FinalWin Prob.pScore
1137%96
129
1263%100
135
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
127.7101111.7
MIA logo MIA
132.410293.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHX129
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXNash Reverse Layup (29 PTS)129
0.2%
135
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)127
0.2%
135
99.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 2127
0.2%
134
99.8%
Q4 - 0:39.0PHXNash Driving Layup (27 PTS)127
0.3%
134
99.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)125
0.2%
134
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)125
0.2%
133
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)125
0.4%
132
99.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot125
0.5%
132
99.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)125
1.2%
132
98.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)125
1.2%
131
98.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0PHXBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)125
2.3%
130
97.7%
Q4 - 1:03MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)122
0.8%
130
99.2%
Q4 - 1:03MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)122
0.9%
129
99.1%
Q4 - 1:07PHXBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)120
0.9%
128
99.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2120
0.9%
128
99.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)120
0.6%
128
99.4%
Q4 - 1:17PHXO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)120
1.1%
127
98.9%
Q4 - 1:17PHXMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2119
0.9%
127
99.1%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)119
1.3%
127
98.7%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)119
1.5%
126
98.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)119
2.9%
125
97.1%
Q4 - 1:40PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot119
3.5%
125
96.5%
Q4 - 1:47MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (32 PTS)119
5.6%
125
94.4%
Q4 - 2:02PHXO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS)119
8.2%
123
91.8%
Q4 - 2:05PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)117
6.0%
123
94.0%
Q4 - 2:06PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot117
3.8%
123
96.2%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 16 AST)117
6.1%
123
93.9%
Q4 - 2:53PHXNash 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)117
9.7%
121
90.3%
Q4 - 2:59PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)115
7.1%
121
92.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
6.0%
121
94.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)115
4.0%
121
96.0%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Moon 17' Jump Shot115
5.9%
121
94.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)115
4.0%
121
96.0%
Q4 - 3:20PHXWade BLOCK (1 BLK)115
4.7%
121
95.3%
Q4 - 3:23PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)115
7.0%
121
93.0%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot115
5.9%
121
94.1%
Q4 - 3:45PHXHill Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)115
6.5%
121
93.5%
Q4 - 3:47PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)113
4.6%
121
95.4%
Q4 - 3:48PHXMISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot113
3.5%
121
96.5%
Q4 - 4:01MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wade 15 AST)113
4.5%
121
95.5%
Q4 - 4:17PHXHill 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)113
8.9%
118
91.1%
Q4 - 4:36PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)111
6.3%
118
93.7%
Q4 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot111
5.6%
118
94.4%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHEAT Rebound111
4.2%
118
95.8%
Q4 - 4:48PHXMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
4.7%
118
95.3%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)111
8.5%
118
91.5%
Q4 - 5:20PHXO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS) (Barbosa 4 AST)111
11.2%
116
88.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)109
8.3%
116
91.7%
Q4 - 5:43PHXWade STEAL (1 STL)109
14.9%
113
85.1%
Q4 - 5:53MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)109
20.0%
113
80.0%
Q4 - 6:12PHXO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)109
16.8%
113
83.2%
Q4 - 6:15PHXDudley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)106
10.1%
113
89.9%
Q4 - 6:16PHXMISS Richardson 6' Jump Shot106
8.2%
113
91.8%
Q4 - 6:26PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)106
10.0%
113
90.0%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Wade 12' Running Jump Shot106
9.2%
113
90.8%
Q4 - 6:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)106
7.5%
113
92.5%
Q4 - 6:45PHXMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2106
7.8%
113
92.2%
Q4 - 6:45PHXMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2106
8.8%
113
91.2%
Q4 - 6:52PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
10.0%
113
90.0%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot106
9.1%
113
90.9%
Q4 - 7:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)106
8.6%
113
91.4%
Q4 - 7:14PHXMISS Dudley Free Throw 2 of 2106
8.9%
113
91.1%
Q4 - 7:14PHXMISS Dudley Free Throw 1 of 2106
10.4%
113
89.6%
Q4 - 7:28MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)106
11.2%
113
88.8%
Q4 - 7:43PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)106
17.8%
110
82.2%
Q4 - 7:43PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)105
17.5%
110
82.5%
Q4 - 7:46MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)104
14.3%
110
85.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)104
12.5%
110
87.5%
Q4 - 8:05PHXMISS Barbosa 9' Jump Shot104
13.3%
110
86.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)104
15.4%
110
84.6%
Q4 - 8:35PHXDudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)104
19.2%
108
80.8%
Q4 - 8:49MIABeasley Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)101
12.2%
108
87.8%
Q4 - 9:01MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
16.8%
106
83.2%
Q4 - 9:02PHXMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
17.8%
106
82.2%
Q4 - 9:17PHXSuns Rebound101
20.3%
106
79.7%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot101
19.1%
106
80.9%
Q4 - 9:27PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)101
16.8%
106
83.2%
Q4 - 9:33PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)98
10.9%
106
89.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot98
10.3%
106
89.7%
Q4 - 9:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
8.9%
106
91.1%
Q4 - 9:57PHXChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)98
9.4%
106
90.6%
Q4 - 10:01PHXSuns Rebound98
11.9%
106
88.1%
Q4 - 10:02PHXMISS Dudley 20' Jump Shot98
10.4%
106
89.6%
Q4 - 10:12MIABeasley Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)98
11.9%
106
88.1%
Q4 - 10:31PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)98
14.5%
104
85.5%
Q4 - 10:53MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T12)95
9.6%
104
90.4%
Q4 - 11:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
