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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks34%9288
5Hornets66%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
37.7
38.6
27
61%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
8-9
89%
8-16
8-16
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
36.5
34.9
13
53%
5
2
3
2
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
2-6
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
28.4
20.1
7
61%
9
0
0
0
0
0
7
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
27.9
22.2
6
61%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
17.5
30.4
7
35%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
32.5
29.8
10
36%
1
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
0-5
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
18.6
16.9
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
17.6
16.9
6
61%
4
2
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
7.5
17.9
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
6.3
5.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
4.8
9.2
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
4.8
2.7
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.3
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
39.9
41.1
19
52%
10
3
0
1
3
2
2
8
3-5
60%
8-16
9-18
50%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
39.9
35.2
18
59%
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
5
4-5
80%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
36.2
39.4
27
65%
4
15
1
3
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
9-16
7-14
56%
53%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
32.7
34.2
10
100%
11
1
0
1
0
3
2
9
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
60%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
21.8
3.8
6
60%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.1
29.3
27.3
6
43%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
14.8
11.9
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
11.8
7.0
5
83%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
8.1
3.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
2.8
5.0
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
2.8
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
8.2
0
1-2
46%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.