Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 2, 2009

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	15	Hawks	57%	97	98
	26	Wizards	43%	95	89

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	112.6	87	90.3
WAS	103.5	86	83.0

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-11

WAS

+16

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

WAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		98 100%	89 0%
Q4 - 0:18.0	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	98 99.9%	89 0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	98 99.9%	88 0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0	WAS	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0	ATL	MISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 2	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0	ATL	MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0	WAS	McGee Reverse Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Crittenton 3 AST)	98 99.9%	87 0.1%
Q4 - 1:01	ATL	Jones 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 13 AST)	98 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:24	WAS	Jamison Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)	96 99.9%	85 0.1%
Q4 - 1:33	ATL	Law Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	96 99.7%	85 0.3%
Q4 - 1:33	ATL	Law Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	95 99.7%	85 0.3%
Q4 - 1:35	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	94 99.7%	83 0.3%
Q4 - 1:37	WAS	MISS McGuire 1' Layup	94 99.8%	83 0.2%
Q4 - 1:40	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	94 99.6%	83 0.4%
Q4 - 1:40	WAS	MISS Crittenton 1' Layup	94 99.7%	83 0.3%
Q4 - 1:46	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	94 99.6%	83 0.4%
Q4 - 1:47	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	94 99.6%	83 0.4%
Q4 - 2:13	WAS	Crittenton 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	94 99.8%	83 0.2%
Q4 - 2:16	WAS	Crittenton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	94 99.8%	81 0.2%
Q4 - 2:17	WAS	MISS McGuire 1' Layup	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	94 99.8%	81 0.2%
Q4 - 2:34	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:34	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:35	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:37	ATL	McGee BLOCK (3 BLK)	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	WAS	McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	94 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:55	ATL	McGuire STEAL (2 STL)	94 99.7%	81 0.3%
Q4 - 3:20	WAS	McGuire 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	94 99.8%	81 0.2%
Q4 - 3:50	ATL	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Johnson 12 AST)	94 99.7%	79 0.3%
Q4 - 4:07	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	91 99.4%	79 0.6%
Q4 - 4:09	WAS	MISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot	91 99.3%	79 0.7%
Q4 - 4:20	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	91 99.1%	79 0.9%
Q4 - 4:20	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	90 99.1%	79 0.9%
Q4 - 4:34	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	89 98.8%	79 1.2%
Q4 - 4:34	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	89 98.9%	78 1.1%
Q4 - 4:45	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	89 99.2%	77 0.8%
Q4 - 4:46	ATL	MISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot	89 99.3%	77 0.7%
Q4 - 5:05	WAS	Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)	89 98.9%	77 1.1%
Q4 - 5:27	ATL	Smith 10' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)	89 99.4%	74 0.6%
Q4 - 5:42	WAS	McGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	87 99.2%	74 0.8%
Q4 - 5:54	ATL	Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)	87 99.6%	71 0.4%
Q4 - 6:17	WAS	McGee 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)	85 99.1%	71 0.9%
Q4 - 6:31	ATL	Johnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)	85 99.3%	69 0.7%
Q4 - 6:54	WAS	James Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)	83 99.1%	69 0.9%
Q4 - 7:07	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	83 98.3%	69 1.7%
Q4 - 7:08	WAS	MISS James 18' Jump Shot	83 98.6%	69 1.4%
