| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 118.7 | 91 | 84.5 |
 TOR | 112.1 | 91 | 98.5 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+15
-12
94
TOR
78
+14
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.4%
TOR
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | TOR |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 108 100% | 102 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | TOR | Parker Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 108 99.9% | 102 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 108 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 21' Jump Shot | 108 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | TOR | Marion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 108 99.9% | 100 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Wade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (42 PTS) | 108 99.6% | 100 0.4% |
| Q4 - 1:04 | TOR | Bargnani Layup (23 PTS) (Parker 9 AST) | 106 98.5% | 100 1.5% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | TOR | Marion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 106 98.9% | 98 1.1% |
| Q4 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 106 99.1% | 98 0.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | TOR | Marion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12) | 106 99.2% | 98 0.8% |
| Q4 - 1:30 | TOR | Marion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 106 98.5% | 98 1.5% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | TOR | MISS Bosh Layup | 106 98.9% | 98 1.1% |
| Q4 - 1:33 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 106 98.3% | 98 1.7% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | TOR | MISS Bosh Layup | 106 98.7% | 98 1.3% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14) | 106 97.9% | 98 2.1% |
| Q4 - 1:59 | TOR | Kapono 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 8 AST) | 106 98.6% | 98 1.4% |
| Q4 - 2:08 | MIA | Haslem Running Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 106 99.5% | 95 0.5% |
| Q4 - 2:15 | TOR | Kapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 104 99.2% | 95 0.8% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIA | Kapono STEAL (1 STL) | 104 98.6% | 95 1.4% |
| Q4 - 2:43 | TOR | Bosh 4' Hook Shot (34 PTS) | 104 99.3% | 95 0.7% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 104 99.1% | 93 0.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | TOR | MISS Parker Driving Layup | 104 99.4% | 93 0.6% |
| Q4 - 3:04 | MIA | Beasley 8' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 104 99.2% | 93 0.8% |
| Q4 - 3:24 | TOR | Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST) | 102 98.9% | 93 1.1% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | MIA | Cook 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 102 98.7% | 90 1.3% |
| Q4 - 3:59 | TOR | Bargnani Traveling Turnover (P3.T10) | 99 97.6% | 90 2.4% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 99 96.5% | 90 3.5% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 99 96.9% | 90 3.1% |
| Q4 - 4:23 | TOR | Marion Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST) | 99 97.7% | 90 2.3% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 99 98.4% | 88 1.6% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 98 98.3% | 88 1.7% |
| Q4 - 4:57 | TOR | Bosh Dunk (32 PTS) (Marion 2 AST) | 97 97.8% | 88 2.2% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T12) | 97 97.2% | 86 2.8% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | TOR | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 97 98.0% | 86 2.0% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | TOR | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 97 98.1% | 85 1.9% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | TOR | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 97 98.6% | 84 1.4% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem Tip Shot | 97 98.7% | 84 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 97 99.0% | 84 1.0% |
| Q4 - 5:26 | MIA | MISS Haslem Tip Shot | 97 98.7% | 84 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 97 99.0% | 84 1.0% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | MIA | MISS Wade Layup | 97 98.7% | 84 1.3% |
| Q4 - 5:48 | TOR | Bargnani 13' Driving Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 97 99.0% | 84 1.0% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 97 98.8% | 82 1.2% |
| Q4 - 6:25 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 94 97.8% | 82 2.2% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | TOR | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 94 97.6% | 82 2.4% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 94 97.1% | 82 2.9% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 93 96.9% | 82 3.1% |
| Q4 - 6:46 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 92 96.1% | 82 3.9% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Beasley Layup | 92 95.2% | 82 4.8% |
| Q4 - 7:09 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 92 95.0% | 82 5.0% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | TOR | MISS Calderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 92 94.5% | 82 5.5% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | MIA | Wade Slam Dunk (40 PTS) | 92 93.4% | 82 6.6% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 90 91.6% | 82 8.4% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 89.9% | 82 10.1% |
| Q4 - 7:57 | TOR | Bargnani 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST) | 90 91.7% | 82 8.3% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | MIA | Wade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (38 PTS) | 90 92.2% | 80 7.8% |