8.8%
104
91.2%
Q4 - 11:10PHXMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
9.3%
104
90.7%
Q4 - 11:33PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
10.5%
104
89.5%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot95
9.9%
104
90.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA95
8.7%
104
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
8.7%
104
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Barbosa 29' 3PT Jump Shot95
9.2%
104
90.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)95
11.1%
104
88.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0PHXHaslem STEAL (2 STL)95
16.2%
101
83.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)95
18.8%
101
81.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
16.2%
101
83.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot95
17.9%
101
82.1%
Q3 - 1:13PHXDudley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)95
16.5%
101
83.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
11.6%
101
88.4%
Q3 - 1:29MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
12.0%
100
88.0%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
14.0%
99
86.0%
Q3 - 1:36PHXMISS Barnes 7' Jump Shot92
14.6%
99
85.4%
Q3 - 1:55MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)92
16.3%
99
83.7%
Q3 - 2:10PHXAmundson Putback Layup (7 PTS)92
22.9%
96
77.1%
Q3 - 2:11PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)90
19.7%
96
80.3%
Q3 - 2:13PHXMISS Hill Driving Layup90
17.8%
96
82.2%
Q3 - 2:21PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
19.7%
96
80.3%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
18.8%
96
81.2%
Q3 - 2:32MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
16.9%
96
83.1%
Q3 - 2:33PHXMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
17.7%
96
82.3%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWade Driving Layup (30 PTS)90
19.7%
96
80.3%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
22.9%
94
77.1%
Q3 - 2:56PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
23.9%
94
76.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
26.6%
94
73.4%
Q3 - 3:06MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)90
27.3%
93
72.7%
Q3 - 3:19PHXHill Driving Layup (9 PTS)90
30.0%
92
70.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)88
26.6%
92
73.4%
Q3 - 3:45PHXBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
30.0%
90
70.0%
Q3 - 3:45PHXBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
29.2%
90
70.8%
Q3 - 3:48PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
26.6%
90
73.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
25.5%
90
74.5%
Q3 - 4:11PHXAmundson Dunk (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)86
23.1%
90
76.9%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)84
20.7%
90
79.3%
Q3 - 4:26PHXHaslem STEAL (1 STL)84
26.4%
87
73.6%
Q3 - 4:38MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)84
30.5%
87
69.5%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
26.4%
87
73.6%
Q3 - 4:51PHXMISS Amundson Free Throw 2 of 284
26.9%
87
73.1%
Q3 - 4:51PHXAmundson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
28.5%
87
71.5%
Q3 - 4:51PHXSuns Rebound83
26.9%
87
73.1%
Q3 - 4:52PHXMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot83
24.2%
87
75.8%
Q3 - 5:07PHXSuns Rebound83
26.9%
87
73.1%
Q3 - 5:09PHXMISS Nash 10' Fadeaway Jumper83
24.4%
87
75.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade Dunk (25 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)83
26.9%
87
73.1%
Q3 - 5:40PHXRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)83
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q3 - 5:40PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
29.1%
85
70.9%
Q3 - 5:42PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
26.9%
85
73.1%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot81
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
23.3%
85
76.7%
Q3 - 5:52PHXO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)81
24.4%
85
75.6%
Q3 - 5:56PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
26.9%
85
73.1%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Cook 14' Jump Shot81
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q3 - 6:21PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)81
23.7%
85
76.3%
Q3 - 6:28MIACook 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)78
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q3 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
20.9%
83
79.1%
Q3 - 6:38PHXMISS O'Neal Layup78
21.8%
83
78.2%
Q3 - 6:48MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)78
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q3 - 7:09PHXRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)78
26.8%
81
73.2%
Q3 - 7:21MIAWade Layup (23 PTS)75
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q3 - 7:32PHXMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q3 - 7:38PHXRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q3 - 7:39PHXMISS O'Neal Layup75
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q3 - 7:41PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q3 - 7:42PHXMISS Hill 14' Jump Shot75
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q3 - 7:51PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot75
26.0%
79
74.0%
Q3 - 8:05PHXO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T12)75
23.9%
79
76.1%
Q3 - 8:05PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q3 - 8:07PHXMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)75
24.8%
79
75.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
27.0%
79
73.0%
Q3 - 8:23PHXO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)75
33.1%
76
66.9%
Q3 - 8:37MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)75
36.8%
76
63.2%
Q3 - 8:51PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)75
33.1%
76
66.9%
Q3 - 9:12MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)72
27.0%
76
73.0%
Q3 - 9:31PHXO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)72
29.9%
74
70.1%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
27.0%
74
73.0%
Q3 - 10:00PHXBarnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)70
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)67
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q3 - 10:32PHXO'Neal Layup (12 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)67
24.3%
71
75.7%
Q3 - 10:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 10:50MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
22.3%
70
77.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot65
26.2%
69
73.8%
Q3 - 11:05PHXNash 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)63
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 11:49PHXO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)63
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 261
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)60
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0PHXNash Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
