FinalWin Prob.pScore
851%95
95
1549%94
100
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
117.38189.3
DET logo DET
123.58174.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET95
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)95
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)95
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)95
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)92
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)91
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)90
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot90
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 1:00DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)90
6.0%
94
94.0%
Q4 - 1:02DENMcDyess BLOCK (3 BLK)90
7.6%
94
92.4%
Q4 - 1:08DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
12.6%
94
87.4%
Q4 - 1:09DETMISS Hamilton Layup90
10.7%
94
89.3%
Q4 - 1:12DETPISTONS Rebound90
7.6%
94
92.4%
Q4 - 1:12DETMISS Hamilton Layup90
11.3%
94
88.7%
Q4 - 1:32DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot90
13.9%
94
86.1%
Q4 - 2:09DENSmith 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)90
10.3%
94
89.7%
Q4 - 2:28DENNuggets Rebound88
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 2:29DETMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot88
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 2:57DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)88
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 3:15DETWallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)86
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 3:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
13.0%
91
87.0%
Q4 - 3:33DENPrince BLOCK (3 BLK)86
14.4%
91
85.6%
Q4 - 3:57DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)86
17.5%
91
82.5%
Q4 - 4:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)86
23.1%
89
76.9%
Q4 - 4:11DENMISS Martin 7' Hook Shot86
25.4%
89
74.6%
Q4 - 4:17DETHamilton Kicked Ball Violation Turnover (P2.T10)86
31.2%
89
68.8%
Q4 - 4:58DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
22.7%
89
77.3%
Q4 - 5:02DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
15.6%
89
84.4%
Q4 - 5:05DENPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)83
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q4 - 5:13DENNuggets Rebound83
15.5%
89
84.5%
Q4 - 5:14DENMISS Balkman 20' Jump Shot83
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q4 - 5:36DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)83
15.4%
89
84.6%
Q4 - 6:02DENBillups 14' Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS)83
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 6:14DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)81
23.3%
86
76.7%
Q4 - 6:38DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
18.0%
86
82.0%
Q4 - 6:38DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
17.0%
86
83.0%
Q4 - 6:45DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
14.1%
86
85.9%
Q4 - 6:46DENMISS Smith Layup79
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 6:59DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (20 PTS)79
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 7:17DETPISTONS Rebound79
20.1%
84
79.9%
Q4 - 7:18DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot79
21.6%
84
78.4%
Q4 - 7:38DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)79
25.3%
84
74.7%
Q4 - 7:54DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 7:55DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot79
35.1%
82
64.9%
Q4 - 8:05DETPISTONS Rebound79
32.8%
82
67.2%
Q4 - 8:05DETMISS Bynum Layup79
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q4 - 8:22DENSmith Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)79
32.7%
82
67.3%
Q4 - 8:34DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
27.0%
82
73.0%
Q4 - 8:35DENMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot77
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 8:54DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)77
27.0%
82
73.0%
Q4 - 9:12DENCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)77
34.2%
80
65.8%
Q4 - 9:12DENMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 276
33.1%
80
66.9%
Q4 - 9:22DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)76
34.0%
80
66.0%
Q4 - 9:45DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T8)76
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q4 - 9:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
45.4%
78
54.6%
Q4 - 9:50DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot76
41.5%
78
58.5%
Q4 - 10:10DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
45.9%
78
54.1%
Q4 - 10:10DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
47.0%
77
53.0%
Q4 - 10:26DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)76
51.7%
76
48.3%
Q4 - 10:26DENNuggets Rebound76
57.2%
76
42.8%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Nene Tip Shot76
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 10:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
57.2%
76
42.8%
Q4 - 10:27DENStuckey BLOCK (1 BLK)76
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 10:32DENNuggets Rebound76
57.2%
76
42.8%
Q4 - 10:35DENMcDyess BLOCK (2 BLK)76
53.4%
76
46.6%
Q4 - 10:55DETPrince Layup (18 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)76
57.3%
76
42.7%
Q4 - 11:19DENNene 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)76
62.3%
74
37.7%
Q4 - 11:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
56.9%
74
43.1%
Q4 - 11:35DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot74
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN74
51.9%
74
48.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound74
56.9%
74
43.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot74
55.4%
74
44.6%
Q3 - 0:19.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
52.0%
74
48.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot74
55.1%
74
44.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)74
52.0%
74
48.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)73
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
46.3%
74
53.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
47.2%
73
52.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)72
52.0%
72
48.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)72
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
56.4%
72
43.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 1:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
56.0%
72
44.0%
Q3 - 1:10DETMISS Maxiell Dunk72
54.7%
72
45.3%
Q3 - 1:26DENBillups 16' Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)72
51.6%
72
48.4%
Q3 - 1:44DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)70
46.3%
72
53.7%
Q3 - 1:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
51.6%
70
48.4%
Q3 - 1:51DENPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)70
53.0%
70
47.0%
