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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets42%9699
23Bucks58%9995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.9
39.3
29.1
24
80%
12
0
1
1
3
2
2
10
6-7
86%
9-12
6-11
75%
52%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
37.1
37.2
15
34%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
4-13
5-12
31%
47%
1-7
14%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
36.2
40.5
14
40%
4
11
4
2
1
5
1
3
7-8
88%
2-9
6-13
22%
49%
1-5
20%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.0
18.4
17.6
2
100%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
16.4
19.6
4
50%
2
1
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
26.2
26.3
12
76%
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
25.0
29.0
13
59%
5
0
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
3-6
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
17.1
22.9
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
12.7
7.7
13
125%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
8.4
15.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
3.1
7.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
5.5
0
1-1
55%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
44.9
30.4
24
51%
15
2
1
1
2
1
4
11
3-4
75%
6-13
6-11
46%
51%
3-9
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
42.9
34.3
20
43%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
12-12
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
0-6
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
30.9
28.4
19
52%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
3-3
100%
8-17
5-9
47%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
26.4
25.9
7
64%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
15.6
16.4
6
75%
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
23.4
24.1
10
56%
5
6
2
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-2
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
19.6
12.3
4
40%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
12.8
14.4
2
26%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
12.5
28.7
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
11.1
14.0
3
30%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
8.2
0
1-2
51%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
2.8
0
0-0
42%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.