Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Wizards	21%	86	78	86.7	90	95.7
	11	Spurs	79%	97	100	107.5	93	87.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 23	32.3	6	38%	5	3	1	1	5	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 33	31.0	14	44%	5	1	3	0	1	2	1	4	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Darius Songaila C · 6'9" 248 · 31	26.9	11	55%	5	1	2	0	2	3	2	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Dominic McGuire G · 6'9" 235 · 23	26.4	5	83%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 34	24.2	4	40%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	31.9	11	34%	6	0	0	0	3	3	2	4	3-6	50%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Javaris Crittenton G · 6'5" 200 · 21	23.8	9	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 21	20.1	7	58%	4	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 30	15.1	8	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Oleksiy Pecherov F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23	8.2	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 29	\| DND-left hamstring tightness
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28	\| NWT-back surgery
Etan Thomas #36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brendan Haywood #33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gilbert Arenas #0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	46%	33	12	7	1	17	0	7	26	17-27	63%	29-65	45%	1-5	20%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 23	32.3	6	38%	5	3	1	1	5	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Antawn Jamison F · 6'9" 235 · 33	31.0	14	44%	5	1	3	0	1	2	1	4	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Darius Songaila C · 6'9" 248 · 31	26.9	11	55%	5	1	2	0	2	3	2	3	1-1	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Dominic McGuire G · 6'9" 235 · 23	26.4	5	83%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 34	24.2	4	40%	2	2	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24	31.9	11	34%	6	0	0	0	3	3	2	4	3-6	50%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Javaris Crittenton G · 6'5" 200 · 21	23.8	9	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 21	20.1	7	58%	4	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 30	15.1	8	67%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Oleksiy Pecherov F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23	8.2	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 29	\| DND-left hamstring tightness
DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 28	\| NWT-back surgery
Etan Thomas #36 · C · 6'10" 260 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brendan Haywood #33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gilbert Arenas #0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	46%	33	12	7	1	17	0	7	26	17-27	63%	29-65	45%	1-5	20%

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11 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 27	24.5	19	86%	1	7	2	0	1	1	0	1	5-5	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	21.3	4	22%	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-5	0%
Michael Finley F · 6'7" 225 · 36	20.3	12	67%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	18.3	4	50%	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	18.1	5	42%	5	0	0	2	5	4	0	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32	26.5	13	72%	4	4	2	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 23	25.8	12	55%	4	4	1	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Malik Hairston G · 6'6" 220 · 22	21.2	9	75%	2	2	0	2	2	3	0	2	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34	18.3	8	67%	6	1	0	0	1	4	3	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 38	16.7	3	75%	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	16.3	4	50%	7	0	0	2	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	12.7	7	58%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden #90 · F · 6'10" 250 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	59%	43	27	8	6	16	0	7	36	15-20	75%	32-54	59%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.93 46.4%

SAS

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

14

24

58%

SAS

14

19

74%

Midrange

WAS

15

41

37%

SAS

18

35

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

1

1.5

5

20%

30%

SAS

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

17

27

63%

SAS

15

20

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jamison	14	44%	7.0 / 16
D. Songaila	11	55%	5.5 / 10
N. Young	11	34%	5.5 / 16
J. Crittenton	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Dixon	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. McGee	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Blatche	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. McGuire	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. James	4	40%	2.0 / 5
O. Pecherov	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	19	86%	9.5 / 11
I. Udoka	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Finley	12	67%	6.0 / 9
G. Hill	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Hairston	9	75%	4.5 / 6
F. Oberto	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Vaughn	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Duncan	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Bonner	4	22%	2.0 / 9
R. Mason Jr.	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Thomas	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Bowen	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 104.8 14 108.3	WAS 86.7 SAS 107.5 +20.9
Pace	17 91.6 26 88.7	WAS 95.7 +8.0 SAS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time	15 15.8 5 16.5	WAS 15.0 −1.4 SAS 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 48.0% 5 51.3%	WAS 43.6% SAS 56.7% +13.1%
TO %	20 14.7% 1 12.4%	WAS 17.2% SAS 16.0% −1.2%
ORB %	11 27.8% 30 22.1%	WAS 16.3% SAS 21.2% +4.9%
FTrt	19 29.3 30 25.1	WAS 38.6 +11.9 SAS 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.8% 9 57.1%	WAS 40.0% SAS 69.2% +29.2%
STL %	8 8.2% 30 6.5%	WAS 7.8% SAS 8.6% +0.8%
BLK %	19 7.6% 29 6.1%	WAS 1.9% SAS 9.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 51.2% 11 53.4%	WAS 46.4% SAS 58.8% +12.4%
Rim FG%	19 57.5% 11 58.8%	WAS 58.3% SAS 73.7% +15.4%
Mid FG%	21 39.4% 3 42.7%	WAS 36.6% SAS 51.4% +14.8%
3P %	29 33.0% 3 38.6%	WAS 20.0% SAS 33.3% +13.3%
FT %	16 76.7% 19 76.2%	WAS 63.0% SAS 75.0% +12.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.3% 26 30.3%	WAS 34.3% +9.0% SAS 25.3%
Mid Att. %	20 44.7% 21 44.9%	WAS 58.6% SAS 46.7% −11.9%
3P Att. %	25 18.0% 7 24.8%	WAS 7.1% SAS 28.0% +20.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Game Totals	WAS	SAS
Possessions	90	93
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	78	100
Rebounds	33	43
Assists	12	27
Steals	7	8
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (5)	36 (1)
Field Goals	30-70	39-75
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	14-19
Midrange FG	15-41	18-35
2-Point FG	29-65	32-54
3-Point FG	1-5	7-21
Free Throws	17-27	15-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg