for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 6, 2009
Final Win Prob. pScore
16
Heat
46%95
108
19
Raptors
54%97
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
118.79184.5
TOR logo Raptors
112.19198.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
102
Q4 - 0:05.0TORParker Driving Layup (16 PTS)108
102
Q4 - 0:12.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
100
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot108
100
Q4 - 0:35.0TORMarion Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)108
100
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (42 PTS)108
100
Q4 - 1:04MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)106
100
Q4 - 1:04TORBargnani Layup (23 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)106
100
Q4 - 1:12TORMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)106
98
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot106
98
Q4 - 1:27TORMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)106
98
Q4 - 1:30TORMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)106
98
Q4 - 1:32TORMISS Bosh Layup106
98
Q4 - 1:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)106
98
Q4 - 1:36TORMISS Bosh Layup106
98
Q4 - 1:42MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)106
98
Q4 - 1:59TORKapono 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)106
98
Q4 - 2:06TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)106
95
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem Running Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)106
95
Q4 - 2:15TORKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)104
95
Q4 - 2:18MIAKapono STEAL (1 STL)104
95
Q4 - 2:43TORBosh 4' Hook Shot (34 PTS)104
95
Q4 - 2:54TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)104
93
Q4 - 2:56TORMISS Parker Driving Layup104
93
Q4 - 3:04MIABeasley 8' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)104
93
Q4 - 3:24TORKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)102
93
Q4 - 3:36MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)102
90
Q4 - 3:59TORBargnani Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)99
90
Q4 - 4:05TORRAPTORS Rebound99
90
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
90
Q4 - 4:23TORMarion Layup (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)99
90
Q4 - 4:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)99
88
Q4 - 4:33MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)98
88
Q4 - 4:33TORBargnani S.FOUL (P3.T2)97
88
Q4 - 4:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)97
88
Q4 - 4:57TORBosh Dunk (32 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)97
88
Q4 - 5:13MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T12)97
86
Q4 - 5:21TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)97
86
Q4 - 5:21TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
85
Q4 - 5:21MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P3.T1)97
84
Q4 - 5:23TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
84
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot97
84
Q4 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)97
84
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot97
84
Q4 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
84
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Wade Layup97
84
Q4 - 5:48TORBargnani 13' Driving Jump Shot (21 PTS)97
84
Q4 - 6:05TORSUB: Marion FOR Calderon97
82
Q4 - 6:05TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)97
82
Q4 - 6:05MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)97
82
Q4 - 6:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
82
Q4 - 6:26TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot94
82
Q4 - 6:45MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
82
Q4 - 6:45MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
82
Q4 - 6:45TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.T1)92
82
Q4 - 6:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
82
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Beasley Layup92
82
Q4 - 7:09MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal92
82
Q4 - 7:09TORSUB: Parker FOR Graham92
82
Q4 - 7:09TORSUB: Bosh FOR Mensah-Bonsu92
82
Q4 - 7:09MIAHeat Rebound92
82
Q4 - 7:10TORMISS Calderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot92
82
Q4 - 7:31MIAWade Slam Dunk (40 PTS)92
82
Q4 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
82
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
82
Q4 - 7:57TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)90
82
Q4 - 8:18MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (38 PTS)90
80
Q4 - 8:31MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
80
Q4 - 8:32TORMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot88
80
Q4 - 8:45TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
80
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot88
80
Q4 - 9:06TORMensah-Bonsu 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)88
80
Q4 - 9:26MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)88
80
Q4 - 9:40MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn86
80
Q4 - 9:40MIASUB: Wade FOR Moon86
80
Q4 - 9:40MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)86
80
Q4 - 9:41TORKapono 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
80
Q4 - 9:59TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
78
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Beasley Layup86
78
Q4 - 10:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
78
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup86
78
Q4 - 10:23TORBargnani 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)86
78
Q4 - 10:28TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
76
Q4 - 10:29TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 10:40TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