Q4 - 7:17	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	83 98.3%	69 1.7%
Q4 - 7:17	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	82 98.2%	69 1.8%
Q4 - 7:35	WAS	James 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	81 97.9%	69 2.1%
Q4 - 7:58	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)	81 98.4%	67 1.6%
Q4 - 8:02	WAS	Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	78 96.4%	67 3.6%
Q4 - 8:15	ATL	Murray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	78 95.5%	67 4.5%
Q4 - 8:34	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	78 96.5%	67 3.5%
Q4 - 8:36	WAS	MISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2	78 96.4%	67 3.6%
Q4 - 8:36	WAS	MISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2	78 95.8%	67 4.2%
Q4 - 8:51	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	78 95.6%	67 4.4%
Q4 - 8:51	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	77 95.4%	67 4.6%
Q4 - 9:02	WAS	Songaila 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Crittenton 2 AST)	77 94.6%	67 5.4%
Q4 - 9:17	ATL	Pachulia 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)	77 95.8%	65 4.2%
Q4 - 9:21	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	75 94.6%	65 5.4%
Q4 - 9:23	WAS	MISS McGee 8' Jump Shot	75 94.3%	65 5.7%
Q4 - 9:43	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	75 93.4%	65 6.6%
Q4 - 9:44	ATL	MISS Murray 13' Jump Shot	75 93.8%	65 6.2%
Q4 - 10:02	WAS	Songaila Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	75 93.8%	65 6.2%
Q4 - 10:02	WAS	Songaila Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	75 94.0%	64 6.0%
Q4 - 10:38	ATL	Williams 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	75 95.1%	63 4.9%
Q4 - 10:54	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	73 93.9%	63 6.1%
Q4 - 10:55	WAS	MISS Crittenton 21' Jump Shot	73 93.5%	63 6.5%
Q4 - 11:16	ATL	Williams 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)	73 91.6%	63 8.4%
Q4 - 11:35	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	71 89.7%	63 10.3%
Q4 - 11:37	WAS	MISS Young 11' Jump Shot	71 89.1%	63 10.9%
Q4 - 11:42	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 87.7%	63 12.3%
Q4 - 11:45	ATL	McGuire BLOCK (1 BLK)	71 88.4%	63 11.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		71 89.8%	63 10.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	71 89.8%	63 10.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	MISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot	71 87.4%	63 12.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0	WAS	WIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)	71 88.7%	63 11.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	71 86.7%	63 13.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0	WAS	MISS Young 18' Jump Shot	71 88.1%	63 11.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0	ATL	Murray 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	71 86.8%	63 13.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	69 84.0%	63 16.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0	WAS	MISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot	69 83.2%	63 16.8%
Q3 - 1:00	ATL	Pachulia Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)	69 81.4%	63 18.6%
Q3 - 1:23	WAS	Blatche 1' Layup (12 PTS)	67 76.9%	63 23.1%
Q3 - 1:25	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	67 80.5%	61 19.5%
Q3 - 1:26	WAS	MISS Crittenton 2' Layup	67 82.4%	61 17.6%
Q3 - 1:31	WAS	Crittenton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	67 80.5%	61 19.5%
Q3 - 1:32	ATL	MISS Murray 8' Jump Shot	67 81.4%	61 18.6%
Q3 - 1:43	ATL	Murray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	67 83.2%	61 16.8%
Q3 - 1:44	WAS	MISS Blatche 13' Jump Shot	67 82.4%	61 17.6%
Q3 - 2:06	ATL	Horford 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)	67 79.6%	61 20.4%
Q3 - 2:28	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	65 76.4%	61 23.6%
Q3 - 2:28	WAS	MISS James 18' Jump Shot	65 75.3%	61 24.7%
Q3 - 2:46	ATL	Bibby 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)	65 72.9%	61 27.1%
Q3 - 2:57	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	63 69.0%	61 31.0%
Q3 - 2:59	WAS	MISS Jamison 2' Layup	63 67.7%	61 32.3%
