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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies13%9089
2Lakers87%10599
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
39.2
31.7
14
41%
6
6
0
1
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-14
5-11
29%
47%
2-3
67%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
37.3
33.6
13
44%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
44%
1-3
33%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
36.1
35.3
17
62%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
45%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
34.4
28.3
17
84%
14
4
1
1
3
1
5
9
7-7
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
28.6
15.4
10
63%
7
1
1
0
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
14.0
17.6
9
57%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
13.6
17.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
10.7
11.9
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
10.6
5.7
4
67%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
8.8
18.5
1
10%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
6.8
17.9
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
6.9
0
1-2
44%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
29.6
35.2
31
60%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
11-18
10-18
61%
53%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
29.6
29.3
2
11%
13
8
1
1
6
1
2
11
0-2
0%
1-6
5-8
17%
56%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
29.3
35.9
13
42%
8
4
2
1
2
3
5
3
3-6
50%
5-13
7-12
38%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
26.7
28.6
11
101%
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
25.3
27.1
10
73%
4
4
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
22.8
23.2
1
7%
3
1
4
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
0-4
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
21.3
16.6
8
51%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
18.7
7.5
4
40%
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
18.4
14.7
8
50%
8
2
1
0
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
18.4
14.6
11
61%
3
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.