FinalWin Prob.pScore
449%91
94
1651%92
98
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
105.68999.6
DET logo DET
110.18980.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL94
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLHoward Tip Shot (27 PTS)94
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)92
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot92
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 292
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)92
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot92
5.3%
95
94.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)92
12.1%
95
87.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)92
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q4 - 1:01DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)90
6.2%
95
93.8%
Q4 - 1:17ORLPrince STEAL (1 STL)90
13.1%
93
86.9%
Q4 - 1:23DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)90
22.9%
93
77.1%
Q4 - 1:39DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
34.1%
91
65.9%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 290
35.9%
91
64.1%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 290
42.2%
91
57.8%
Q4 - 1:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)90
47.8%
91
52.2%
Q4 - 1:44ORLMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
38.3%
91
61.7%
Q4 - 1:58DETStuckey 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)90
47.6%
91
52.4%
Q4 - 2:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)90
57.4%
89
42.6%
Q4 - 2:07ORLBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)90
62.4%
89
37.6%
Q4 - 2:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
73.1%
89
26.9%
Q4 - 2:27DETMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 290
71.2%
89
28.8%
Q4 - 2:27DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 290
66.8%
89
33.2%
Q4 - 2:27DETPISTONS Rebound90
57.1%
89
42.9%
Q4 - 2:28DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot90
68.7%
89
31.3%
Q4 - 2:32DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
57.1%
89
42.9%
Q4 - 2:34DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot90
68.8%
89
31.2%
Q4 - 2:48ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)90
57.1%
89
42.9%
Q4 - 2:48ORLMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 289
53.7%
89
46.3%
Q4 - 3:02DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
61.2%
89
38.8%
Q4 - 3:02DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
64.2%
88
35.8%
Q4 - 3:02DETPISTONS Rebound89
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 3:02DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot89
76.6%
87
23.4%
Q4 - 3:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)89
68.4%
87
31.6%
Q4 - 3:18DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot89
76.9%
87
23.1%
Q4 - 3:42DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)89
66.6%
87
33.4%
Q4 - 3:43DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot89
72.7%
87
27.3%
Q4 - 4:04ORLAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
66.9%
87
33.1%
Q4 - 4:04ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)88
65.0%
87
35.0%
Q4 - 4:19DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hamilton 14 AST)87
58.6%
87
41.4%
Q4 - 4:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)87
75.1%
84
24.9%
Q4 - 4:35DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot87
80.2%
84
19.8%
Q4 - 4:47DETPISTONS Rebound87
75.2%
84
24.8%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Alston 8' Floating Jump Shot87
77.5%
84
22.5%
Q4 - 4:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
82.2%
84
17.8%
Q4 - 4:59DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot87
80.3%
84
19.7%
Q4 - 5:20ORLLewis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)87
72.3%
84
27.7%
Q4 - 5:45DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
65.4%
84
34.6%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 285
66.3%
83
33.7%
Q4 - 5:47DETPISTONS Rebound85
65.1%
83
34.9%
Q4 - 5:49DETMISS Hamilton Layup85
70.5%
83
29.5%
Q4 - 6:01ORLLewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)85
63.9%
83
36.1%
Q4 - 6:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
49.5%
83
50.5%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Alston 9' Running Hook Shot82
44.0%
83
56.0%
Q4 - 6:17ORLMagic Rebound82
49.5%
83
50.5%
Q4 - 6:19ORLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)82
44.0%
83
56.0%
Q4 - 6:24DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)82
49.5%
83
50.5%
Q4 - 6:45ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)82
41.5%
83
58.5%
Q4 - 6:58DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)79
28.1%
83
71.9%
Q4 - 7:21ORLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)79
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 7:35ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
42.9%
81
57.1%
Q4 - 7:36DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot79
40.6%
81
59.4%
Q4 - 7:53ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)79
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 7:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
42.9%
81
57.1%
Q4 - 7:59DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot79
40.6%
81
59.4%
Q4 - 8:16ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
37.5%
81
62.5%
Q4 - 8:16ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)78
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 8:25ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
31.4%
81
68.6%
Q4 - 8:26DETMISS Herrmann 16' Fadeaway Jumper77
29.8%
81
70.2%
Q4 - 8:51ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
26.2%
81
73.8%
Q4 - 8:51ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)76
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 9:03DETPrince Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q4 - 9:23ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
28.0%
79
72.0%
Q4 - 9:23ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
27.4%
79
72.6%
Q4 - 9:54DETHerrmann Reverse Layup (7 PTS)73
23.1%
79
76.9%
Q4 - 10:00ORLHerrmann STEAL (1 STL)73
27.9%
77
72.1%
Q4 - 10:24ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
33.9%
77
66.1%
Q4 - 10:25DETMISS Herrmann Free Throw 1 of 173
33.2%
77
66.8%
Q4 - 10:28ORLBynum STEAL (1 STL)73
39.2%
75
60.8%
Q4 - 10:36ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
44.6%
75
55.4%
Q4 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot73
43.0%
75
57.0%
Q4 - 10:53ORLLewis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)73
39.2%
75
60.8%
Q4 - 11:20DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 12 AST)71
34.7%
75
65.3%
Q4 - 11:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)71
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q4 - 11:37ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q4 - 11:38ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot71
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET71
44.9%
73
55.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound71
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
43.4%
73
56.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0ORLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)71
40.5%
73
59.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 11 AST)68
