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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 10, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers80%10087
27Clippers20%8983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
43.7
37.9
32
53%
13
11
2
2
2
4
4
9
12-16
75%
10-17
7-14
59%
55%
0-6
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
40.2
35.3
14
36%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
4-5
80%
2-9
5-9
22%
52%
2-8
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
35.8
31.8
8
57%
10
0
1
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
29.9
26.2
16
48%
8
0
1
0
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
27.3
35.4
2
17%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
24.4
17.6
5
42%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
16.6
17.0
6
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
9.7
17.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
7.2
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
5.1
10.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
3.7
0
0-1
50%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.3
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
40.5
37.3
20
58%
9
0
1
1
1
0
3
6
3-5
60%
7-14
7-15
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
39.4
29.5
14
55%
5
3
2
1
1
3
0
5
6-6
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
36.0
29.9
20
51%
12
6
2
1
1
4
2
10
5-8
63%
6-12
6-13
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
34.1
32.0
12
47%
3
6
1
2
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
0-4
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
29.6
11.2
6
27%
4
2
1
0
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
3-11
2-3
27%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
25.8
22.1
8
69%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
14.2
34.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
13.9
26.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-8
0%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
6.5
14.1
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
0.1
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
22.5
0
2-4
54%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
6.8
0
1-2
46%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.