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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
107
21Heat
100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
44
36
42
8
4
1
2
1
6
1
7
10-10
100%
7-14
8-14
50%
52%
6-7
86%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
40
32
30
7
7
2
1
0
4
1
6
8-9
89%
8-14
4-9
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
38
31
8
2
6
5
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
37
29
6
4
4
3
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.7
33
30
12
15
2
2
0
0
1
6
9
2-4
50%
5-13
5-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
17
16
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
13
20
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
9
25
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
7
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
7
0
1-2
48%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
2
0
0-0
44%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
40
27
15
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
40
38
41
7
9
7
2
1
8
3
4
7-9
78%
14-24
9-17
58%
50%
2-6
33%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.7
37
28
11
8
1
0
1
0
3
1
7
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
31
30
16
8
3
0
0
2
3
5
3
0-0
-
8-13
5-11
62%
45%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
31
34
9
9
0
0
1
0
0
3
6
3-3
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
25
23
8
4
2
2
0
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
16
22
0
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
10
6
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.4
7
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
6
0
0-1
42%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
5
0
1-1
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.