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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 6, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards21%8678
11Spurs79%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
32.3
28.2
6
38%
5
3
1
1
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
31.0
38.3
14
43%
5
1
3
1
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
5-11
6-14
45%
47%
1-4
25%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
26.9
25.3
11
53%
5
1
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
26.4
35.1
5
87%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.7
24.2
30.6
4
40%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
41%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.8
31.9
18.9
11
35%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
3-6
50%
4-12
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.2
23.8
18.7
9
48%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.1
20.1
16.1
7
62%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.4
15.1
9.2
8
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.2
8.2
3.0
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 29.0
18.5
1
3-6
47%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.9
6.4
0
0-1
41%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.3
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
24.5
32.8
19
85%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
7-9
9-17
78%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
21.3
23.8
4
22%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-5
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
20.3
28.7
12
67%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
18.3
30.2
4
41%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
18.1
29.2
5
43%
5
0
0
1
2
5
0
5
1-2
50%
2-5
7-13
40%
53%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
26.5
10.7
13
72%
4
4
2
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
3-5
60%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
25.8
13.8
12
56%
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-8
2-3
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
21.2
12.8
9
71%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-3
33%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
18.3
11.0
8
67%
6
1
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
61%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
16.7
18.9
3
75%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
16.3
22.5
4
50%
7
0
0
1
2
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
12.7
3.7
7
61%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.