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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 9, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets39%9497
5Nuggets61%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
36.9
33.3
22
49%
6
2
4
2
0
0
1
5
2-6
33%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
4-9
44%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
36.8
32.6
8
68%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-5
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
32.4
30.7
4
29%
15
3
0
1
1
5
4
11
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
26.8
33.8
15
55%
7
2
0
0
3
3
1
6
5-6
83%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.1
24.6
29.2
19
63%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
2-2
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
29.4
21.3
12
54%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-5
40%
5-9
3-6
56%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
23.6
22.7
7
43%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-7
71%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.6
14.1
17.2
7
40%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
8.3
7.1
3
75%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.7
7.2
7.8
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
43.9
38.5
28
58%
7
5
1
1
0
2
2
5
7-7
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
46%
3-7
43%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
39.2
33.6
21
47%
7
3
0
1
0
4
2
5
3-3
100%
6-17
7-15
35%
49%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
38.4
35.4
10
30%
8
2
2
1
1
1
2
6
2-4
50%
4-15
6-10
27%
58%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
24.1
15.1
6
50%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
13.5
13.0
5
53%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
33.2
34.0
15
59%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
22.1
20.4
2
25%
7
1
0
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
21.5
25.4
6
77%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
4.2
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
16.4
1
2-4
54%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.1
9.5
0
1-3
44%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
6.8
0
1-1
49%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.