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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Jazz57%102109
19Raptors43%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.8
40.5
34.2
19
54%
11
2
3
1
0
3
4
7
1-1
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
50%
0-4
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.7
37.8
38.8
25
59%
3
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
4-7
57%
9-15
6-12
60%
53%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.1
34.0
19.4
18
57%
11
1
1
1
1
0
2
9
4-4
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
27.4
35.4
4
33%
2
5
1
2
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
6-10
40%
56%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
15.3
20.6
5
50%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 28.0
32.7
18.9
20
73%
8
2
2
0
1
1
2
6
6-6
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
26.1
23.5
18
49%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
6-10
60%
6-13
3-6
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.8
10.9
9.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.3
10.2
7.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.3
5.1
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 20.0
3.1
0
1-1
53%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.7
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.3
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
40.9
37.3
30
58%
10
3
1
1
0
1
5
5
10-11
91%
10-21
8-16
48%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.8
36.7
32.0
8
40%
8
2
1
1
1
3
2
6
0-0
-
4-10
6-10
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
36.6
32.5
10
45%
3
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.7
36.6
34.9
16
66%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
35.6
36.5
20
68%
8
0
0
1
1
2
1
7
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
2-2
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
21.9
14.3
9
65%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.1
19.8
24.4
8
59%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
10.8
9.9
0
0%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
1.2
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.3
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
1.8
0
0-0
49%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.4
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.