| Q4 - 8:31 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 88 90.1% | 80 9.9% |
| Q4 - 8:32 | TOR | MISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 88 89.4% | 80 10.6% |
| Q4 - 8:45 | TOR | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 88 87.7% | 80 12.3% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | MIA | MISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot | 88 88.5% | 80 11.5% |
| Q4 - 9:06 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9) | 88 88.5% | 80 11.5% |
| Q4 - 9:26 | MIA | O'Neal 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 88 86.0% | 80 14.0% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | TOR | Kapono 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 86 82.8% | 80 17.2% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 86 86.1% | 78 13.9% |
| Q4 - 10:00 | MIA | MISS Beasley Layup | 86 86.9% | 78 13.1% |
| Q4 - 10:01 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 86 87.1% | 78 12.9% |
| Q4 - 10:03 | MIA | MISS Cook Driving Layup | 86 85.3% | 78 14.7% |
| Q4 - 10:23 | TOR | Bargnani 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Graham 1 AST) | 86 87.2% | 78 12.8% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 86 89.6% | 76 10.4% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot | 86 91.0% | 76 9.0% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 86 89.6% | 76 10.4% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | MIA | MISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot | 86 90.2% | 76 9.8% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 86 91.5% | 76 8.5% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 91.0% | 76 9.0% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 86 88.3% | 76 11.7% |
| Q4 - 11:05 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (2 BLK) | 86 88.9% | 76 11.1% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 86 90.3% | 76 9.7% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 89.0% | 76 11.0% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 86 90.3% | 76 9.7% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | MIA | MISS Cook 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 86 89.0% | 76 11.0% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 86 90.3% | 76 9.7% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | TOR | MISS Mensah-Bonsu Tip Shot | 86 89.8% | 76 10.2% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 86 88.4% | 76 11.6% |
| Q4 - 11:44 | TOR | MISS Graham 15' Jump Shot | 86 89.8% | 76 10.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 86 88.4% | 76 11.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 86 88.4% | 76 11.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Mensah-Bonsu 43' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 86 89.8% | 76 10.2% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS) | 86 87.2% | 76 12.8% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 85 86.7% | 76 13.3% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | TOR | Kapono Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8) | 85 86.9% | 76 13.1% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS) | 85 84.8% | 76 15.2% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 84 84.3% | 76 15.7% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 84 84.5% | 76 15.5% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 | 84 84.2% | 76 15.8% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | Wade 23' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS) | 84 87.3% | 74 12.7% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 82 83.5% | 74 16.5% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | TOR | MISS Mensah-Bonsu Reverse Layup | 82 82.7% | 74 17.3% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 82 80.9% | 74 19.1% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Haslem Layup | 82 81.7% | 74 18.3% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | TOR | Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 82 83.5% | 74 16.5% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS) | 82 84.8% | 72 15.2% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS) | 81 84.4% | 72 15.6% |
| Q3 - 2:18 | TOR | Bosh 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 80 82.3% | 72 17.7% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | MIA | Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) | 80 85.0% | 70 15.0% |
| Q3 - 2:41 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 77 79.5% | 70 20.5% |
| Q3 - 2:43 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 77 77.3% | 70 22.7% |
| Q3 - 3:12 | TOR | Bosh Layup (26 PTS) (Parker 5 AST) | 77 78.6% | 70 21.4% |
| Q3 - 3:36 | MIA | Beasley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 77 81.3% | 68 18.7% |
| Q3 - 3:56 | TOR | Ukic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 75 78.6% | 68 21.4% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 75 74.2% | 68 25.8% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 74 73.5% | 68 26.5% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 73 71.4% | 68 28.6% |
| Q3 - 4:29 | MIA | Parker STEAL (4 STL) | 73 74.2% | 66 25.8% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | TOR | Bosh 11' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS) | 73 78.0% | 66 22.0% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 73 80.4% | 64 19.6% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 81.3% | 64 18.7% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 73 82.0% | 64 18.0% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 73 84.1% | 62 15.9% |
| Q3 - 5:24 | TOR | MISS Bosh Driving Reverse Layup | 73 85.8% | 62 14.2% |
