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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 8, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets73%105106
26Kings27%97114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.4
43.6
37.0
22
68%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
10-12
83%
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
38.7
30.9
32
51%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
12-24
7-14
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
38.6
34.2
14
61%
9
2
1
1
0
1
5
4
4-8
50%
5-8
6-10
63%
60%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
36.1
33.7
19
53%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
10-11
91%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
1-5
20%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.1
7.0
10.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
25.2
25.6
2
14%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
0-3
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
21.1
13.4
9
51%
10
0
1
1
1
0
3
7
1-4
25%
4-7
2-3
57%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
17.1
22.2
4
40%
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
11.8
13.4
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
0.8
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
20.3
1
3-6
53%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
8.0
0
1-1
51%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
43.9
31.2
20
78%
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
8
3-4
75%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
39.6
34.1
26
69%
7
8
0
1
0
3
0
7
9-9
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
5-7
71%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
37.8
21.2
23
68%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
46%
3-6
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.0
31.4
31.8
10
50%
8
5
3
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
44%
0-5
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
23.0
30.2
3
26%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
5-9
20%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
32.3
33.1
19
82%
4
2
1
1
2
2
0
4
5-8
63%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
2-3
67%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
16.3
22.9
7
49%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
3-5
60%
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
11.9
12.3
6
61%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.0
3.8
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
2.0
0
0-1
45%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.8
1.3
0
0-0
42%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.