Q3 - 3:19	ATL	Williams 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)	63 64.9%	61 35.1%
Q3 - 3:48	WAS	Jamison Running Layup (19 PTS) (James 3 AST)	61 60.9%	61 39.1%
Q3 - 3:53	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	61 64.9%	59 35.1%
Q3 - 3:56	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	61 66.2%	59 33.8%
Q3 - 4:10	WAS	Jamison 6' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 2 AST)	61 68.9%	59 31.1%
Q3 - 4:25	ATL	Smith Foul Turnover (P4.T9)	61 72.0%	57 28.0%
Q3 - 4:31	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	61 75.9%	57 24.1%
Q3 - 4:33	WAS	MISS Blatche 10' Jump Shot	61 74.7%	57 25.3%
Q3 - 4:56	ATL	Horford 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)	61 72.0%	57 28.0%
Q3 - 5:14	WAS	McGuire 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	59 68.2%	57 31.8%
Q3 - 5:39	ATL	Johnson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	59 71.3%	55 28.7%
Q3 - 5:58	WAS	Blatche Dunk (10 PTS)	57 68.3%	55 31.7%
Q3 - 6:03	ATL	Blatche STEAL (1 STL)	57 71.2%	53 28.8%
Q3 - 6:07	WAS	Songaila Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	57 74.6%	53 25.4%
Q3 - 6:17	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	57 71.2%	53 28.8%
Q3 - 6:18	ATL	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	57 72.2%	53 27.8%
Q3 - 6:26	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	57 74.6%	53 25.4%
Q3 - 6:27	WAS	MISS Blatche 11' Jump Shot	57 73.6%	53 26.4%
Q3 - 6:45	ATL	Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	57 71.2%	53 28.8%
Q3 - 6:45	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	56 70.4%	53 29.6%
Q3 - 7:04	WAS	Songaila 1' Layup (8 PTS) (McGuire 9 AST)	55 67.3%	53 32.7%
Q3 - 7:12	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	55 70.5%	51 29.5%
Q3 - 7:15	ATL	Blatche BLOCK (1 BLK)	55 71.5%	51 28.5%
Q3 - 7:16	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	55 73.7%	51 26.3%
Q3 - 7:17	ATL	Songaila BLOCK (1 BLK)	55 71.5%	51 28.5%
Q3 - 7:25	ATL	Hawks Rebound	55 73.8%	51 26.2%
Q3 - 7:26	ATL	MISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot	55 71.6%	51 28.4%
Q3 - 7:30	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	55 73.8%	51 26.2%
Q3 - 7:31	WAS	MISS James 1' Layup	55 72.8%	51 27.2%
Q3 - 7:34	WAS	James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	55 70.6%	51 29.4%
Q3 - 7:35	WAS	MISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot	55 72.8%	51 27.2%
Q3 - 7:51	ATL	Williams 12' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 10 AST)	55 70.6%	51 29.4%
Q3 - 8:08	WAS	Songaila 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 4 AST)	53 67.2%	51 32.8%
Q3 - 8:24	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	53 70.1%	49 29.9%
Q3 - 8:25	ATL	MISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot	53 71.2%	49 28.8%
Q3 - 8:43	WAS	Jamison 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	53 73.4%	49 26.6%
Q3 - 9:04	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	53 75.9%	47 24.1%
Q3 - 9:19	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 78.6%	47 21.4%
Q3 - 9:20	WAS	MISS Blatche 4' Jump Shot	53 77.8%	47 22.2%
Q3 - 9:42	ATL	Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	53 75.9%	47 24.1%
Q3 - 9:51	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	50 70.2%	47 29.8%
Q3 - 9:52	WAS	MISS Jamison 9' Jump Shot	50 69.2%	47 30.8%
Q3 - 10:20	ATL	Johnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)	50 66.8%	47 33.2%
Q3 - 10:39	WAS	Songaila 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)	48 63.6%	47 36.4%
Q3 - 11:02	ATL	Smith Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	48 66.8%	45 33.2%
Q3 - 11:07	WAS	McGuire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	46 63.8%	45 36.2%
Q3 - 11:25	WAS	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	46 60.3%	45 39.7%
Q3 - 11:26	ATL	MISS Smith 2' Layup	46 61.4%	45 38.6%
Q3 - 11:36	WAS	Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	46 63.8%	45 36.2%
Q3 - 11:39	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	46 60.3%	45 39.7%