| Q3 - 5:46 | MIA | Haslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 73 84.2% | 62 15.8% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 71 82.1% | 62 17.9% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 71 82.5% | 61 17.5% |
| Q3 - 6:21 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Moon 2 AST) | 71 83.3% | 60 16.7% |
| Q3 - 6:42 | TOR | Marion Tip Shot (8 PTS) | 68 78.5% | 60 21.5% |
| Q3 - 6:44 | TOR | Marion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 68 80.9% | 58 19.1% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | TOR | MISS Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup | 68 82.7% | 58 17.3% |
| Q3 - 6:51 | MIA | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 68 80.9% | 58 19.1% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | TOR | Bargnani Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 68 82.0% | 58 18.0% |
| Q3 - 7:22 | MIA | Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS) | 68 84.2% | 56 15.8% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 82.2% | 56 17.8% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | TOR | MISS Parker 21' Jump Shot | 66 81.4% | 56 18.6% |
| Q3 - 7:49 | MIA | Anthony Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 66 79.7% | 56 20.3% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 64 76.5% | 56 23.5% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | TOR | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 64 75.6% | 56 24.4% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | MIA | Wade Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 64 73.5% | 56 26.5% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 70.7% | 56 29.3% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 6' Turnaround Hook Shot | 62 69.6% | 56 30.4% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | TOR | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 62 67.2% | 56 32.8% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot | 62 68.3% | 56 31.7% |
| Q3 - 8:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 70.7% | 56 29.3% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | TOR | MISS Marion 8' Jump Shot | 62 69.6% | 56 30.4% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 62 67.2% | 56 32.8% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 61 66.5% | 56 33.5% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 61 67.4% | 56 32.6% |
| Q3 - 8:58 | MIA | Bargnani BLOCK (1 BLK) | 61 64.9% | 56 35.1% |
| Q3 - 9:20 | TOR | Bosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST) | 61 66.9% | 56 33.1% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | MIA | Marion STEAL (1 STL) | 61 70.1% | 54 29.9% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 73.1% | 54 26.9% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 61 72.2% | 54 27.8% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | TOR | Bargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 61 70.1% | 54 29.9% |
| Q3 - 9:56 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 13' Running Jump Shot | 61 71.0% | 54 29.0% |
| Q3 - 10:10 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 72.3% | 54 27.7% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Layup | 61 71.4% | 54 28.6% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | MIA | Parker STEAL (3 STL) | 61 69.3% | 54 30.7% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | TOR | Bosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 61 72.3% | 54 27.7% |
| Q3 - 11:10 | MIA | Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 61 74.3% | 52 25.7% |
| Q3 - 11:27 | TOR | Parker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 58 68.9% | 52 31.1% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 58 71.6% | 50 28.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 56 68.9% | 50 31.1% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 68.9% | 50 31.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 34' 3PT Running Jump Shot | 56 66.6% | 50 33.4% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | TOR | Marion 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST) | 56 67.8% | 50 32.2% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | MIA | Wade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 56 71.4% | 48 28.6% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 64.9% | 48 35.1% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | TOR | MISS Calderon 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 64.2% | 48 35.8% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 53 62.5% | 48 37.5% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | TOR | MISS Marion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 53 64.2% | 48 35.8% |
| Q2 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 53 62.5% | 48 37.5% |
| Q2 - 1:09 | TOR | Marion Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 50 55.0% | 48 45.0% |
| Q2 - 1:22 | MIA | Moon Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 50 59.1% | 46 40.9% |
| Q2 - 1:44 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 48 55.0% | 46 45.0% |
| Q2 - 1:45 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 54.3% | 46 45.7% |
| Q2 - 2:01 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 48 51.8% | 46 48.2% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 52.8% | 46 47.2% |
| Q2 - 2:17 | TOR | Bargnani 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS) | 48 55.1% | 46 44.9% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | MIA | Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 48 58.2% | 44 41.8% |
| Q2 - 2:50 | TOR | Parker 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 45 51.9% | 44 48.1% |