76
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 10:55MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
76
Q4 - 10:56TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 11:03TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
76
Q4 - 11:05MIABargnani BLOCK (2 BLK)86
76
Q4 - 11:16MIAHeat Rebound86
76
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Moon 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 11:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
76
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Cook 17' Pullup Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 11:40MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
76
Q4 - 11:42TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Tip Shot86
76
Q4 - 11:43TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
76
Q4 - 11:44TORMISS Graham 15' Jump Shot86
76
Q4 - 12:0086
76
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR86
76
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound86
76
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu 43' 3PT Running Jump Shot86
76
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)86
76
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound85
76
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
76
Q3 - 0:02.0TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.PN)85
76
Q3 - 0:09.0TORSUB: Mensah-Bonsu FOR Calderon85
76
Q3 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Wright85
76
Q3 - 0:09.0TORKapono Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)85
76
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)85
76
Q3 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Beasley84
76
Q3 - 0:27.0TORSUB: Calderon FOR Mensah-Bonsu84
76
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound84
76
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
76
Q3 - 0:27.0TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Bosh84
76
Q3 - 0:27.0TORUkic P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
76
Q3 - 0:40.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
76
Q3 - 0:41.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 184
76
Q3 - 0:41.0TORSUB: Ukic FOR Parker84
76
Q3 - 0:41.0TORSUB: Graham FOR Marion84
76
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T2)84
76
Q3 - 0:41.0TORBosh 16' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)84
76
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWade 23' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)84
74
Q3 - 1:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
74
Q3 - 1:17TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu Reverse Layup82
74
Q3 - 1:27TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
74
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS Haslem Layup82
74
Q3 - 1:45TORParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
74
Q3 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)82
72
Q3 - 2:01TORSUB: Kapono FOR Ukic81
72
Q3 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)81
72
Q3 - 2:01TORUkic P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
72
Q3 - 2:18TORBosh 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)80
72
Q3 - 2:39MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)80
70
Q3 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
70
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot77
70
Q3 - 3:12TORBosh Layup (26 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)77
70
Q3 - 3:36MIABeasley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)77
68
Q3 - 3:55TORUkic P.FOUL (P1.T4)75
68
Q3 - 3:56TORUkic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)75
68
Q3 - 4:07MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
68
Q3 - 4:07MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers74
68
Q3 - 4:07MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
68
Q3 - 4:07TORMensah-Bonsu S.FOUL (P2.T3)73
68
Q3 - 4:25TORMensah-Bonsu Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)73
68
Q3 - 4:29MIAParker STEAL (4 STL)73
66
Q3 - 4:43MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony73
66
Q3 - 4:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
66
Q3 - 4:43TORBosh 11' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)73
66
Q3 - 4:54TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
64
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
64
Q3 - 5:21TORMensah-Bonsu Tip Shot (2 PTS)73
64
Q3 - 5:22TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
62
Q3 - 5:24TORMISS Bosh Driving Reverse Layup73
62
Q3 - 5:33TORSUB: Ukic FOR Calderon73
62
Q3 - 5:33TORSUB: Mensah-Bonsu FOR Bargnani73
62
Q3 - 5:46MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)73
62
Q3 - 6:00TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
62
Q3 - 6:00TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
61
Q3 - 6:00MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)71
60
Q3 - 6:21MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)71
60
Q3 - 6:42TORMarion Tip Shot (8 PTS)68
60
Q3 - 6:44TORMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
58
Q3 - 6:46TORMISS Marion Driving Finger Roll Layup68
58
Q3 - 6:51MIABosh STEAL (1 STL)68
58
Q3 - 7:05TORBargnani Driving Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)68
58
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
56
Q3 - 7:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
56
Q3 - 7:35TORMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot66
56
Q3 - 7:49TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
56
Q3 - 7:49MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)66
56
Q3 - 7:55MIASUB: Anthony FOR O'Neal64
56
Q3 - 7:55TORParker P.FOUL (P3.T2)64
56
Q3 - 8:02MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
56
Q3 - 8:03TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
56
