for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies40%93118
28Clippers60%9695
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
41.6
30.8
20
84%
8
10
3
1
3
5
1
7
6-9
67%
7-8
4-8
88%
53%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
40.2
34.9
18
55%
2
5
2
1
0
4
1
1
3-3
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
37.5
34.8
35
67%
8
4
2
1
0
1
3
5
9-9
100%
10-19
6-12
53%
49%
2-3
67%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
16.8
21.9
8
67%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
1.6
34.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
28.7
14.0
17
61%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
8-13
2-5
62%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
24.3
12.3
10
63%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
20.5
15.6
7
58%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.2
19.9
11.4
3
38%
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
4.8
15.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
4.1
8.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.6
4.5
0
1-2
46%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.2
40.0
32.1
25
61%
5
2
1
1
1
3
2
3
7-8
88%
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
34.3
12.1
9
43%
9
2
0
0
4
2
3
6
3-8
38%
3-7
1-2
43%
59%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
34.2
32.1
16
56%
3
7
2
2
2
5
0
3
2-5
40%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
32.7
28.3
7
39%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-6
17%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
12.0
28.9
3
40%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
0-2
3-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
28.0
17.8
15
51%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-6
50%
6-11
2-5
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
22.0
24.7
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
55%
2-6
33%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
21.7
14.6
5
63%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
13.6
7.6
3
80%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
1.6
8.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
19.9
1
2-5
51%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.4
14.1
0
1-2
48%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.