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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets57%96102
16Bulls43%94105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
42.8
35.0
32
67%
6
1
3
2
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
7-12
4-9
58%
46%
6-12
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
40.6
32.9
16
74%
12
2
1
1
0
5
3
9
2-2
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
39.4
36.4
6
50%
9
1
0
1
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-6
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
35.4
29.1
8
39%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
3-8
25%
46%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
34.5
35.1
17
52%
7
1
0
0
3
1
1
6
5-5
100%
6-14
8-14
43%
54%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
23.0
20.0
11
46%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
16.0
16.6
10
85%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
8.3
9.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
11.4
1
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
6.0
0
1-2
56%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
40.0
31.3
22
48%
8
7
1
1
0
2
3
5
2-4
50%
10-19
6-12
53%
48%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
32.6
27.6
10
57%
15
3
0
1
2
1
5
10
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
28.6
32.8
16
56%
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
27.6
24.7
19
55%
9
0
2
1
2
1
4
5
1-3
33%
9-15
4-8
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
15.0
30.4
6
40%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
39.1
26.8
12
51%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
28.5
20.1
11
70%
4
4
3
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
21.3
21.9
7
39%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
7.3
15.2
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
5.8
0
1-1
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
3.2
0
0-0
39%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.0
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.