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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bobcats39%8786
12Spurs61%90100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.5
40.0
36.5
16
63%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
45%
2-2
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
40.0
36.6
14
80%
7
1
1
2
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.7
38.9
37.2
15
39%
4
7
1
1
2
4
0
4
5-5
100%
5-15
4-10
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
35.1
35.8
9
56%
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
25.9
30.5
16
74%
5
0
0
1
2
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
53%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.1
21.6
12.1
2
26%
7
0
0
0
1
3
2
5
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
18.8
18.9
10
63%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-4
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.3
14.5
18.0
4
41%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
3.9
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.9
1.3
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.1
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
1.9
0
0-1
47%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.8
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
36.1
31.9
21
47%
1
7
2
1
0
3
1
0
3-5
60%
9-20
8-16
45%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
34.2
27.7
18
45%
11
1
1
1
1
1
2
9
4-5
80%
7-18
6-11
39%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
33.7
29.6
21
66%
1
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
5-8
63%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
28.4
26.8
10
83%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
14.9
22.6
3
150%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
30.3
17.9
6
60%
10
1
1
0
0
3
3
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
24.8
19.4
7
35%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-8
2-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
19.5
21.7
5
125%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
18.0
16.0
9
116%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
0.0
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-1
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
10.5
0
1-3
49%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
5.4
0
1-1
42%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.