Q3 - 11:40	WAS	MISS James 5' Jump Shot	46 62.8%	45 37.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS		46 60.3%	45 39.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	46 60.3%	45 39.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	WAS	MISS James 20' Jump Shot	46 62.7%	45 37.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0	ATL	Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)	46 61.1%	45 38.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	43 53.7%	45 46.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0	WAS	MISS Jamison 3' Layup	43 52.9%	45 47.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	43 51.1%	45 48.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0	WAS	MISS Jamison 3' Jump Shot	43 52.9%	45 47.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	43 51.1%	45 48.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0	ATL	MISS Williams 3' Jump Shot	43 51.9%	45 48.1%
Q2 - 1:02	WAS	Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGuire 8 AST)	43 53.9%	45 46.1%
Q2 - 1:16	ATL	Johnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	43 61.2%	42 38.8%
Q2 - 1:38	WAS	James 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)	43 63.4%	42 36.6%
Q2 - 1:38	WAS	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43 67.2%	40 32.8%
Q2 - 1:39	WAS	MISS Crittenton 2' Layup	43 68.7%	40 31.3%
Q2 - 1:44	WAS	Crittenton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	43 67.2%	40 32.8%
Q2 - 1:45	ATL	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	43 67.9%	40 32.1%
Q2 - 2:00	ATL	Hawks Rebound	43 69.3%	40 30.7%
Q2 - 2:01	WAS	MISS McGee 2' Layup	43 68.6%	40 31.4%
Q2 - 2:06	WAS	Crittenton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	43 66.6%	40 33.4%
Q2 - 2:07	ATL	MISS Smith 10' Jump Shot	43 67.5%	40 32.5%
Q2 - 2:23	WAS	Crittenton 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)	43 69.5%	40 30.5%
Q2 - 2:27	WAS	Crittenton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	43 72.1%	38 27.9%
Q2 - 2:29	WAS	MISS Jamison 2' Layup	43 73.9%	38 26.1%
Q2 - 2:47	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	43 72.1%	38 27.9%
Q2 - 2:49	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43 72.9%	38 27.1%
Q2 - 2:56	ATL	Johnson Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)	43 74.6%	38 25.4%
Q2 - 3:13	WAS	McGee Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	42 72.3%	38 27.7%
Q2 - 3:33	ATL	Horford Layup (10 PTS)	42 76.6%	35 23.4%
Q2 - 3:35	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	40 74.7%	35 25.3%
Q2 - 3:36	ATL	MISS Smith 7' Jump Shot	40 72.7%	35 27.3%
Q2 - 3:58	WAS	Jamison Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (McGuire 7 AST)	40 74.7%	35 25.3%
Q2 - 4:12	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	40 76.4%	33 23.6%
Q2 - 4:12	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	39 76.0%	33 23.9%
Q2 - 4:33	WAS	Crittenton Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (McGuire 6 AST)	38 74.3%	33 25.7%
Q2 - 4:37	ATL	McGuire STEAL (1 STL)	38 76.4%	31 23.6%
Q2 - 4:52	WAS	James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	38 78.7%	31 21.3%
Q2 - 5:16	ATL	Horford Palming Turnover (P1.T4)	38 76.4%	31 23.6%
Q2 - 5:31	WAS	McGee 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Crittenton 1 AST)	38 78.4%	31 21.6%
Q2 - 5:46	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	38 80.4%	29 19.6%
Q2 - 5:46	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2	37 79.8%	29 20.2%
Q2 - 5:49	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 80.3%	29 19.7%
Q2 - 5:50	ATL	MISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot	37 79.0%	29 21.0%
Q2 - 6:04	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 79.9%	29 20.1%
Q2 - 6:05	WAS	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	37 79.6%	29 20.4%
Q2 - 6:05	WAS	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	37 78.3%	29 21.7%
Q2 - 6:34	ATL	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	37 79.7%	28 20.3%
Q2 - 7:00	WAS	James 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	35 78.1%	28 21.9%
Q2 - 7:22	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	35 79.6%	26 20.4%
Q2 - 7:22	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	34 79.2%	26 20.8%
Q2 - 7:27	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	33 77.8%	26 22.2%
