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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks64%9987
29Thunder36%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
42.6
35.9
28
57%
5
6
1
1
1
3
1
4
7-8
88%
9-17
8-17
53%
50%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
41.0
33.3
9
51%
5
5
6
2
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
17.9
30.0
7
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
5-11
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
14.7
12.4
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
7.6
28.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
37.2
21.8
20
53%
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
52%
4-8
50%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
21.5
25.6
8
68%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
17.1
18.5
4
52%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
16.3
22.8
2
17%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
12.1
13.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
12.0
5.1
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
3.8
0
0-1
52%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
41.1
29.8
15
63%
7
2
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
40.9
37.1
17
43%
10
10
2
2
1
6
2
8
4-4
100%
5-16
6-14
31%
45%
1-2
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
36.8
26.4
26
68%
6
2
0
0
2
2
2
4
6-7
86%
10-16
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.0
35.7
30.5
18
65%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
31.9
25.6
2
33%
9
1
1
1
2
2
4
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.3
17.4
5.4
7
64%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
39%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.1
13.7
3.9
7
64%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.7
12.6
18.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-2
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.2
9.9
8.1
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
38.4
1
6-12
47%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
4.7
0
1-1
48%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.5
3.5
0
0-0
44%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.4
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.4
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.