| Q2 - 3:11 | MIA | Wade 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 45 54.6% | 42 45.4% |
| Q2 - 3:14 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 42 48.9% | 42 51.1% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Driving Dunk | 42 46.4% | 42 53.6% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | TOR | Calderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 42 48.9% | 42 51.1% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | MIA | Haslem 9' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 42 54.6% | 39 45.4% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | TOR | Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 40 51.6% | 39 48.4% |
| Q2 - 4:18 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 40 57.5% | 36 42.5% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 40 58.4% | 36 41.6% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | TOR | Bosh Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 40 60.6% | 36 39.4% |
| Q2 - 4:57 | MIA | O'Neal 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 40 63.3% | 34 36.7% |
| Q2 - 5:14 | TOR | Calderon Foul Turnover (P2.T6) | 38 60.3% | 34 39.7% |
| Q2 - 5:17 | MIA | Calderon STEAL (1 STL) | 38 57.5% | 34 42.5% |
| Q2 - 5:24 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 60.3% | 34 39.7% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | TOR | MISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 38 59.4% | 34 40.6% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | MIA | Chalmers Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6) | 38 57.5% | 34 42.5% |
| Q2 - 6:04 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 38 60.0% | 34 40.0% |
| Q2 - 6:05 | TOR | MISS Banks 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 38 59.0% | 34 41.0% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 38 56.7% | 34 43.3% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | TOR | Banks Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 51.5% | 34 48.5% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 35 48.2% | 34 51.8% |
| Q2 - 6:51 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 35 51.5% | 34 48.5% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | MIA | Bosh BLOCK (2 BLK) | 35 49.2% | 34 50.8% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | TOR | Bosh 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Banks 1 AST) | 35 51.2% | 34 48.8% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIA | Wright Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Cook 4 AST) | 35 53.9% | 32 46.1% |
| Q2 - 7:38 | TOR | Bargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4) | 33 51.2% | 32 48.8% |
| Q2 - 7:51 | TOR | Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 48.2% | 32 51.8% |
| Q2 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS Cook 22' Jump Shot | 33 49.1% | 32 50.9% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 50.9% | 32 49.1% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | TOR | MISS Graham 8' Running Jump Shot | 33 50.1% | 32 49.9% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MIA | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 33 48.2% | 32 51.8% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | MIA | MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 47.7% | 32 52.3% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 32 48.1% | 32 51.9% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | TOR | MISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 47.3% | 32 52.7% |
| Q2 - 8:55 | MIA | Quinn 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST) | 32 45.5% | 32 54.5% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | TOR | Bosh Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 29 40.0% | 32 60.0% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | MIA | O'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST) | 29 42.5% | 30 57.5% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | TOR | Bargnani 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 27 40.0% | 30 60.0% |
| Q2 - 10:02 | TOR | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 42.6% | 28 57.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 43.4% | 28 56.6% |
| Q2 - 10:25 | TOR | Graham Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 27 45.3% | 28 54.7% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST) | 27 47.8% | 26 52.2% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 24 42.7% | 26 57.3% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 24 43.1% | 25 56.9% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | MIA | Quinn 11' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 24 45.1% | 24 54.9% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | TOR | Bargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 22 42.7% | 24 57.3% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 22 40.2% | 24 59.8% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 22 42.7% | 24 57.3% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIA | MISS Quinn 16' Jump Bank Shot | 22 40.9% | 24 59.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | 22 42.7% | 24 57.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 22 40.2% | 24 59.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | MISS Parker 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 22 41.9% | 24 58.1% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 22 40.5% | 24 59.5% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 40.1% | 24 59.9% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 20 37.5% | 24 62.5% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 20 37.9% | 23 62.1% |
