FinalWin Prob.pScore
157%92
107
1443%90
100
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
109.29893.1
MIA logo MIA
104.296101.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE107
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0CLECavaliers Rebound107
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)107
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)106
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot105
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)105
98.8%
100
1.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)104
98.7%
100
1.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)103
97.4%
100
2.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)103
97.8%
99
2.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)103
98.8%
98
1.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup103
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)103
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0CLEMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2102
98.1%
98
1.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (41 PTS)102
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (40 PTS)102
98.7%
97
1.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (39 PTS)102
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)102
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)101
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)100
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot100
99.2%
95
0.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0CLEJames Driving Dunk (42 PTS)100
97.3%
95
2.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAO'Neal Putback Dunk (16 PTS)98
92.9%
95
7.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)98
95.9%
93
4.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Haslem Layup98
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
95.8%
93
4.2%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
97.2%
93
2.8%
Q4 - 1:13CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)98
94.9%
93
5.1%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T21)98
96.3%
93
3.7%
Q4 - 1:40MIAHEAT Rebound98
92.8%
93
7.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
94.9%
93
5.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)98
92.2%
93
7.8%
Q4 - 1:57CLEMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot98
93.3%
93
6.7%
Q4 - 2:16CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
95.7%
93
4.3%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade Layup98
94.8%
93
5.2%
Q4 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
91.8%
93
8.2%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
94.8%
93
5.2%
Q4 - 2:47CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (40 PTS) (Varejao 4 AST)98
91.8%
93
8.2%
Q4 - 2:50CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
83.6%
93
16.4%
Q4 - 2:51CLEMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot95
74.9%
93
25.1%
Q4 - 3:03CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
81.9%
93
18.1%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot95
79.1%
93
20.9%
Q4 - 3:27CLEJames 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)95
71.2%
93
28.8%
Q4 - 3:48MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (14 PTS)92
53.0%
93
47.0%
Q4 - 4:07CLEWilliams 7' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
61.7%
91
38.3%
Q4 - 4:14CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)90
52.9%
91
47.1%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Haslem Layup90
49.7%
91
50.3%
Q4 - 4:38CLEIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 6 AST)90
42.3%
91
57.7%
Q4 - 4:51CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)88
33.7%
91
66.3%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup88
30.9%
91
69.1%
Q4 - 5:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
28.8%
91
71.2%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
34.0%
91
66.0%
Q4 - 5:24CLEWade STEAL (7 STL)88
28.6%
91
71.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Foul Turnover (P7.T20)88
36.3%
91
63.7%
Q4 - 5:57CLEWade STEAL (6 STL)88
28.4%
91
71.6%
Q4 - 6:00CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
36.2%
91
63.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot88
36.9%
91
63.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
31.9%
91
68.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup88
36.8%
91
63.2%
Q4 - 6:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)88
31.9%
91
68.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
36.8%
91
63.2%
Q4 - 6:31CLEWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Varejao 3 AST)88
31.7%
91
68.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)85
20.4%
91
79.6%
Q4 - 6:51CLEJames Dunk (34 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)85
15.6%
91
84.4%
Q4 - 6:54MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)83
12.2%
91
87.8%
Q4 - 7:14CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)83
11.3%
91
88.7%
Q4 - 7:26CLECavaliers Rebound80
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 7:27CLEMISS James 10' Hook Shot80
5.6%
91
94.4%
Q4 - 7:52MIAWade Reverse Dunk (38 PTS)80
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 7:52CLEWade STEAL (5 STL)80
8.7%
89
91.3%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (36 PTS)80
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 8:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
16.8%
87
83.2%
Q4 - 8:25CLEMISS Hickson 5' Jump Shot80
17.9%
87
82.1%
Q4 - 8:45CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
20.5%
87
79.5%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
19.3%
87
80.7%
Q4 - 9:06CLEJames Running Dunk (32 PTS)80
19.0%
87
81.0%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMoon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)78
15.4%
87
84.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q4 - 9:27CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot78
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q4 - 9:40CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
15.3%
87
84.7%
Q4 - 9:41MIAMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot78
14.4%
87
85.6%
Q4 - 10:08CLEWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T16)78
14.2%
87
85.8%
Q4 - 10:24CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
17.0%
87
83.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot78
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 10:42MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
14.1%
87
85.9%
Q4 - 10:43CLEMISS Williams 14' Fadeaway Jumper78
14.9%
87
85.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAChalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
18.6%
87
81.4%
Q4 - 11:21CLEWilliams 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)76
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE76
26.1%
82
73.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)76