Q2 - 7:28	WAS	MISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot	33 77.2%	26 22.8%
Q2 - 7:45	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	33 75.7%	26 24.3%
Q2 - 7:47	ATL	MISS Horford 12' Jump Shot	33 76.3%	26 23.7%
Q2 - 8:02	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 77.2%	26 22.8%
Q2 - 8:03	WAS	MISS Songaila 2' Layup	33 76.6%	26 23.4%
Q2 - 8:27	ATL	Murray 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	33 75.3%	26 24.7%
Q2 - 8:43	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 73.2%	26 26.8%
Q2 - 8:44	WAS	MISS Songaila 1' Layup	31 72.5%	26 27.5%
Q2 - 8:49	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 71.1%	26 28.9%
Q2 - 8:51	ATL	McGee BLOCK (2 BLK)	31 71.7%	26 28.3%
Q2 - 9:11	WAS	Crittenton 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (McGuire 5 AST)	31 72.8%	26 27.2%
Q2 - 9:17	WAS	McGuire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 74.9%	24 25.1%
Q2 - 9:18	ATL	McGee BLOCK (1 BLK)	31 75.5%	24 24.5%
Q2 - 9:38	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 76.9%	24 23.1%
Q2 - 9:40	WAS	MISS Songaila 20' Jump Shot	31 76.3%	24 23.7%
Q2 - 10:02	ATL	Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)	31 74.5%	24 25.5%
Q2 - 10:16	WAS	Crittenton 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)	28 70.4%	24 29.6%
Q2 - 10:22	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	28 72.5%	22 27.5%
Q2 - 10:24	ATL	MISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28 73.1%	22 26.9%
Q2 - 10:29	WAS	Young Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	28 74.6%	22 25.4%
Q2 - 10:51	ATL	Horford 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	28 72.5%	22 27.5%
Q2 - 10:59	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	26 70.4%	22 29.6%
Q2 - 11:00	WAS	MISS McGuire 15' Jump Shot	26 69.7%	22 30.3%
Q2 - 11:23	ATL	Williams 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)	26 67.8%	22 32.2%
Q2 - 11:41	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 65.6%	22 34.4%
Q2 - 11:42	WAS	MISS Young 21' Jump Shot	24 64.8%	22 35.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS		24 63.2%	22 36.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	24 63.2%	22 36.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS James 36' 3PT Jump Shot	24 64.9%	22 35.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0	ATL	James STEAL (1 STL)	24 63.2%	22 36.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0	WAS	James 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	24 64.9%	22 35.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	24 67.7%	20 32.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	23 67.2%	20 32.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0	WAS	McGee 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGuire 4 AST)	22 64.9%	20 35.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	22 67.7%	18 32.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0	ATL	MISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot	22 68.2%	18 31.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 69.3%	18 30.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0	WAS	MISS McGee 5' Jump Shot	22 68.8%	18 31.2%
Q1 - 1:09	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 67.6%	18 32.4%
Q1 - 1:10	ATL	MISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot	22 68.0%	18 32.0%
Q1 - 1:26	WAS	Jamison 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGuire 3 AST)	22 69.0%	18 31.0%
Q1 - 1:47	ATL	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	22 71.6%	16 28.4%
Q1 - 2:08	WAS	Blatche 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	19 66.9%	16 33.1%
Q1 - 2:18	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	19 69.3%	14 30.7%
Q1 - 2:19	WAS	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	19 70.4%	14 29.6%
Q1 - 2:39	ATL	Horford 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	19 69.3%	14 30.7%
Q1 - 2:47	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17 66.9%	14 33.1%
Q1 - 2:49	WAS	MISS Jamison Layup	17 66.4%	14 33.6%
Q1 - 2:57	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 65.3%	14 34.7%
Q1 - 2:58	ATL	MISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot	17 65.8%	14 34.2%