| Q1 - 0:28.0 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 20 38.1% | 23 61.9% |
| Q1 - 0:39.0 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 20 40.4% | 22 59.6% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | MISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot | 20 41.0% | 22 59.0% |
| Q1 - 0:57.0 | TOR | Parker 9' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mensah-Bonsu 1 AST) | 20 42.3% | 22 57.7% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 20 45.4% | 20 54.6% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 45.9% | 20 54.1% |
| Q1 - 1:21 | TOR | Kapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 20 47.0% | 20 53.0% |
| Q1 - 1:35 | MIA | Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) | 20 50.1% | 18 49.9% |
| Q1 - 1:48 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 47.0% | 18 53.0% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | TOR | MISS Marion 10' Turnaround Hook Shot | 18 46.5% | 18 53.5% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 18 45.4% | 18 54.6% |
| Q1 - 2:00 | TOR | MISS Bosh 12' Hook Shot | 18 46.5% | 18 53.5% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | TOR | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 45.3% | 18 54.7% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | MISS Cook 22' Jump Shot | 18 45.9% | 18 54.1% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | TOR | Parker Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 18 47.2% | 18 52.8% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | MIA | Parker STEAL (2 STL) | 18 49.9% | 16 50.1% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | TOR | Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marion 1 AST) | 18 51.8% | 16 48.2% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | Beasley 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Moon 1 AST) | 18 56.5% | 13 43.5% |
| Q1 - 3:21 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 54.3% | 13 45.7% |
| Q1 - 3:23 | TOR | MISS Bargnani Driving Layup | 16 53.6% | 13 46.4% |
| Q1 - 3:42 | MIA | Wade Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) | 16 52.0% | 13 48.0% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 14 49.7% | 13 50.3% |
| Q1 - 3:49 | TOR | Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 14 50.0% | 12 50.0% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | MIA | Moon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 52.0% | 11 48.0% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 14 54.3% | 11 45.7% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 51.5% | 11 48.5% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 14 52.2% | 11 47.8% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 14 53.9% | 11 46.1% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | TOR | MISS Parker 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 14 53.2% | 11 46.8% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 14 51.5% | 11 48.5% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | TOR | MISS Mensah-Bonsu 6' Hook Shot | 14 53.2% | 11 46.8% |
| Q1 - 4:43 | TOR | Mensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 51.6% | 11 48.4% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 14 52.3% | 11 47.7% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | TOR | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 14 53.9% | 11 46.1% |
| Q1 - 4:57 | TOR | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 14 54.2% | 10 45.8% |
| Q1 - 5:02 | MIA | Parker STEAL (1 STL) | 14 55.4% | 9 44.6% |
| Q1 - 5:08 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 57.8% | 9 42.2% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | TOR | MISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 14 57.1% | 9 42.9% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIA | Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) | 14 55.4% | 9 44.6% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 12 53.6% | 9 46.4% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | MIA | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 12 51.9% | 9 48.1% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 53.6% | 9 46.4% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | TOR | MISS Parker 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 12 52.8% | 9 47.2% |
| Q1 - 6:20 | MIA | Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 12 51.1% | 9 48.9% |
| Q1 - 6:33 | TOR | Bosh 9' Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 10 49.0% | 9 51.0% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | Beasley Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 10 51.1% | 7 48.9% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | TOR | Marion Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST) | 8 49.0% | 7 51.0% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 8 50.9% | 5 49.1% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 8 51.6% | 5 48.4% |
| Q1 - 7:47 | TOR | Bargnani Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 8 53.2% | 5 46.8% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | MIA | Wade Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 8 55.1% | 3 44.9% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | TOR | Bargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 6 53.0% | 3 47.0% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 6 55.1% | 1 44.9% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | MIA | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 55.7% | 1 44.3% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | TOR | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 57.2% | 1 42.8% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | TOR | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 6 57.5% | 0 42.5% |
