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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls27%9479
5Magic73%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
36.6
23.8
9
33%
5
1
2
1
2
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-12
3-8
33%
44%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.2
33.5
37.8
18
58%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
6-8
75%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
30.0
37.8
4
18%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-9
5-12
11%
45%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.4
29.8
39.5
7
25%
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
2-11
7-16
18%
47%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
11.6
31.3
4
52%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.9
31.6
29.6
11
53%
6
0
2
1
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.2
22.7
19.8
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.3
12.0
1.8
3
30%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
36%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
11.5
3.1
8
55%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
3-6
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.7
11.0
6.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
9.8
1.8
8
67%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.0
6.6
0
0-1
44%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.3
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
34.9
19.2
9
50%
4
0
1
1
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
31.4
26.0
14
59%
6
0
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
24.3
35.5
3
13%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
0-6
3-7
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
22.5
29.8
10
42%
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
0-4
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
22.0
33.9
15
86%
9
1
1
1
3
3
2
7
3-4
75%
6-7
7-13
86%
59%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
26.1
6.7
18
71%
8
2
0
0
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
6-10
1-2
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
23.6
19.6
13
73%
15
1
1
0
0
1
5
10
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
20.7
18.1
13
79%
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-5
80%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.4
17.4
16.1
2
25%
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
9.1
2.0
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
8.1
3.0
4
100%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.0
30.3
1
3-7
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.