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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks56%9798
26Wizards44%9589
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
41.6
36.0
16
62%
8
5
1
1
2
3
3
5
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
39.2
37.6
16
61%
6
13
2
1
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.7
37.6
34.9
28
86%
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
7-9
4-9
78%
49%
4-6
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.8
36.5
24.5
7
32%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.2
32.6
33.8
13
46%
5
0
1
1
2
4
2
3
1-5
20%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
18.4
20.9
10
108%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
6-6
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
15.6
29.9
4
33%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
12.2
17.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.1
2.6
5.9
2
114%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
2.6
4.3
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
0.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.2
0.3
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
42.5
34.9
23
49%
9
4
0
1
0
3
4
5
8-10
80%
6-18
6-12
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.7
39.4
29.3
9
32%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
43%
0-4
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
38.1
33.2
6
43%
6
9
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
28.5
21.7
12
60%
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
25.8
20.7
12
61%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.1
32.3
11.1
14
71%
9
1
0
0
3
0
0
9
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
19.7
12.9
10
56%
5
3
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
1-3
56%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
13.7
22.9
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
36.6
2
6-12
49%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.4
11.0
0
1-2
45%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.9
6.4
0
0-1
43%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.2
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.