30.7%
73
69.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)68
35.7%
71
64.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0DETMISS Bynum Layup65
25.4%
71
74.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)65
23.1%
71
76.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot65
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 10 AST)65
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 1:12DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
31.5%
69
68.5%
Q3 - 1:13ORLMISS Howard Reverse Layup65
32.7%
69
67.3%
Q3 - 1:36DETMaxiell Dunk (4 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)65
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 1:44ORLHoward 10' Hook Bank Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)65
40.5%
67
59.5%
Q3 - 2:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 2:07ORLMcDyess STEAL (2 STL)63
45.3%
64
54.7%
Q3 - 2:23DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)63
50.0%
64
50.0%
Q3 - 2:40ORLJohnson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
54.7%
62
45.3%
Q3 - 2:55DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
50.0%
62
50.0%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
54.6%
60
45.4%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
53.1%
60
46.9%
Q3 - 3:22ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
50.4%
60
49.6%
Q3 - 3:23DETMISS Maxiell 14' Turnaround Jump Shot59
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q3 - 3:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q3 - 3:42ORLMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 259
46.3%
60
53.7%
Q3 - 3:42ORLAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
49.1%
60
50.9%
Q3 - 3:50DETMaxiell Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 9 AST)58
45.9%
60
54.1%
Q3 - 4:02ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)58
49.8%
58
50.2%
Q3 - 4:17DETBrown 15' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)58
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 4:31DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMISS Lewis Layup58
60.0%
56
40.0%
Q3 - 4:47ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
63.3%
56
36.7%
Q3 - 4:48DETMISS Stuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot58
61.9%
56
38.1%
Q3 - 4:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)58
58.5%
56
41.5%
Q3 - 4:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
60.0%
56
40.0%
Q3 - 5:14DETHamilton 14' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
62.4%
56
37.6%
Q3 - 5:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)58
65.8%
54
34.2%
Q3 - 5:28DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
68.7%
54
31.3%
Q3 - 5:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
65.8%
54
34.2%
Q3 - 5:48ORLMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot58
67.1%
54
32.9%
Q3 - 6:09DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P1.T5)58
69.3%
54
30.7%
Q3 - 6:18ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)58
65.5%
54
34.5%
Q3 - 6:18ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
64.2%
54
35.8%
Q3 - 6:28DETBrown Dunk (8 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)56
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 6:33DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)56
65.5%
52
34.5%
Q3 - 6:34DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot56
68.1%
52
31.9%
Q3 - 7:05ORLHoward Dunk (15 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)56
64.6%
52
35.4%
Q3 - 7:14DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q3 - 7:40ORLAlston Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
64.7%
50
35.3%
Q3 - 7:48DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)52
61.3%
50
38.7%
Q3 - 8:09ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)52
64.2%
48
35.8%
Q3 - 8:22DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)50
60.9%
48
39.1%
Q3 - 8:46ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P3.T8)50
64.2%
46
35.8%
Q3 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
67.8%
46
32.2%
Q3 - 8:53DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot50
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q3 - 9:21ORLLee Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)50
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q3 - 9:26DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
60.7%
46
39.3%
Q3 - 9:49ORLLee 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)48
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q3 - 10:16DETStuckey 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)45
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q3 - 10:36ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)45
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q3 - 10:48DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T3)45
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q3 - 11:05DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)45
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q3 - 11:06ORLMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
54.4%
44
45.6%
Q3 - 11:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q3 - 11:16DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot45
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q3 - 11:26ORLBrown STEAL (1 STL)45
53.3%
44
46.7%
Q3 - 11:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q3 - 11:45DETMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 145
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL45
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Stuckey 6' Running Jump Shot45
62.1%
42
37.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETPISTONS Rebound45
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot45
62.2%
42
37.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLLee Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)45
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETPISTONS Rebound44
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0DETMISS Hamilton 8' Turnaround Jump Shot44
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLLee 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)44
57.2%
42
42.8%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
53.1%
42
46.9%
Q2 - 1:07DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 1:19DETPISTONS Rebound42
57.2%
40
42.8%
Q2 - 1:20ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
57.9%
40
42.1%
Q2 - 1:42DETPrince Layup (11 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)42
59.5%
40
40.5%
Q2 - 2:02ORLLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)42
62.6%
38
37.4%
Q2 - 2:02ORLLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
62.1%
38
37.9%
Q2 - 2:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
59.7%
38
40.3%
Q2 - 2:08DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot40
58.7%
38
41.3%
Q2 - 2:26ORLLewis Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)40
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q2 - 2:32ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
53.4%
38
46.6%
Q2 - 2:33DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot38
52.4%
38
47.6%
Q2 - 2:49ORLLewis Layup (7 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)38