Q3 - 2:09DETWallace Layup (13 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)70
56.0%
70
44.0%
Q3 - 2:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 2:23DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot70
63.7%
68
36.3%
Q3 - 2:45DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)70
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 2:45DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 269
59.5%
68
40.5%
Q3 - 2:56DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)69
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 3:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
56.1%
68
43.9%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS Martin 10' Hook Shot69
57.5%
68
42.5%
Q3 - 3:41DETStuckey Driving Layup (11 PTS)69
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 3:53DENKleiza Driving Layup (2 PTS)69
64.7%
66
35.3%
Q3 - 4:15DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)67
60.6%
66
39.4%
Q3 - 4:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
64.0%
64
36.0%
Q3 - 4:28DENMISS Billups 8' Floating Jump Shot67
65.4%
64
34.6%
Q3 - 4:43DETWallace 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)67
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 5:06DENNene Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)67
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 5:28DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)65
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 5:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)65
70.7%
60
29.3%
Q3 - 5:33DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
73.4%
60
26.6%
Q3 - 5:40DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Wallace 15' Fadeaway Jumper65
73.4%
60
26.6%
Q3 - 5:58DETPISTONS Rebound65
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 6:00DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot65
72.0%
60
28.0%
Q3 - 6:10DENNuggets Rebound65
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 6:10DENMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot65
71.4%
60
28.6%
Q3 - 6:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 6:18DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot65
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 6:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
70.3%
60
29.7%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 265
70.8%
60
29.2%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 265
72.6%
60
27.4%
Q3 - 6:44DETWallace 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)65
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 7:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
75.5%
58
24.5%
Q3 - 7:03DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 265
75.9%
58
24.1%
Q3 - 7:03DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 265
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q3 - 7:04DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)65
78.4%
58
21.6%
Q3 - 7:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 7:08DENMISS Kleiza Layup65
76.4%
58
23.6%
Q3 - 7:26DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
78.5%
58
21.5%
Q3 - 7:32DENMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)65
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 7:54DETHamilton Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)65
83.3%
56
16.7%
Q3 - 7:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 7:58DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 8:26DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)65
84.6%
54
15.4%
Q3 - 8:44DETStuckey Driving Layup (9 PTS)62
80.4%
54
19.6%
Q3 - 8:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
82.5%
52
17.5%
Q3 - 8:50DENMISS Martin Layup62
83.2%
52
16.8%
Q3 - 9:17DETPrince Layup (16 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)62
84.3%
52
15.7%
Q3 - 9:32DENJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)62
86.1%
50
13.9%
Q3 - 9:38DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
84.3%
50
15.7%
Q3 - 9:39DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
83.7%
50
16.3%
Q3 - 9:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
82.2%
50
17.8%
Q3 - 9:52DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot60
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 10:09DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
83.6%
50
16.4%
Q3 - 10:09DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
83.9%
49
16.1%
Q3 - 10:26DENBillups Driving Layup (23 PTS)60
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 10:35DETHamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)58
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q3 - 10:55DENNene 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)58
85.5%
46
14.5%
Q3 - 11:17DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)56
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 11:38DENNene Layup (13 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)56
84.9%
44
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET54
83.2%
44
16.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound54
81.0%
44
19.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Bynum 54' 3PT Jump Shot54
82.5%
44
17.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)54
80.8%
44
19.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
75.7%
44
24.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENCarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)51
73.7%
44
26.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)49
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q2 - 1:08DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)49
75.9%
41
24.1%
Q2 - 1:08DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)48
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q2 - 1:19DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
72.7%
41
27.3%
Q2 - 1:19DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
73.3%
40
26.7%
Q2 - 1:19DETPISTONS Rebound47
75.9%
39
24.1%
Q2 - 1:20DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot47
76.4%
39
23.6%
Q2 - 1:36DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 1:36DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)47
78.1%
38
21.9%
Q2 - 1:55DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)47
80.4%
37
19.6%
Q2 - 2:14DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
75.1%
37
24.9%
Q2 - 2:14DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
75.8%
36
24.2%
Q2 - 2:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
77.4%
35
22.6%
Q2 - 2:32DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
78.1%
35
21.9%
Q2 - 2:53DETStuckey Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)44
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 3:11DETPISTONS Rebound44
76.9%
35
23.1%
Q2 - 3:11DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 3:18DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 3:19DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot44
78.6%
35
21.4%