15.5%
67
84.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0PHXHill Foul Turnover (P1.T10)58
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q2 - 1:02PHXSuns Rebound58
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q2 - 1:15MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q2 - 1:16PHXMISS Nash 11' Turnaround Jump Shot58
15.3%
67
84.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)58
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
20.7%
64
79.3%
Q2 - 1:36PHXMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
21.2%
64
78.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)58
22.3%
64
77.7%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)58
22.8%
63
77.3%
Q2 - 2:03PHXBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)58
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)55
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q2 - 2:45PHXRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
25.0%
59
75.0%
Q2 - 2:58PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot52
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q2 - 3:18PHXNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q2 - 3:42PHXRichardson 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)49
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)47
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q2 - 4:21PHXHill Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)47
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q2 - 4:26PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
13.9%
56
86.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot45
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q2 - 4:39PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
12.4%
56
87.6%
Q2 - 4:39PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 244
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q2 - 4:59MIABeasley Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)44
12.5%
56
87.5%
Q2 - 5:13PHXHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 5:13PHXMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 243
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 5:27MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
14.3%
54
85.7%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot43
18.6%
51
81.4%
Q2 - 5:55PHXBeasley STEAL (2 STL)43
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 6:13MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)43
19.7%
51
80.3%
Q2 - 6:32PHXDudley Foul Turnover (P1.T8)43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 6:37PHXMISS Nash Free Throw Technical43
23.6%
49
76.4%
Q2 - 6:44PHXSuns Rebound43
23.6%
49
76.4%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Beasley Tip Shot43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 6:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 7:01PHXBeasley STEAL (1 STL)43
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q2 - 7:12MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
23.5%
49
76.5%
Q2 - 7:21MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot43
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 7:44PHXNash 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q2 - 7:53MIABeasley Tip Shot (10 PTS)41
19.6%
49
80.4%
Q2 - 7:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
21.4%
47
78.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot41
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 8:12PHXBarbosa 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)41
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 8:18MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)38
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 8:25PHXCook STEAL (2 STL)38
16.7%
47
83.3%
Q2 - 8:36MIACook 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)38
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 8:53PHXBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)38
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 8:57PHXBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
21.1%
45
78.9%
Q2 - 9:23PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 9:30MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)35
16.8%
45
83.2%
Q2 - 9:52PHXDudley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
15.3%
45
84.7%
Q2 - 10:07MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)33
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 10:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q2 - 10:31MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
18.2%
42
81.8%
Q2 - 10:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q2 - 10:41PHXMISS O'Neal Layup33
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 10:55MIABeasley Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)33
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 11:11PHXO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
20.6%
40
79.4%
Q2 - 11:11PHXO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 11:23PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot31
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 11:40PHXBarnes 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 48' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHXAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)29
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
16.2%
40
83.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0PHXBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)29
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWade 14' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)26
14.9%
38
85.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0PHXO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)26
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)24
14.9%
36
85.1%
Q1 - 1:14PHXBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)24
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q1 - 1:23MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)21
15.4%
33
84.6%
Q1 - 1:45PHXRichardson 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)21
17.0%
31
83.0%
Q1 - 2:01MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)19
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q1 - 2:12PHXCook STEAL (1 STL)19
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIACook Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)19
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 2:44PHXMISS Hill 9' Running Jump Shot19
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 3:00PHXSuns Rebound19
21.4%
27
78.6%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot19
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 3:12MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 3:13PHXMISS Barbosa 15' Running Jump Shot19
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 3:21MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 3:40PHXRichardson Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)19
24.8%
24
