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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Warriors56%106118
26Timberwolves44%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
29.0
39.3
23
58%
7
6
0
1
0
0
0
7
7-9
78%
5-11
6-12
45%
46%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
28.6
36.8
11
52%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
0-4
4-8
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
27.0
27.0
10
73%
13
4
0
1
2
1
1
12
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
23.7
32.2
8
45%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
17.1
17.4
13
73%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
3-4
75%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
27.9
24.8
9
47%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
27.6
29.9
16
60%
7
0
1
1
1
6
3
4
8-10
80%
4-8
5-11
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
21.0
2.4
7
53%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
3-6
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
19.5
18.7
17
78%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
3-3
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
16.7
18.1
4
58%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
1.9
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
16.3
0
2-4
51%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.0
41.5
31.0
11
59%
13
4
2
1
2
5
1
12
3-3
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
56%
2-3
67%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.4
36.4
34.7
19
42%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
8-8
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
1-10
10%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
29.7
30.9
16
56%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
26.2
25.4
18
57%
14
0
0
0
0
1
4
10
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
24.2
13.7
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
22.6
13.6
12
45%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
45%
1-4
25%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
18.1
18.0
7
36%
4
2
0
0
0
4
1
3
1-4
25%
3-8
4-6
38%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
16.6
18.3
5
43%
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
49%
1-5
20%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
11.2
16.2
4
40%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
8.3
2.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
5.0
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
13.4
0
1-2
42%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.