| Q1 - 8:56 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 57.2% | 0 42.8% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 15' Pullup Jump Shot | 6 57.8% | 0 42.2% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | TOR | Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 58.7% | 0 41.3% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | TOR | RAPTORS Rebound | 6 56.9% | 0 43.1% |
| Q1 - 9:24 | TOR | MISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot | 6 58.2% | 0 41.8% |
| Q1 - 9:47 | MIA | Wade 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 57.0% | 0 43.0% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 54.8% | 0 45.2% |
| Q1 - 9:55 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 4 54.3% | 0 45.7% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | MIA | O'Neal 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 4 52.2% | 0 47.8% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 2 49.1% | 0 50.9% |
| Q1 - 10:32 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | TOR | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 2 49.9% | 0 50.1% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | TOR | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 48.6% | 0 51.4% |
| Q1 - 10:44 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 2 49.2% | 0 50.8% |
| Q1 - 10:57 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | TOR | MISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot | 2 49.9% | 0 50.1% |
| Q1 - 11:19 | MIA | Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 2 48.1% | 0 51.9% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 46.5% | 0 53.5% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | TOR | MISS Marion Dunk | 0 45.9% | 0 54.1% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | TOR | Marion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 44.7% | 0 55.3% |
| Q1 - 11:46 | TOR | MISS Bosh Layup | 0 46.0% | 0 54.0% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | TOR | Jump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Bargnani | 0 44.7% | 0 55.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.4%
TOR
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
TOR
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
17
36
47%
TOR
19
44
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
TOR
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
16
20
80%
TOR
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wade | 42 | 81% | 21.0 / 26 | |
| M. Beasley | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| M. Chalmers | 10 | 71% | 5.0 / 7 | |
| U. Haslem | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| C. Quinn | 10 | 100% | 5.0 / 5 | |
| J. O'Neal | 8 | 31% | 4.0 / 13 | |
| D. Cook | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| J. Moon | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| D. Wright | 3 | 75% | 1.5 / 2 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bosh | 34 | 63% | 17.0 / 27 | |
| A. Bargnani | 23 | 61% | 11.5 / 19 | |
| A. Parker | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| S. Marion | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| J. Kapono | 10 | 100% | 5.0 / 5 | |
| P. Mensah-Bonsu | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| J. Calderon | 3 | 25% | 1.5 / 6 | |
| J. Graham | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| M. Banks | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
79
+15
-12
94
TOR
78
+14
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.4%
TOR
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.6 106.3 | MIA 118.7 +6.6 TOR 112.1 |
| Pace | 90.2 92.6 | MIA 84.5 TOR 98.5 +14.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.4 | MIA 17.0 TOR 14.6 +2.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 49.4% | MIA 56.8% +3.8% TOR 53.0% |
| TO % | 13.1% 13.8% | MIA 13.5% TOR 12.6% +0.9% |
| ORB % | 24.6% 24.1% | MIA 32.4% +6.7% TOR 25.7% |
| FTrt | 28.2 27.9 | MIA 24.7 +4.2 TOR 20.5 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.1% 60.1% | MIA 53.7% TOR 59.5% +5.8% |
| STL % | 8.7% 6.8% | MIA 7.7% TOR 8.8% +1.1% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 7.6% | MIA 12.2% +5.5% TOR 6.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.6% 52.7% | MIA 57.4% +2.0% TOR 55.4% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 57.9% | MIA 58.3% TOR 63.3% +5.0% |
| Mid FG% | 41.8% 42.3% | MIA 47.2% +4.0% TOR 43.2% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 37.2% | MIA 47.6% +3.2% TOR 44.4% |
| FT % | 75.4% 82.4% | MIA 80.0% TOR 82.4% +2.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 28.4% | MIA 29.6% TOR 36.1% +6.5% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.2% 52.3% | MIA 44.4% +8.6% TOR 53.0% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 19.3% | MIA 25.9% +15.1% TOR 10.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
| Game Totals | MIA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.8 | 22.2 |
| Points | 108 | 102 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 32 |
| Assists | 22 | 25 |
| Steals | 7 | 8 |
| Blocks | 9 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 12 (2) | 13 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (4) | 9 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 23 (2) |
| Field Goals | 41-81 | 42-83 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-24 | 19-30 |
| Midrange FG | 17-36 | 19-44 |
| 2-Point FG | 31-60 | 38-74 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-21 | 4-9 |
| Free Throws | 16-20 | 14-17 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.