31.3%
82
68.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0CLEWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)76
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)76
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)76
31.2%
82
68.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
32.1%
81
67.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
31.7%
81
68.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0CLEMISS Gibson 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (33 PTS)76
36.3%
81
63.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
41.4%
79
58.6%
Q3 - 1:27CLEMISS James 17' Jump Shot76
42.7%
79
57.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade Dunk (31 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)76
45.8%
79
54.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
51.1%
77
48.9%
Q3 - 1:52CLEMISS Gibson 19' Jump Shot76
52.5%
77
47.5%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS)76
55.9%
77
44.1%
Q3 - 2:26CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)76
60.5%
75
39.5%
Q3 - 2:37CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
64.9%
75
35.1%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 276
64.3%
75
35.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)76
61.4%
75
38.6%
Q3 - 2:55CLEWilliams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
64.9%
74
35.1%
Q3 - 3:06CLEWilliams Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)74
61.1%
74
38.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
56.7%
74
43.3%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
60.8%
72
39.2%
Q3 - 3:18CLEMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot73
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q3 - 3:25CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup73
63.9%
72
36.1%
Q3 - 3:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
60.8%
72
39.2%
Q3 - 3:35CLEMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q3 - 3:56MIAWade Dunk (27 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)73
65.2%
72
34.8%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot73
71.3%
70
28.7%
Q3 - 4:25CLEIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Varejao 2 AST)73
68.4%
70
31.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMoon 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)71
65.2%
70
34.8%
Q3 - 5:06CLEJames Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)71
67.8%
68
32.2%
Q3 - 5:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)71
71.8%
68
28.2%
Q3 - 5:29CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)71
77.7%
65
22.3%
Q3 - 5:29CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)70
77.1%
65
22.9%
Q3 - 5:29MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)69
75.1%
65
24.9%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 5:33CLEMISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper69
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)69
75.1%
65
24.9%
Q3 - 6:14CLEIlgauskas Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)69
77.4%
63
22.6%
Q3 - 6:32CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 167
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 6:52CLEWilliams 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)67
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q3 - 7:03CLECavaliers Rebound65
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper65
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 7:18CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)65
70.6%
61
29.4%
Q3 - 7:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)62
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 7:32CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot62
61.4%
61
38.6%
Q3 - 7:52MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T13)62
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 8:12CLEJames Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)62
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 8:33MIAWade Tip Shot (23 PTS)60
56.6%
61
43.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
60.0%
59
40.0%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup60
62.7%
59
37.3%
Q3 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
60.0%
59
40.0%
Q3 - 8:56CLEMISS Varejao 16' Jump Shot60
61.2%
59
38.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade Driving Dunk (21 PTS)60
63.8%
59
36.2%
Q3 - 9:23CLEWade STEAL (4 STL)60
67.0%
57
33.0%
Q3 - 9:29CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 9:30CLEMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 9:50CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
70.3%
57
29.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot60
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q3 - 10:04CLEWilliams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)60
66.8%
57
33.2%
Q3 - 10:28CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
63.7%
57
36.3%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 158
63.2%
57
36.8%
Q3 - 10:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
66.9%
55
33.1%
Q3 - 10:33CLEMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot58
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 10:42CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
69.1%
55
30.9%
Q3 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
66.9%
55
33.1%
Q3 - 10:51CLEO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)58
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q3 - 11:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
66.9%
55
33.1%
Q3 - 11:06CLEMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot58
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 11:20CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot58
69.1%
55
30.9%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
66.8%
55
33.2%
Q3 - 11:40CLEMISS James 22' Jump Shot58
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
70.0%
55
30.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
68.8%
55
31.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)58
67.3%
55
32.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (19 PTS)55
60.4%
55
39.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)55
64.2%
53
35.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)55
66.6%
53
33.4%
Q2 - 1:00CLEVarejao 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)55
72.9%
50
27.1%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
69.4%
50
30.6%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)53
69.9%
49
30.1%
Q2 - 1:22CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)53
72.8%
48
27.2%
Q2 - 1:42MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)50
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
70.1%
46
29.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
71.5%
46
28.5%
Q2 - 2:12CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
69.5%
46
30.5%
Q2 - 2:12CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