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 2:55ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 2:57DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot36
46.1%
38
53.9%
Q2 - 3:14DETPISTONS Rebound36
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMISS Lee 13' Jump Shot36
44.9%
38
55.1%
Q2 - 3:28DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
47.4%
38
52.6%
Q2 - 3:28DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
47.8%
37
52.2%
Q2 - 3:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 3:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 136
50.5%
36
49.5%
Q2 - 3:51ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
47.4%
36
52.6%
Q2 - 3:53DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot34
46.3%
36
53.7%
Q2 - 3:57DETBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 3:57DETMISS Stuckey 13' Jump Shot34
46.3%
36
53.7%
Q2 - 4:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)34
44.1%
36
55.9%
Q2 - 4:13ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot34
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 4:31DETPrince Dunk (9 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)34
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 4:49DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
50.2%
34
49.8%
Q2 - 4:50ORLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot34
51.2%
34
48.8%
Q2 - 5:12DETBrown Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)34
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 5:29ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q2 - 5:50DETBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Herrmann 2 AST)31
50.5%
32
49.5%
Q2 - 6:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)31
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 6:04DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 6:19DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)31
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 6:20ORLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot31
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 6:26ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 6:27DETMISS Herrmann 20' Jump Shot31
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 6:35DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q2 - 6:36ORLMISS Lewis Layup31
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 6:59DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS)31
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 7:14ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
58.9%
28
41.1%
Q2 - 7:14ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
58.5%
28
41.5%
Q2 - 7:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
56.2%
28
43.8%
Q2 - 7:24DETMISS Bynum Layup29
55.3%
28
44.7%
Q2 - 7:33DETBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q2 - 7:35ORLMISS Lewis 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
54.2%
28
45.8%
Q2 - 7:55DETBynum 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
56.2%
28
43.8%
Q2 - 8:02DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 8:04ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
59.4%
26
40.6%
Q2 - 8:11ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Herrmann 8' Running Jump Shot29
60.4%
26
39.6%
Q2 - 8:27ORLLewis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)29
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 8:38ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
61.3%
26
38.7%
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Herrmann 14' Turnaround Jump Shot29
60.5%
26
39.5%
Q2 - 9:02DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 9:03DETMISS Herrmann 3PT Jump Shot29
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 9:15DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q2 - 9:16DETMISS Brown Layup29
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 9:30ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
58.3%
26
41.7%
Q2 - 9:30ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
57.9%
26
42.1%
Q2 - 9:47DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Herrmann 1 AST)27
55.7%
26
44.3%
Q2 - 10:16ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q2 - 10:16ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
60.1%
23
39.9%
Q2 - 10:37ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q2 - 10:38DETMISS Bynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot25
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q2 - 10:51ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
55.5%
23
44.5%
Q2 - 10:51ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)24
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q2 - 11:10DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)23
52.8%
23
47.2%
Q2 - 11:37ORLJohnson Dunk (2 PTS)23
55.3%
21
44.7%
Q2 - 11:41DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
52.8%
21
47.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)21
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETMISS Stuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot21
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)21
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
49.5%
21
50.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot19
46.8%
21
53.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)19
45.4%
21
54.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETPISTONS Rebound19
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Johnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot19
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 1:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q1 - 1:03DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot19
49.4%
20
50.6%
Q1 - 1:19ORLRedick 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
48.2%
20
51.8%
Q1 - 1:31ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 1:32DETMISS Wallace 15' Fadeaway Jumper16
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 1:49ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
41.2%
20
58.8%
Q1 - 1:49ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 215
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 1:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 2:13ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 215
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 215
39.6%
20
60.4%
Q1 - 2:21DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 2:22ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot15
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 2:32DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)15
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 2:52ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q1 - 2:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 3:01DETMISS Hamilton 16' Fadeaway Jumper13
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 3:27ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)13
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 3:40DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 3:40DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 211
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
39.2%
16
60.8%
Q1 - 4:02DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
41.5%
16
58.5%