Q2 - 3:44DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)44
76.9%
35
23.1%
Q2 - 3:54DETStuckey 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 4:15DENNene Dunk (11 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)41
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q2 - 4:17DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 4:18DENMISS Martin Dunk39
70.1%
33
29.9%
Q2 - 4:33DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 4:34DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot39
71.2%
33
28.8%
Q2 - 4:43DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
69.3%
33
30.7%
Q2 - 4:44DENMISS Martin 8' Hook Shot39
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:51DENNuggets Rebound39
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 4:51DENMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)39
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 5:07DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
71.6%
33
28.4%
Q2 - 5:07DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 239
72.1%
32
27.9%
Q2 - 5:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
71.7%
32
28.3%
Q2 - 5:22DENMISS Balkman Free Throw 1 of 139
72.0%
32
28.0%
Q2 - 5:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
69.2%
32
30.8%
Q2 - 5:34DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 237
68.8%
32
31.2%
Q2 - 5:34DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 5:56DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 6:02DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 6:03DETMISS Herrmann 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 6:08DETPISTONS Rebound37
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 6:08DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot37
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 6:30DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 6:32DENMISS Nene Layup37
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 6:46DETHerrmann Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
71.3%
31
28.7%
Q2 - 7:02DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
68.5%
31
31.5%
Q2 - 7:04DENMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)37
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 7:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
70.9%
31
29.1%
Q2 - 7:27DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
70.2%
31
29.8%
Q2 - 7:50DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 7:52DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot37
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 7:54DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
71.0%
31
29.0%
Q2 - 7:56DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot37
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 7:56DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
71.0%
31
29.0%
Q2 - 7:57DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot37
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 8:08DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
70.3%
31
29.7%
Q2 - 8:09DETMISS Bynum 12' Hook Shot37
69.6%
31
30.4%
Q2 - 8:26DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 8:27DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 237
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 8:27DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
69.8%
31
30.2%
Q2 - 8:39DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)36
68.0%
31
32.0%
Q2 - 8:56DENNene Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
70.5%
29
29.5%
Q2 - 9:04DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
67.6%
29
32.4%
Q2 - 9:05DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot34
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 9:24DENCarter 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 9:30DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)32
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 9:31DENMISS Smith Layup32
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 9:47DETBynum Driving Layup (3 PTS)32
62.7%
29
37.3%
Q2 - 10:03DENMartin Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)32
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 10:20DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
62.5%
27
37.5%
Q2 - 10:20DETMISS Bynum Free Throw 1 of 230
63.0%
26
37.0%
Q2 - 10:27DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 10:28DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot30
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 10:41DENBalkman Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
62.4%
26
37.6%
Q2 - 10:50DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 10:51DETMISS Herrmann 19' Jump Shot30
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q2 - 11:09DENSmith Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)30
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q2 - 11:26DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
59.7%
26
40.3%
Q2 - 11:39DENBalkman Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
57.2%
26
42.8%
Q2 - 11:41DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Andersen 19' Jump Shot26
52.9%
26
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
54.7%
26
45.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
52.1%
26
47.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
52.9%
26
47.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
59.0%
24
41.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot26
57.7%
24
42.3%
Q1 - 1:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
58.8%
24
41.2%
Q1 - 1:23DETMISS Hamilton Reverse Layup26
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q1 - 1:46DENMartin Putback Dunk (4 PTS)26
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 1:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q1 - 1:50DENMISS Smith Layup24
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 2:01DETPrince 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q1 - 2:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 2:13DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
57.6%
22
42.4%
Q1 - 2:23DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q1 - 2:24DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot24
58.3%
22
41.7%
Q1 - 2:39DENBillups 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)24
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 2:50DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
54.3%
22
45.7%
Q1 - 2:51DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot22
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 3:03DETMcDyess Tip Shot (6 PTS)22
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q1 - 3:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 3:07DETMISS Bynum 8' Floating Jump Shot22
58.5%
20
41.5%
Q1 - 3:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 3:21DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 3:40DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
59.2%
20