75.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 3:47MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 3:59MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.8%
22
75.2%
Q1 - 4:00PHXMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot17
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)17
26.6%
22
73.4%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 217
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWade Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)17
26.5%
21
73.5%
Q1 - 4:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 4:24PHXMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot17
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 4:41MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)17
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 4:55PHXAmundson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 5:05PHXBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot17
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q1 - 5:22PHXAmundson Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 5:23PHXAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 5:24PHXMISS Hill Driving Layup15
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)15
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 6:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 6:01PHXMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot15
28.8%
18
71.2%
Q1 - 6:17MIAMoon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
30.0%
18
70.0%
Q1 - 6:37PHXNash 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
31.8%
16
68.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAChalmers Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 7:08PHXO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 7:08PHXO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMoon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 7:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:27PHXMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot11
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)11
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 7:55PHXHill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)11
35.3%
10
64.7%
Q1 - 7:59PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot9
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 8:22PHXRichardson Layup (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)9
31.5%
10
68.5%
Q1 - 8:28PHXHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot7
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
28.0%
10
72.0%
Q1 - 8:49PHXMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Hook Shot7
28.5%
10
71.5%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 9:12PHXO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)7
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)7
33.4%
8
66.6%
Q1 - 9:26PHXChalmers STEAL (1 STL)7
35.4%
6
64.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAChalmers Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 9:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 9:42PHXMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
39.6%
4
60.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:22PHXO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)7
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:32MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:48PHXRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
42.0%
0
58.0%
Q1 - 10:58PHXO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot2
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot2
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:25PHXNash Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.6%
0
65.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers0
33.1%
0
66.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.32 65.8%
MIA
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
25
35
71%
MIA
17
19
89%
Midrange
PHX
9
23
39%
MIA
18
42
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
MIA
13
19.5
23
57%
85%
Free Throws
PHX
19
29
66%
MIA
26
29
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash2985%14.5 / 17
J. Richardson2265%11.0 / 17
S. O'Neal2265%11.0 / 17
M. Barnes1986%9.5 / 11
G. Hill1341%6.5 / 16
L. Barbosa945%4.5 / 10
J. Dudley880%4.0 / 5
L. Amundson788%3.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3570%17.5 / 25
M. Beasley2874%14.0 / 19
D. Cook2784%13.5 / 16
J. Moon1575%7.5 / 10
M. Chalmers1470%7.0 / 10
U. Haslem1083%5.0 / 6
J. O'Neal638%3.0 / 8
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
86
+11
-15
97
MIA
89
+11
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.32 65.8%
MIA
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.8
107.6
PHX 127.7
MIA 132.4 +4.6
Pace
95.8
90.2
PHX 111.7 +18.6
MIA 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.3
PHX 12.9 +2.6
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.5%
50.0%
PHX 64.0%
MIA 64.9% +0.9%
TO %
16.0%
13.1%
PHX 13.2% +0.2%
MIA 13.4%
ORB %
27.7%
24.6%
PHX 21.1%
MIA 31.3% +10.2%
FTrt
33.6
28.2
PHX 33.7
MIA 34.5 +0.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.5%
55.1%
PHX 47.9%
MIA 66.7% +18.8%
STL %
7.4%
8.7%
PHX 5.0%
MIA 9.8% +4.8%
BLK %
7.8%
9.2%
PHX 3.3%
MIA 8.6% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
52.6%
PHX 65.8%
MIA 66.2% +0.4%
Rim FG%
63.9%
59.5%
PHX 71.4%
MIA 89.5% +18.1%
Mid FG%
43.9%
41.8%
PHX 39.1%
MIA 42.9% +3.8%
3P %
38.3%
35.7%
PHX 50.0%
MIA 56.5% +6.5%
FT %
74.4%
75.4%
PHX 65.5%
MIA 89.7% +24.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.5%
30.3%
PHX 40.7% +18.1%
MIA 22.6%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
45.2%
PHX 26.7% +23.3%
MIA 50.0%
3P Att. %
21.6%
24.5%
PHX 32.6% +5.2%
MIA 27.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions101102
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points129135
Rebounds3040
Assists2332
Steals510
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)30 (1)
Field Goals48-8648-84
At-the-Rim FG25-3517-19
Midrange FG9-2318-42
2-Point FG34-5835-61
3-Point FG14-2813-23
Free Throws19-2926-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 226 · 29
39.8
19
86%
3
1
1
0
3
5
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
F · 6'6" 225 · 28
39.4
22
65%
4
3
0
0
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 178 · 35
38.0
29
85%
5
10
1
0
3
3
0
5
3-4
75%
10-14
71%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 225 · 36
32.6
13
41%
6
3
0
0
1
4
0
6
3-6
50%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 325 · 37
30.1
22
65%
8
1
2
2
1
6
4
4
6-9
67%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 194 · 26
30.0
9
45%
1
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 240 · 24
16.0
8
80%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 220 · 26
14.2
7
88%
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
F · 6'6" 205 · 25
C · 7'0" 277 · 21
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29
#1 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
129
66%
30
23
5
2
15
0
8
22
19-29
66%
34-58
59%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.