FinalWin Prob.pScore
357%94
99
1343%92
107
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
111.28997.5
MIA logo MIA
120.28981.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)99
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 3 of 399
3.6%
104
96.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)99
5.6%
104
94.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 398
5.0%
104
95.0%
Q4 - 1:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)98
4.4%
104
95.6%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
9.8%
102
90.2%
Q4 - 1:28BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 298
10.7%
102
89.3%
Q4 - 1:28BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
13.8%
102
86.2%
Q4 - 1:29BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)97
10.7%
102
89.3%
Q4 - 1:30BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
7.3%
102
92.7%
Q4 - 1:53BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
12.8%
102
87.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
11.0%
102
89.0%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
7.1%
102
92.9%
Q4 - 2:18BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
8.6%
102
91.4%
Q4 - 2:33MIAO'Neal 8' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)97
13.2%
102
86.8%
Q4 - 2:51BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
20.9%
100
79.1%
Q4 - 2:51BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)96
19.1%
100
80.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)95
15.6%
100
84.4%
Q4 - 3:03MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)95
16.8%
99
83.2%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
20.0%
98
80.0%
Q4 - 3:22BOSMISS Moore 21' Jump Shot95
23.0%
98
77.0%
Q4 - 3:37MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)95
35.0%
98
65.0%
Q4 - 3:57BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Moore 2 AST)95
42.9%
96
57.1%
Q4 - 4:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)92
26.1%
96
73.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
42.8%
93
57.2%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Moon 21' Jump Shot92
50.0%
93
50.0%
Q4 - 4:52BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)92
42.6%
93
57.4%
Q4 - 5:00BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
25.8%
93
74.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot89
27.3%
93
72.7%
Q4 - 5:10MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
22.6%
93
77.4%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot89
27.1%
93
72.9%
Q4 - 5:33BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)89
22.4%
93
77.6%
Q4 - 5:41BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
12.9%
93
87.1%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
11.8%
93
88.2%
Q4 - 6:10BOSPowe Dunk (21 PTS) (House 2 AST)86
12.4%
93
87.6%
Q4 - 6:28BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot84
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound84
7.1%
93
92.9%
Q4 - 6:50BOSBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)84
7.7%
93
92.3%
Q4 - 7:03BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)84
11.7%
93
88.3%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Cook 17' Turnaround Jump Shot84
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q4 - 7:28BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)84
8.9%
93
91.1%
Q4 - 7:28BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q4 - 7:32BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
7.0%
93
93.0%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot82
6.4%
93
93.6%
Q4 - 7:59BOSHouse 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
5.2%
93
94.8%
Q4 - 8:16MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)80
5.3%
93
94.7%
Q4 - 8:34BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
6.8%
91
93.2%
Q4 - 8:34BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
6.4%
91
93.6%
Q4 - 8:34BOSHouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)78
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 8:34BOSCeltics Rebound77
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot77
3.8%
91
96.2%
Q4 - 8:50BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 8:50BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 276
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 9:04MIACook Running Dunk (10 PTS)76
4.3%
91
95.7%
Q4 - 9:09BOSChalmers STEAL (4 STL)76
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 9:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)76
6.6%
89
93.4%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHEAT Rebound76
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 9:46BOSMISS House 22' Jump Shot76
11.0%
86
89.0%
Q4 - 10:05BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)76
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 276
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 10:07MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
14.4%
85
85.6%
Q4 - 10:19BOSMISS Powe 11' Hook Shot76
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q4 - 10:35MIABeasley Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T13)76
17.3%
85
82.7%
Q4 - 10:53BOSPowe Slam Dunk (18 PTS)76
14.3%
85
85.7%
Q4 - 11:09BOSMISS Walker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 274
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q4 - 11:09BOSWalker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
15.1%
85
84.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)73
10.9%
85
89.1%
Q4 - 11:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
15.9%
82
84.1%
Q4 - 11:47BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
16.8%
82
83.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS73
18.8%
82
81.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)73
18.8%
82
81.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0BOSHouse 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)73
17.4%
82
82.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
14.3%
82
85.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0BOSAllen Foul Turnover (P4.T16)71
12.2%
82
87.8%
Q3 - 1:02BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot71
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q3 - 1:15BOSMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot71
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q3 - 1:34MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Moon 3 AST)71
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q3 - 1:58BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot71
22.2%
79
77.8%
Q3 - 2:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
26.0%
79
74.0%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
24.9%
79
75.1%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
22.5%
79
77.5%
Q3 - 2:23BOSMISS House 22' Jump Shot71
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)71
25.8%
79
74.2%
Q3 - 3:04BOSPerkins Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)71
35.1%
76
64.9%
Q3 - 3:23MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)69
31.3%
76
68.7%
Q3 - 3:34BOSWade STEAL (4 STL)69
35.0%
74
65.0%
Q3 - 3:42BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
39.5%
74
60.5%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot69
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q3 - 3:52BOSMISS Powe 19' Jump Shot69
36.3%
74
63.7%
Q3 - 4:36BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q3 - 4:36BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
42.7%
72
57.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMoon Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)67
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 5:00BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)67
43.8%
70
56.2%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
48.9%
70
51.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
52.6%
68
47.4%
Q3 - 5:27BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot67
54.0%
68
46.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
57.3%
68
42.7%
Q3 - 5:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
58.0%
67
42.0%
Q3 - 6:00BOSPerkins Layup (10 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)67
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
57.5%
66
42.5%
Q3 - 6:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
58.2%
65
41.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
61.1%
64
38.9%
Q3 - 6:23BOSMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)65
62.3%
64
37.7%
Q3 - 6:31BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
65.1%
64
34.9%
Q3 - 6:32MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot65
63.9%
64
36.1%
Q3 - 6:51BOSPerkins 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
61.0%
64
39.0%
Q3 - 6:53BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
57.5%
64
42.5%
Q3 - 6:55BOSMISS Perkins Tip Shot63
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 6:56BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
57.4%
64
42.6%
Q3 - 6:57BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot63
54.5%
64
45.5%
Q3 - 7:19BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
57.3%