Q3 - 8:16MIAWade Slam Dunk (25 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)64
56
Q3 - 8:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
56
Q3 - 8:19TORMISS Bargnani 6' Turnaround Hook Shot62
56
Q3 - 8:26TORMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
56
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
56
Q3 - 8:39TORMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAHeat Rebound61
56
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 261
56
Q3 - 8:54TORMarion S.FOUL (P1.T1)61
56
Q3 - 8:55MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
56
Q3 - 8:58MIABargnani BLOCK (1 BLK)61
56
Q3 - 9:20TORBosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)61
56
Q3 - 9:33MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)61
54
Q3 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
54
Q3 - 9:46TORMISS Bargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot61
54
Q3 - 9:55TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
54
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS O'Neal 13' Running Jump Shot61
54
Q3 - 10:10MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
54
Q3 - 10:11TORMISS Bargnani Layup61
54
Q3 - 10:28MIAParker STEAL (3 STL)61
54
Q3 - 10:46TORBosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)61
54
Q3 - 11:10MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
52
Q3 - 11:27TORParker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
52
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)58
50
Q3 - 12:0056
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound56
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 34' 3PT Running Jump Shot56
50
Q2 - 0:03.0TORMarion 9' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)56
50
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)56
48
Q2 - 0:34.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
48
Q2 - 0:35.0TORMISS Calderon 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
48
Q2 - 0:45.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
48
Q2 - 0:46.0TORMISS Marion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot53
48
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)53
48
Q2 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Haslem52
48
Q2 - 0:58.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker52
48
Q2 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers52
48
Q2 - 0:58.0TORParker S.FOUL (P2.T3)52
48
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 1:09TORMarion Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)50
48
Q2 - 1:22MIAMoon Driving Layup (2 PTS)50
46
Q2 - 1:39TORJump Ball Parker vs. Wade: Tip to Haslem48
46
Q2 - 1:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
46
Q2 - 1:45TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 2:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
46
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
46
Q2 - 2:17TORBargnani 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS)48
46
Q2 - 2:33MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)48
44
Q2 - 2:43MIASUB: Moon FOR O'Neal45
44
Q2 - 2:43MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
44
Q2 - 2:50TORParker 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)45
44
Q2 - 3:11MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)45
42
Q2 - 3:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
42
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Dunk42
42
Q2 - 3:29TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
42
Q2 - 3:29MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T4)42
41
Q2 - 3:29TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)42
41
Q2 - 3:43MIAHaslem 9' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)42
39
Q2 - 4:08TORBosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)40
39
Q2 - 4:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
36
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot40
36
Q2 - 4:40TORBosh Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)40
36
Q2 - 4:57MIAO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)40
34
Q2 - 5:14TORCalderon Foul Turnover (P2.T6)38
34
Q2 - 5:14TORCalderon OFF.Foul (P1)38
34
Q2 - 5:17MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)38
34
Q2 - 5:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
34
Q2 - 5:25TORMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot38
34
Q2 - 5:34MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T3)38
34
Q2 - 5:36MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T2)38
34
Q2 - 5:57TORSUB: Calderon FOR Banks38
34
Q2 - 5:57TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
34
Q2 - 5:57MIAChalmers Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)38
34
Q2 - 6:04MIAHeat Rebound38
34
Q2 - 6:05TORMISS Banks 19' Pullup Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 6:25MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
34
Q2 - 6:25TORSUB: Marion FOR Graham37
34
Q2 - 6:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn37
34
Q2 - 6:25TORGraham S.FOUL (P2.T2)37
34
Q2 - 6:25MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)37
34
Q2 - 6:36TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono35
34
Q2 - 6:36MIASUB: Wade FOR Wright35
34
Q2 - 6:36MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony35
34
Q2 - 6:36TORBanks Foul Turnover (P1.T5)35
34
Q2 - 6:36TORBanks OFF.Foul (P1)35
34
Q2 - 6:47MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)35
34
Q2 - 6:51MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
34
Q2 - 6:53MIABosh BLOCK (2 BLK)35
34
Q2 - 7:16TORBosh 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)35
34
Q2 - 7:35MIAWright Driving Dunk (3 PTS) (Cook 4 AST)35
32
Q2 - 7:38TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)33
32
Q2 - 7:51TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32
Q2 - 7:53MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 8:07MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32
Q2 - 8:09TORMISS Graham 8' Running Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 8:16TORSUB: Banks FOR Calderon33
32
Q2 - 8:31MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 8:31MIAHeat Rebound32
32
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 232
32
Q2 - 8:3132
32
Q2 - 8:31TORGraham S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
32
Q2 - 8:42MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
32
Q2 - 8:43TORMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
32
Q2 - 8:55MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)32
32
Q2 - 9:15TORBosh Driving Layup (9 PTS)29
32
Q2 - 9:28MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)29
30
Q2 - 9:49TORBargnani 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)27
30
Q2 - 10:02TORKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
28
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28
Q2 - 10:25TORGraham Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)27
28
Q2 - 10:38MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)27
26
Q2 - 10:51TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
26
Q2 - 10:51TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
25
Q2 - 10:51MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
24
Q2 - 11:09MIAQuinn 11' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS)24
24
Q2 - 11:22TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
24
Q2 - 11:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)22
24
Q2 - 11:35MIAHeat Rebound22
24
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Bank Shot22
24
Q2 - 12:0022
24
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR22
24
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound22
24
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 17' Fadeaway Jumper22
24
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 0:04.0MIASUB: Wright FOR O'Neal21
24
Q1 - 0:04.0TORSUB: Kapono FOR Marion21
24
Q1 - 0:04.0TORSUB: Calderon FOR Mensah-Bonsu21
24
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 0:04.0TORMensah-Bonsu P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
24
Q1 - 0:13.0TORParker P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
24
Q1 - 0:28.0TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 0:28.0TORSUB: Marion FOR Kapono20
23
Q1 - 0:28.0TORRAPTORS Rebound20
23
Q1 - 0:28.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 220
23
Q1 - 0:28.0MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Beasley20
23
Q1 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade20
23
Q1 - 0:28.0TORBosh Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 0:28.0MIABeasley T.FOUL (P3.PN)20
22
Q1 - 0:28.0TORSUB: Graham FOR Marion20
22
Q1 - 0:28.0MIABeasley P.FOUL (P3.PN)20
22
Q1 - 0:39.0TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
22
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Anthony 12' Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 0:57.0TORParker 9' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Mensah-Bonsu 1 AST)20
22
Q1 - 1:03TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
20
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 1:21TORKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)20
20
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 1:48MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
18
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS Marion 10' Turnaround Hook Shot18
18
Q1 - 1:59TORRAPTORS Rebound18
18
Q1 - 2:00TORMISS Bosh 12' Hook Shot18
18
Q1 - 2:14TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot18
18
Q1 - 2:23TORSUB: Bosh FOR Bargnani18
18
Q1 - 2:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
18
Q1 - 2:34TORParker Driving Dunk (4 PTS)18
18
Q1 - 2:38MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)18
16
Q1 - 2:55TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)18
16
Q1 - 3:09MIABeasley 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)18
13
Q1 - 3:21MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13
Q1 - 3:23TORMISS Bargnani Driving Layup16
13
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)16
13
Q1 - 3:49TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 3:49TORSUB: Kapono FOR Calderon14
12
Q1 - 3:49TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 3:49MIABeasley S.FOUL (P2.PN)14
11
Q1 - 3:56MIASUB: Anthony FOR O'Neal14
11
Q1 - 3:56MIAMoon Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 3:57TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 4:05TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
11
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
11
Q1 - 4:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
11
Q1 - 4:30TORMISS Parker 19' Fadeaway Jumper14
11
Q1 - 4:33MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers14
11
Q1 - 4:33TORRAPTORS Rebound14
11
Q1 - 4:33TORMISS Mensah-Bonsu 6' Hook Shot14
11
Q1 - 4:43TORMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot14
11
Q1 - 4:57TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 4:57TORSUB: Mensah-Bonsu FOR Bosh14
10
Q1 - 4:57TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 4:57MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
9
Q1 - 5:02MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)14
9
Q1 - 5:08MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9
Q1 - 5:10TORMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot14
9
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 5:39MIAHeat Rebound12
9
Q1 - 5:39MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)12
9
Q1 - 5:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9
Q1 - 5:46TORMISS Parker 17' Fadeaway Jumper12
9
Q1 - 5:59MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
9
Q1 - 6:20MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
9
Q1 - 6:33TORBosh 9' Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
9
Q1 - 6:49MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
7
Q1 - 7:06TORMarion Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)8
7
Q1 - 7:23TORRAPTORS Rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 7:47TORBargnani Running Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)8
5
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
3
Q1 - 8:16TORBargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)6
3
Q1 - 8:28MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem6
1
Q1 - 8:28MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)6
1
Q1 - 8:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
1
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
1
Q1 - 8:49TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
1
Q1 - 8:49TORRAPTORS Rebound6
0
Q1 - 8:49TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 26
0
Q1 - 8:49MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
0
Q1 - 8:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
0
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Pullup Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:17TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
0
Q1 - 9:23TORRAPTORS Rebound6
0
Q1 - 9:24TORMISS Calderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
0
Q1 - 9:39TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
0
Q1 - 9:47MIAWade 22' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
0
Q1 - 9:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
0
Q1 - 9:55TORMISS Bargnani 12' Turnaround Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 10:17MIAO'Neal 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
0
Q1 - 10:20MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:33TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:43TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:57MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:58TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAChalmers 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41TORMISS Marion Dunk0
0
Q1 - 11:44TORMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:46TORMISS Bosh Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Bargnani0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.4%
TOR
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
TOR
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
17
36
47%
TOR
19
44
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
TOR
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
16
20
80%
TOR
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade4281%21.0 / 26
M. Beasley1267%6.0 / 9
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn10100%5.0 / 5
J. O'Neal831%4.0 / 13
D. Cook633%3.0 / 9
J. Moon550%2.5 / 5
D. Wright375%1.5 / 2
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3463%17.0 / 27
A. Bargnani2361%11.5 / 19
A. Parker1662%8.0 / 13
S. Marion1050%5.0 / 10
J. Kapono10100%5.0 / 5
P. Mensah-Bonsu433%2.0 / 6
J. Calderon325%1.5 / 6
J. Graham233%1.0 / 3
M. Banks0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+15
-12
94
TOR
78
+14
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.4%
TOR
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.3
MIA 118.7 +6.6
TOR 112.1
Pace
90.2
92.6
MIA 84.5
TOR 98.5 +14.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.4
MIA 17.0
TOR 14.6 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.4%
MIA 56.8% +3.8%
TOR 53.0%
TO %
13.1%
13.8%
MIA 13.5%
TOR 12.6% −0.9%
ORB %
24.6%
24.1%
MIA 32.4% +6.7%
TOR 25.7%
FTrt
28.2
27.9
MIA 24.7 +4.2
TOR 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
60.1%
MIA 53.7%
TOR 59.5% +5.8%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 7.7%
TOR 8.8% +1.1%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
MIA 12.2% +5.5%
TOR 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
52.7%
MIA 57.4% +2.0%
TOR 55.4%
Rim FG%
59.5%
57.9%
MIA 58.3%
TOR 63.3% +5.0%
Mid FG%
41.8%
42.3%
MIA 47.2% +4.0%
TOR 43.2%
3P %
35.7%
37.2%
MIA 47.6% +3.2%
TOR 44.4%
FT %
75.4%
82.4%
MIA 80.0%
TOR 82.4% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
28.4%
MIA 29.6%
TOR 36.1% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
52.3%
MIA 44.4% −8.6%
TOR 53.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.3%
MIA 25.9% +15.1%
TOR 10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points108102
Rebounds3732
Assists2225
Steals78
Blocks94
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)23 (2)
Field Goals41-8142-83
At-the-Rim FG14-2419-30
Midrange FG17-3619-44
2-Point FG31-6038-74
3-Point FG10-214-9
Free Throws16-2014-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
39.8
42
81%
6
8
1
1
8
0
2
4
5-7
71%
14-18
78%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
30.4
10
71%
3
5
2
0
3
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 29
29.1
5
50%
5
2
1
2
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
28.3
10
50%
6
1
1
0
0
3
2
4
2-3
67%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
26.7
8
31%
8
1
0
4
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-13
31%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
32.7
6
33%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
24.4
12
67%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
13.5
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
9.4
10
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
5.8
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27
Jamaal Magloire
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Luther Head
#13 · G · 6'3" 185 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mark Blount
#15 · C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
57%
37
22
7
9
12
0
11
26
16-20
80%
31-60
52%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.