35%
50%
2-4
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.7
41.0
34.8
18
54%
2
0
2
1
1
3
2
0
4-4
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
38.3
34.5
23
73%
8
7
1
1
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
10-13
6-12
77%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.6
34.8
22.8
19
62%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
3-3
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
2-2
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
16.2
29.5
8
68%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.8
20.1
19.7
3
52%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.9
13.6
3.6
2
53%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
13.3
22.8
0
0%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
10.0
16.8
3
75%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.6
7.3
11.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.8
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 30.0
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.