69.0%
46
31.0%
Q2 - 2:12CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot48
65.9%
46
34.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
63.9%
46
36.1%
Q2 - 2:26CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 248
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q2 - 2:26CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 248
66.3%
46
33.7%
Q2 - 2:26CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 2:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot48
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q2 - 2:28CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 2:29CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup48
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q2 - 2:30CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 2:31CLEO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)48
64.8%
46
35.2%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)48
66.8%
46
33.2%
Q2 - 3:00CLEJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)48
63.9%
46
36.1%
Q2 - 3:00CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)47
63.2%
46
36.8%
Q2 - 3:00CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)46
62.5%
46
37.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 245
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q2 - 3:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
57.8%
45
42.2%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 3:44CLEWilliams 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 5 AST)45
57.8%
45
42.2%
Q2 - 3:55MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T10)43
55.2%
45
44.8%
Q2 - 4:05CLEHickson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)43
52.0%
45
48.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)40
46.1%
45
53.9%
Q2 - 4:34CLEBeasley STEAL (2 STL)40
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)40
55.6%
42
44.4%
Q2 - 5:13CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)40
58.6%
40
41.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWade Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)40
61.3%
40
38.7%
Q2 - 5:49CLEJames Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)40
64.2%
38
35.8%
Q2 - 5:49CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)39
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q2 - 5:49CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)38
62.9%
38
37.1%
Q2 - 6:11MIAChalmers Layup (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)37
58.6%
38
41.4%
Q2 - 6:15CLEBeasley STEAL (1 STL)37
60.9%
36
39.1%
Q2 - 6:28MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)37
64.1%
36
35.9%
Q2 - 6:38CLEJames Foul Turnover (P3.T7)37
66.3%
34
33.7%
Q2 - 6:45CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
69.2%
34
30.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot37
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 7:05CLEHickson Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)37
66.6%
34
33.4%
Q2 - 7:20MIAO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 7:40CLESzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P3.T6)35
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)35
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 8:05CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (4 PTS)35
66.4%
32
33.6%
Q2 - 8:06CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 8:07CLEMISS Hickson 14' Jump Shot33
62.1%
32
37.9%
Q2 - 8:28CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup33
63.1%
32
36.9%
Q2 - 8:36CLECook STEAL (1 STL)33
61.4%
32
38.6%
Q2 - 8:56MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
63.9%
32
36.1%
Q2 - 9:09CLEWest 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)33
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 9:33CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 9:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.1%
29
38.9%
Q2 - 9:43CLEAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)30
61.9%
29
38.1%
Q2 - 10:02CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot30
62.8%
29
37.2%
Q2 - 10:18MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
61.0%
29
39.0%
Q2 - 10:19CLEMISS Ilgauskas 9' Hook Shot30
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)30
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q2 - 10:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
61.0%
29
39.0%
Q2 - 10:45CLEMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot30
61.8%
29
38.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)30
63.3%
29
36.7%
Q2 - 11:16CLEHickson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)30
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q2 - 11:29CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Beasley Layup30
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 11:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
67.9%
26
32.1%
Q2 - 11:43CLEMISS Gibson 22' Jump Shot30
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE30
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound30
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS James 17' Running Jump Shot30
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)30
69.3%
26
30.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0CLEGibson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST)30
71.9%
24
28.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0CLEMISS D. Jackson 22' Jump Shot27
70.3%
22
29.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)27
71.1%
22
28.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAWade Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)27
75.4%
19
24.6%
Q1 - 1:34CLEJames 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
77.1%
18
22.9%
Q1 - 1:59CLESzczerbiak Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
74.8%
18
25.2%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMoon Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)24
73.0%
18
27.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Wade Layup24
75.9%
16
24.1%
Q1 - 2:11CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)24
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q1 - 2:13CLEJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 2:14CLEMISS James 4' Jump Shot24
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 2:29MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
76.7%
15
23.3%
Q1 - 2:42CLEJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
78.3%
14
21.7%
Q1 - 2:42CLEJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)23
77.9%
14
22.1%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)22
76.3%
14
23.7%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
75.0%
14
25.0%
Q1 - 2:52CLEMISS James Driving Layup22
75.4%
14
24.6%
Q1 - 2:56CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
76.3%
14
23.7%
Q1 - 2:57CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
75.4%
14
24.6%
Q1 - 3:19CLECavaliers Rebound22