Q1 - 4:02DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:10DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)11
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 4:11ORLMISS Howard Layup11
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 4:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot11
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 4:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 4:23DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot11
45.2%
14
54.8%
Q1 - 4:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 4:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 5:02DETHamilton 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
45.9%
14
54.1%
Q1 - 5:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
47.8%
12
52.2%
Q1 - 5:09ORLMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)11
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 5:17DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)11
50.2%
12
49.8%
Q1 - 5:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 5:21DETMISS Stuckey 11' Running Jump Shot11
53.8%
10
46.2%
Q1 - 5:48ORLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)11
52.1%
10
47.9%
Q1 - 6:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 6:03DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot11
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 6:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
52.2%
10
47.8%
Q1 - 6:18ORLMISS Lee 14' Turnaround Jump Shot11
52.8%
10
47.2%
Q1 - 6:32DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)11
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 6:43DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
56.4%
8
43.6%
Q1 - 6:45ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 6:58ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 6:59DETMISS Prince 17' Fadeaway Jumper11
57.9%
8
42.1%
Q1 - 7:27ORLAlston 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 7:37DETStuckey 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)9
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 7:50DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 7:51DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot9
57.9%
6
42.1%
Q1 - 8:06ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 8:10ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 8:11DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 8:37ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS)9
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 8:56DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)7
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 9:06DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 9:07DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 9:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 9:18DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot7
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 9:35ORLHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)7
56.5%
4
43.5%
Q1 - 9:47ORLAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
54.4%
4
45.6%
Q1 - 9:48DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot5
53.8%
4
46.2%
Q1 - 10:08ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)5
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 10:20DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 10:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 10:33ORLMISS Alston Layup2
51.1%
2
48.9%
Q1 - 10:50DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)2
52.4%
2
47.6%
Q1 - 11:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:04ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot2
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 11:14DETStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:16DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:19DETMISS Stuckey 14' Jump Shot2
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 11:44ORLHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
53.8%
0
46.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
52.2%
0
47.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.3%
DET
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
21
62%
DET
12
16
75%
Midrange
ORL
9
25
36%
DET
25
66
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
DET
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
29
35
83%
DET
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2768%13.5 / 20
R. Lewis2170%10.5 / 15
C. Lee1083%5.0 / 6
J. Redick956%4.5 / 8
A. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
R. Alston729%3.5 / 12
M. Gortat660%3.0 / 5
M. Pietrus350%1.5 / 3
H. Turkoglu233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2948%14.5 / 30
T. Prince2063%10.0 / 16
A. McDyess1350%6.5 / 13
R. Stuckey1038%5.0 / 13
K. Brown1071%5.0 / 7
W. Herrmann744%3.5 / 8
J. Maxiell440%2.0 / 5
R. Wallace330%1.5 / 5
W. Bynum225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+8
-15
82
DET
82
+21
-7
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.3%
DET
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
106.8
ORL 105.6
DET 110.1 +4.5
Pace
92.5
87.3
ORL 99.6 +19.1
DET 80.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
17.1
ORL 14.5 +3.4
DET 17.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
48.3%
ORL 50.8% +5.2%
DET 45.6%
TO %
14.6%
12.7%
ORL 15.9%
DET 6.4% +9.5%
ORB %
24.1%
27.9%
ORL 18.8%
DET 30.0% +11.2%
FTrt
35.1
28.2
ORL 54.7 +28.3
DET 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
56.7%
ORL 62.1%
DET 75.0% +12.9%
STL %
7.5%
6.8%
ORL 5.6%
DET 9.0% +3.4%
BLK %
8.0%
7.3%
ORL 6.1%
DET 8.7% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
51.0%
ORL 57.3% +9.7%
DET 47.6%
Rim FG%
60.9%
58.7%
ORL 61.9%
DET 75.0% +13.1%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.2%
ORL 36.0%
DET 37.9% +1.9%
3P %
38.1%
34.9%
ORL 38.9% +5.6%
DET 33.3%
FT %
71.5%
75.1%
ORL 82.9% +20.4%
DET 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
30.0%
ORL 32.8% +15.2%
DET 17.6%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
53.5%
ORL 39.1% +33.5%
DET 72.5%
3P Att. %
33.5%
16.5%
ORL 28.1% +18.2%
DET 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLDET
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points9498
Rebounds4141
Assists1830
Steals58
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)26 (4)
Field Goals29-6440-91
At-the-Rim FG13-2112-16
Midrange FG9-2525-66
2-Point FG22-4637-82
3-Point FG7-183-9
Free Throws29-3515-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 30
40.4
21
70%
6
2
1
0
5
4
0
6
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
39.3
27
68%
14
2
0
4
2
2
5
9
9-13
69%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
32.5
7
29%
4
5
2
0
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
20.0
2
33%
3
4
1
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
18.4
10
83%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
29.6
9
56%
2
2
0
0
3
1
0
2
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
24.6
6
60%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
19.6
3
50%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
15.6
9
56%
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
57%
41
18
5
5
15
0
6
35
29-35
83%
22-46
48%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.