for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks39%97102
18Bulls61%101117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
42.5
36.5
27
52%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
5-7
71%
11-19
5-11
58%
47%
0-4
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.5
40.0
32.3
19
42%
12
1
0
1
3
1
6
6
1-2
50%
9-20
6-11
45%
49%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
38.9
28.5
21
88%
11
2
5
1
1
1
5
6
7-9
78%
7-8
3-6
88%
48%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
34.5
29.8
20
56%
5
11
0
1
1
5
1
4
4-4
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
11.7
15.9
4
50%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
29.1
21.3
5
42%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
12.4
13.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
12.1
24.1
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
10.0
11.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
3.3
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
2.7
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
2.7
4.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
41.6
35.2
34
71%
4
7
4
1
1
3
1
3
10-11
91%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
4-6
67%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
41.1
35.8
27
64%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
7-7
100%
10-18
7-14
56%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
39.6
33.7
21
62%
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
7-9
78%
7-11
4-7
64%
50%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
29.7
28.6
5
30%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
3-5
60%
1-6
5-10
17%
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
26.0
29.7
7
61%
13
0
0
1
1
2
4
9
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
26.4
24.4
12
48%
9
4
0
1
1
4
0
9
6-8
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
19.7
25.0
11
124%
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
13.9
6.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
1.0
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
1.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
13.4
0
2-5
49%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
1.9
0
0-0
38%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.