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Moon 3PT Jump Shot22
76.1%
14
23.9%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Moon 19' Jump Shot22
76.0%
14
24.0%
Q1 - 3:47CLEJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)22
74.9%
14
25.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q1 - 4:08CLEWilliams Layup (4 PTS)20
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIACook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
72.7%
12
27.3%
Q1 - 4:23CLESzczerbiak Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 4:30MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
72.8%
12
27.2%
Q1 - 4:41CLEJames Layup (8 PTS) (West 4 AST)18
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
69.1%
12
30.9%
Q1 - 4:54CLEJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
67.1%
12
32.9%
Q1 - 5:07CLESzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot16
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
66.5%
12
33.5%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot16
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 5:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
66.5%
12
33.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHEAT Rebound16
66.5%
12
33.5%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMISS Haslem 9' Turnaround Jump Shot16
68.0%
12
32.0%
Q1 - 5:41CLEJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 3 AST)16
66.6%
12
33.4%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 6:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 6:18CLEMISS Varejao 17' Jump Shot13
65.4%
10
34.6%
Q1 - 6:31CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Chalmers Reverse Layup13
66.1%
10
33.9%
Q1 - 6:50CLEIlgauskas Layup (2 PTS)13
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 7:03CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Moon 17' Jump Shot11
62.3%
10
37.7%
Q1 - 7:22CLEWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 2 AST)11
60.8%
10
39.2%
Q1 - 7:43MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)9
59.0%
10
41.0%
Q1 - 8:07CLEJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)9
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMoon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 8:17CLEMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot6
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
54.8%
8
45.2%
Q1 - 8:30CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot6
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 8:49CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot6
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 9:07CLEWest Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 9:08CLEWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
53.6%
8
46.4%
Q1 - 9:09CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot4
52.3%
8
47.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 9:46CLEVarejao Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 10:04MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)2
54.2%
6
45.8%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 10:14CLEMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 10:34MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:44CLEMISS Ilgauskas 19' Fadeaway Jumper2
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:19CLEVarejao 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAO'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
58.0%
2
42.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Chalmers0
59.6%
0
40.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.19 59.4%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
13
22
59%
MIA
23
39
59%
Midrange
CLE
13
37
35%
MIA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
17
65%
97%
MIA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
CLE
22
25
88%
MIA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4284%21.0 / 25
M. Williams3065%15.0 / 23
Z. Ilgauskas1240%6.0 / 15
D. West867%4.0 / 6
A. Varejao660%3.0 / 5
J. Hickson550%2.5 / 5
D. Gibson330%1.5 / 5
W. Szczerbiak150%0.5 / 1
D. Jackson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4162%20.5 / 33
J. O'Neal1662%8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1558%7.5 / 13
J. Moon1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
M. Beasley857%4.0 / 7
D. Cook0-0.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
78
+12
-20
90
MIA
75
+17
-21
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.19 59.4%
MIA
1.09 54.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
107.6
CLE 109.2 +5.0
MIA 104.2
Pace
89.1
90.2
CLE 93.1
MIA 101.3 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
17.2
16.3
CLE 15.5
MIA 14.2 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
50.0%
CLE 55.9% +6.5%
MIA 49.4%
TO %
13.4%
13.1%
CLE 18.7%
MIA 18.3% +0.4%
ORB %
27.8%
24.6%
CLE 26.3%
MIA 34.9% +8.6%
FTrt
31.2
28.2
CLE 32.9 +6.7
MIA 26.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.0%
55.1%
CLE 64.9% +13.6%
MIA 51.3%
STL %
8.1%
8.7%
CLE 13.3% +1.8%
MIA 11.5%
BLK %
8.7%
9.2%
CLE 7.6% +0.8%
MIA 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
52.6%
CLE 59.4% +5.1%
MIA 54.3%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.5%
CLE 59.1% +0.1%
MIA 59.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.8%
CLE 35.1%
MIA 40.7% +5.6%
3P %
39.3%
35.7%
CLE 64.7% +36.9%
MIA 27.8%
FT %
75.7%
75.4%
CLE 88.0% +10.7%
MIA 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.3%
CLE 28.9%
MIA 46.4% +17.5%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
45.2%
CLE 48.7%
MIA 32.1% +16.5%
3P Att. %
25.9%
24.5%
CLE 22.4% +0.9%
MIA 21.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points107100
Rebounds3843
Assists2420
Steals1311
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)28 (0)
Field Goals37-7639-84
At-the-Rim FG13-2223-39
Midrange FG13-3711-27
2-Point FG26-5934-66
3-Point FG11-175-18
Free Throws22-2517-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
43.7
42
84%
8
4
1
1
6
4
1
7
10-10
100%
7-14
50%
6-7
86%
G · 6'1" 198 · 26
40.0
30
65%
7
7
2
0
4
3
1
6
8-9
89%
8-14
57%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
38.0
8
67%
2
6
5
1
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 260 · 26
36.7
6
60%
4
4
3
2
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 34
33.2
12
40%
15
2
2
0
1
3
6
9
2-4
50%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20
17.1
5
50%
0
1
0
1
2
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32
13.0
1
50%
2
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 23
9.2
3
30%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 253 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 189 · 25
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33
#4 · F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 205 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
59%
38
24
13
5
20
0
10
28
22-25
88%
26-59
44%
11-17
65%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.