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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Spurs37%91102
9Mavericks63%95107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
38.6
23.9
19
39%
12
5
1
0
2
1
7
5
5-7
71%
7-21
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
37.1
27.1
23
76%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
4-6
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
36.6
24.7
5
28%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
36.6
31.1
37
66%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
14-21
8-16
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
21.6
25.3
11
65%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
1-3
33%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
28.1
19.8
4
40%
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
23.6
16.2
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
8.6
16.8
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
3.5
18.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
3.3
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
2.3
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
4.9
0
1-1
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
42.1
37.4
24
68%
12
5
0
1
2
2
3
9
5-6
83%
8-13
8-17
62%
49%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
38.8
25.8
29
84%
7
1
0
1
1
2
0
7
5-5
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
4-5
80%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
36.8
34.9
17
78%
7
9
0
2
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
3-5
60%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
31.5
13.3
9
97%
4
1
0
0
4
0
2
2
5-6
83%
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
23.9
21.1
5
43%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
34.8
27.0
17
58%
1
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
14.7
17.8
4
52%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
9.8
20.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
7.7
23.7
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
12.8
0
1-2
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
7.5
0
1-2
44%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
2.9
0
0-1
51%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.