Q1 - 3:14	WAS	Jamison 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (McGuire 2 AST)	17 67.3%	14 32.7%
Q1 - 3:28	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 69.3%	12 30.7%
Q1 - 3:29	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	17 69.5%	12 30.5%
Q1 - 3:52	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	15 67.3%	12 32.7%
Q1 - 3:52	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	15 67.7%	11 32.3%
Q1 - 4:13	ATL	Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	15 68.9%	10 31.1%
Q1 - 4:38	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 65.1%	10 34.9%
Q1 - 4:39	WAS	MISS Songaila 1' Layup	12 64.4%	10 35.6%
Q1 - 4:57	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 62.9%	10 37.0%
Q1 - 4:58	ATL	MISS Horford 3' Layup	12 63.6%	10 36.4%
Q1 - 5:14	ATL	Bibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 64.7%	10 35.3%
Q1 - 5:15	WAS	MISS McGuire 1' Layup	12 64.1%	10 35.9%
Q1 - 5:33	ATL	Williams 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	12 62.5%	10 37.5%
Q1 - 5:47	WAS	Songaila Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	10 60.7%	10 39.3%
Q1 - 5:51	WAS	Songaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 58.4%	10 41.6%
Q1 - 5:52	WAS	MISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot	10 60.0%	10 40.0%
Q1 - 6:03	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 58.6%	10 41.4%
Q1 - 6:04	ATL	MISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot	10 59.3%	10 40.7%
Q1 - 6:25	WAS	James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	10 60.7%	10 39.3%
Q1 - 6:30	WAS	Jamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 58.6%	10 41.4%
Q1 - 6:31	ATL	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	10 59.3%	10 40.7%
Q1 - 6:43	WAS	Songaila 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McGuire 1 AST)	10 60.7%	10 39.3%
Q1 - 6:57	ATL	Horford 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)	10 62.6%	8 37.4%
Q1 - 7:18	WAS	Blatche 6' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)	8 60.9%	8 39.1%
Q1 - 7:39	ATL	Smith 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	8 62.7%	6 37.3%
Q1 - 8:04	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 60.9%	6 39.1%
Q1 - 8:05	WAS	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	6 60.3%	6 39.7%
Q1 - 8:12	WAS	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 58.9%	6 41.1%
Q1 - 8:14	ATL	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	6 59.5%	6 40.5%
Q1 - 8:24	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 60.9%	6 39.1%
Q1 - 8:25	WAS	MISS Jamison 14' Jump Shot	6 60.3%	6 39.7%
Q1 - 8:52	ATL	Smith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	6 58.8%	6 41.2%
Q1 - 8:55	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 60.9%	6 39.1%
Q1 - 8:56	ATL	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	6 59.5%	6 40.5%
Q1 - 9:21	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	6 61.2%	6 38.8%
Q1 - 9:21	WAS	Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 61.6%	5 38.4%
Q1 - 9:31	WAS	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 63.2%	4 36.8%
Q1 - 9:32	ATL	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	6 63.7%	4 36.3%
Q1 - 9:53	WAS	Blatche Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	6 64.9%	4 35.1%
Q1 - 9:58	ATL	Songaila STEAL (1 STL)	6 63.2%	4 36.8%
Q1 - 10:13	WAS	Blatche 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)	6 64.7%	4 35.3%
Q1 - 10:32	ATL	Smith 11' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	6 66.3%	2 33.7%
Q1 - 11:00	WAS	Blatche 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)	4 64.7%	2 35.3%
Q1 - 11:17	ATL	Smith 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	4 65.7%	0 34.3%
Q1 - 11:21	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 64.2%	0 35.8%
Q1 - 11:22	WAS	MISS Jamison 3' Layup	2 63.8%	0 36.2%
Q1 - 11:36	ATL	Horford 3' Layup (2 PTS)	2 62.6%	0 37.4%
Q1 - 11:39	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 61.1%	0 38.9%
Q1 - 11:41	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	0 60.0%	0 40.0%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Blatche vs. Horford: Tip to Horford	0 61.1%	0 38.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

WAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

76%

WAS

49%

Midrange

ATL

46%

WAS

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9.0

40%

60%

WAS

3.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

ATL

72%

WAS

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	28	88%	14.0 / 16
A. Horford	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Johnson	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Smith	13	46%	6.5 / 14
Z. Pachulia	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Bibby	7	32%	3.5 / 11
R. Murray	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Law	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Evans	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	23	48%	11.5 / 24
J. McGee	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Blatche	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Songaila	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Crittenton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. James	9	32%	4.5 / 14
D. McGuire	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Young	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-11

WAS

+16

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

WAS

0.99 49.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	109.2 104.8	ATL 112.6 +9.2 WAS 103.5
Pace	89.8 91.6	ATL 90.3 +7.3 WAS 83.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.9 15.8	ATL 16.0 +1.4 WAS 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.4% 48.0%	ATL 56.3% +9.4% WAS 46.9%
TO %	13.6% 14.7%	ATL 11.8% +1.1% WAS 12.9%
ORB %	26.0% 27.8%	ATL 17.6% WAS 29.3% +11.7%
FTrt	32.3 29.3	ATL 35.2 +15.4 WAS 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.1% 54.8%	ATL 62.2% WAS 62.2%
STL %	8.2% 8.2%	ATL 9.2% +3.4% WAS 5.8%
BLK %	7.4% 7.6%	ATL 9.5% WAS 10.7% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.2% 51.2%	ATL 58.3% +8.9% WAS 49.4%
Rim FG%	60.5% 57.5%	ATL 76.5% +27.8% WAS 48.7%
Mid FG%	40.2% 39.4%	ATL 46.2% +0.5% WAS 45.7%
3P %	36.6% 33.0%	ATL 40.0% +11.4% WAS 28.6%
FT %	73.8% 76.7%	ATL 72.0% WAS 81.3% +9.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	32.2% 37.3%	ATL 23.9% WAS 48.1% +24.2%
Mid Att. %	42.4% 44.7%	ATL 54.9% WAS 43.2% +11.7%
3P Att. %	25.3% 18.0%	ATL 21.1% +12.5% WAS 8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Game Totals	ATL	WAS
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	98	89
Rebounds	35	40
Assists	23	23
Steals	8	5
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	28 (1)
Field Goals	37-71	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-17	19-39
Midrange FG	18-39	16-35
2-Point FG	31-56	35-74
3-Point FG	6-15	2-7
Free Throws	18-25	13-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 23	41.6	16	62%	8	5	1	2	3	3	3	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	39.2	16	62%	6	13	2	0	1	1	0	6	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	37.6	28	88%	4	1	2	1	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	4-6	67%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	36.5	7	32%	5	3	2	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	32.6	13	46%	5	0	1	2	4	4	2	3	1-5	20%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	18.4	10	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	15.6	4	33%	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	12.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	2.6	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	2.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	58%	35	23	8	7	11	0	6	29	18-25	72%	31-56	55%	6-15	40%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 23	41.6	16	62%	8	5	1	2	3	3	3	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	39.2	16	62%	6	13	2	0	1	1	0	6	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	37.6	28	88%	4	1	2	1	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	4-6	67%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	36.5	7	32%	5	3	2	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	32.6	13	46%	5	0	1	2	4	4	2	3	1-5	20%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	18.4	10	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	0	5	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 30	15.6	4	33%	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	12.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	2.6	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	2.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	58%	35	23	8	7	11	0	6	29	18-25	72%	31-56	55%	6-15	40%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 33	42.5	23	48%	9	4	0	0	3	2	4	5	8-10	80%	6-18	33%	1-1	100%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 34	39.4	9	32%	4	3	1	0	3	0	2	2	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Dominic McGuire G · 6'9" 235 · 23	38.1	6	50%	6	9	2	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 23	28.5	12	60%	4	3	1	1	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Darius Songaila C · 6'9" 248 · 31	25.8	12	60%	2	0	1	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 21	32.3	14	78%	9	1	0	3	0	4	0	9	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Javaris Crittenton G · 6'5" 200 · 21	19.7	10	56%	5	3	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	13.7	3	30%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 29
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 30
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28
Oleksiy Pecherov F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23
Gilbert Arenas #0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brendan Haywood #33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Etan Thomas #36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	49%	40	23	5	6	12	0	12	28	13-16	81%	35-74	47%	2-7	29%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE