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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers44%9194
4Celtics56%93105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
39.2
33.2
26
74%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
6-6
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
48%
4-5
80%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
38.3
35.7
21
52%
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
9-12
75%
3-10
7-13
30%
51%
2-5
40%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
35.5
32.2
5
46%
6
8
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
30.6
30.0
15
63%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
5-9
56%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
27.8
28.2
12
56%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
4-6
67%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
21.7
4.8
7
39%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
3-8
1-1
38%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
17.3
19.9
3
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-2
50%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
15.3
20.1
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
7.1
16.9
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
4.3
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
1.4
5.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
1.4
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.4
45.1
38.4
29
60%
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
8-16
6-12
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.3
39.2
30.9
10
50%
8
0
0
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.6
36.6
34.2
17
64%
6
4
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.0
30.2
32.9
6
38%
2
10
2
2
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
17.1
30.8
10
59%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
26.4
18.1
20
81%
11
3
0
0
1
0
3
8
2-3
67%
9-11
2-5
82%
51%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.0
15.7
15.2
2
20%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
15.4
16.7
5
63%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
12.6
11.4
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.4
0.8
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
0.8
1.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.9
6.9
0
0-1
43%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.1
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.