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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Spurs58%93106
28Clippers42%9178
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
34.0
30.1
26
60%
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
10-19
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
31.4
25.6
2
11%
9
5
0
1
2
0
0
9
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-6
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
27.8
22.0
18
68%
12
6
3
0
2
1
4
8
4-5
80%
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
26.4
24.3
14
64%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
4-7
57%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
23.2
26.7
14
58%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
52%
2-6
33%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
23.7
16.4
8
57%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
20.8
19.8
9
61%
7
0
2
0
2
0
3
4
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
15.1
15.3
6
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
12.7
19.1
4
50%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
11.6
18.5
3
75%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
10.4
18.7
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
2.9
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
41.5
27.2
14
32%
5
2
2
1
1
0
3
2
4-6
67%
5-19
5-11
26%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
37.5
17.9
11
59%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
34.5
31.7
10
33%
5
8
1
2
1
5
0
5
2-3
67%
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
0-4
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
29.0
29.8
12
87%
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
26.5
13.4
13
39%
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
3-4
75%
5-15
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
41.9
20.9
14
71%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
15.0
9.8
4
72%
5
0
0
0
3
1
1
4
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
10.1
7.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
4.0
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
29.6
1
3-7
48%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.4
20.4
1
2-3
45%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
19.8
1
2-5
42%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.8
2.0
0
0-1
38%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.