40.8%
Q1 - 3:57DENNene 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)22
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 4:14DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
54.6%
20
45.4%
Q1 - 4:14DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
55.0%
19
45.0%
Q1 - 4:31DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)20
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 4:37DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
52.4%
18
47.6%
Q1 - 4:55DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
50.0%
18
50.0%
Q1 - 4:55DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 5:00DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 5:02DETMISS Stuckey Layup15
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 5:06DENStuckey STEAL (1 STL)15
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 5:25DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q1 - 5:25DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 5:29DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
49.8%
16
50.2%
Q1 - 5:42DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 5:43DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot13
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 6:00DENBillups 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)13
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 6:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 6:10DETMISS Wallace 16' Fadeaway Jumper11
43.1%
16
56.9%
Q1 - 6:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 6:41DENMISS Martin Layup11
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 6:56DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)11
43.7%
16
56.3%
Q1 - 6:56DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 7:17DETPISTONS Rebound11
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 7:19DENMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot11
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 7:32DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
48.0%
14
52.0%
Q1 - 7:37DENPrince STEAL (1 STL)11
45.7%
14
54.3%
Q1 - 7:44DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
48.0%
14
52.0%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 8:07DENNene Dunk (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)11
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 8:18DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)9
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 8:45DENJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)9
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 8:58DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)6
41.7%
12
58.3%
Q1 - 9:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 9:14DENMISS Martin 15' Turnaround Jump Shot6
45.3%
10
54.7%
Q1 - 9:29DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)6
46.5%
10
53.5%
Q1 - 9:49DENMartin Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)6
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 10:05DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)4
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 10:26DENBillups 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 10:38DETWallace Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 10:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 10:42DETMISS Stuckey Layup2
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 10:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 10:49DETMISS McDyess Layup2
54.0%
2
46.0%
Q1 - 11:13DENNene 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 11:32DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Nene: Tip to Stuckey0
52.6%
0
47.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
DET
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
34
47%
DET
11
19
58%
Midrange
DEN
14
32
44%
DET
19
39
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
DET
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
DEN
14
22
64%
DET
28
31
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3474%17.0 / 23
Nene2067%10.0 / 15
J. Smith1647%8.0 / 17
K. Martin621%3.0 / 14
D. Jones583%2.5 / 3
A. Carter563%2.5 / 4
R. Balkman450%2.0 / 4
C. Andersen319%1.5 / 8
L. Kleiza220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2368%11.5 / 17
R. Hamilton2150%10.5 / 21
R. Stuckey1765%8.5 / 13
A. McDyess1673%8.0 / 11
R. Wallace1662%8.0 / 13
W. Bynum739%3.5 / 9
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 1
W. Herrmann0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+20
-7
94
DET
71
+17
-10
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
DET
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
106.8
DEN 117.3
DET 123.5 +6.2
Pace
94.5
87.3
DEN 89.3 +15.2
DET 74.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
17.1
DEN 16.1 +3.3
DET 19.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.3%
DEN 48.8%
DET 50.0% +1.2%
TO %
15.8%
12.7%
DEN 7.9% +2.6%
DET 10.5%
ORB %
27.5%
27.9%
DEN 37.5%
DET 39.4% +1.9%
FTrt
38.2
28.2
DEN 26.5
DET 43.1 +16.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
56.7%
DEN 48.6%
DET 64.7% +16.1%
STL %
9.1%
6.8%
DEN 4.9% +1.2%
DET 3.7%
BLK %
9.7%
7.3%
DEN 6.9%
DET 13.6% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
51.0%
DEN 50.0%
DET 55.6% +5.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
58.7%
DEN 47.1%
DET 57.9% +10.8%
Mid FG%
38.7%
41.2%
DEN 43.8%
DET 48.7% +4.9%
3P %
37.1%
34.9%
DEN 41.2% +12.6%
DET 28.6%
FT %
76.0%
75.1%
DEN 63.6%
DET 90.3% +26.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
30.0%
DEN 41.0% +14.6%
DET 26.4%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
53.5%
DEN 38.6% +15.6%
DET 54.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
16.5%
DEN 20.5% +1.0%
DET 19.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsDENDET
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points95100
Rebounds3538
Assists1822
Steals43
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (2)25 (5)
Field Goals37-8334-72
At-the-Rim FG16-3411-19
Midrange FG14-3219-39
2-Point FG30-6630-58
3-Point FG7-174-14
Free Throws14-2228-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
41.5
20
67%
7
1
2
1
2
4
4
3
2-4
50%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
39.9
34
74%
1
4
0
1
2
4
0
1
8-8
100%
7-11
64%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
33.2
6
21%
3
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
3-13
23%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
26.1
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
16.8
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23
28.8
16
47%
5
3
1
0
1
5
2
3
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
22.8
4
50%
7
1
0
0
1
3
5
2
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
18.1
3
19%
7
1
0
2
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
12.8
5
63%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
35
18
4
4
7
0
15
20
14-22
64%
30-66
45%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.