64
42.7%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
56.0%
64
44.0%
Q3 - 7:41BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)63
53.3%
64
46.7%
Q3 - 7:45BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
45.7%
64
54.3%
Q3 - 7:46BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
43.0%
64
57.0%
Q3 - 7:51BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
45.7%
64
54.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade Finger Roll Layup60
44.5%
64
55.5%
Q3 - 8:10BOSPerkins Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)60
42.0%
64
58.0%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMoon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
46.0%
64
54.0%
Q3 - 8:44BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
53.2%
61
46.8%
Q3 - 8:44BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 8:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
49.8%
61
50.2%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot58
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 9:10BOSPierce 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
46.3%
61
53.7%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
42.7%
61
57.3%
Q3 - 9:33BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
39.1%
61
60.9%
Q3 - 9:33BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 255
38.2%
61
61.8%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMoon Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
39.1%
61
60.9%
Q3 - 9:53BOSMoon STEAL (1 STL)55
42.6%
59
57.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMoon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)55
46.9%
59
53.1%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
54.0%
56
46.0%
Q3 - 10:28BOSMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot55
55.1%
56
44.9%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWade Running Dunk (18 PTS)55
57.5%
56
42.5%
Q3 - 10:50BOSWade STEAL (3 STL)55
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)55
64.6%
54
35.4%
Q3 - 11:23BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
67.5%
52
32.5%
Q3 - 11:34MIAChalmers 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)55
70.6%
52
29.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS55
73.3%
50
26.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0BOSPerkins Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)55
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade Dunk (16 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)53
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)53
73.5%
48
26.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
75.5%
48
24.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Floating Jump Shot53
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q2 - 1:12BOSPierce Layup (6 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)53
73.4%
48
26.6%
Q2 - 1:16MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)51
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q2 - 1:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup51
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q2 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q2 - 1:31BOSMISS Marbury 10' Floating Jump Shot51
68.6%
48
31.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q2 - 2:09BOSAllen 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS)51
72.7%
46
27.3%
Q2 - 2:10BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
70.2%
46
29.8%
Q2 - 2:11BOSO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)49
68.3%
46
31.7%
Q2 - 2:17BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
70.2%
46
29.8%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot49
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound49
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot49
69.4%
46
30.6%
Q2 - 2:40BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)49
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)46
61.6%
46
38.4%
Q2 - 2:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
62.2%
45
37.8%
Q2 - 3:12BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)46
64.5%
44
35.5%
Q2 - 3:17BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 3:18BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot43
56.6%
44
43.4%
Q2 - 3:44MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 3:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
61.6%
42
38.4%
Q2 - 3:57BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup43
62.6%
42
37.4%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMoon 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)43
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 4:31BOSPerkins Dunk (4 PTS)43
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 4:32BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:33BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot41
65.5%
39
34.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)41
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 5:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot41
71.8%
37
28.2%
Q2 - 5:29BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
70.1%
37
29.9%
Q2 - 5:32BOSCeltics Rebound41
72.5%
37
27.5%
Q2 - 5:33BOSO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)41
70.9%
37
29.1%
Q2 - 5:47BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)41
72.5%
37
27.5%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot41
71.8%
37
28.2%
Q2 - 6:04BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 6:17BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)41
72.3%
37
27.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot41
71.4%
37
28.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
69.5%
37
30.5%
Q2 - 6:39BOSMISS Perkins 9' Hook Shot41
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)41
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 7:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
69.7%
37
30.3%
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Beasley Alley Oop Layup41
71.4%
37
28.6%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
69.7%
37
30.3%
Q2 - 7:15BOSMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)41
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIACook Layup (2 PTS)41
72.1%
37
27.9%
Q2 - 7:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot41
75.8%
35
24.2%
Q2 - 7:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
75.8%
35
24.2%
Q2 - 7:58BOSPruitt Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)41
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 8:05BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
75.9%
35
24.1%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot41
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 8:20MIAHEAT Rebound41
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMISS Beasley 6' Jump Shot41
75.4%
35
24.6%
Q2 - 8:34BOSPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 8:34BOSPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMagloire Layup (2 PTS)39
71.7%
35
28.3%
Q2 - 8:50MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
74.0%
33
26.0%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
75.4%
33
24.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
73.5%
33
26.5%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot39
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
73.5%
33
26.5%
Q2 - 9:18BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 239
73.8%
33
26.2%
Q2 - 9:18BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 9:31MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)38
73.6%
33
26.4%
Q2 - 9:56BOSWalker Layup (4 PTS)38
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 9:57BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
73.6%
31
26.4%
Q2 - 9:58BOSMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)36
72.1%
31
27.9%
Q2 - 10:06BOSHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)36
73.3%
31
26.7%
Q2 - 10:18MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)35
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
68.9%
31
31.1%
Q2 - 10:26BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot35
69.6%
31
30.4%
Q2 - 10:51BOSPruitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
71.2%
31
28.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot35
70.5%
31
29.5%
Q2 - 11:24BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)35
68.6%
31
31.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 11:40BOSWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
61.7%
31
38.3%
Q2 - 11:51MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T4)32
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
61.7%
31
38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound32
61.7%
31
38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot32
63.4%
31
36.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
63.0%
31
37.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0BOSAllen 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)32
61.8%
31
38.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)30
58.9%
31
41.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 230
58.6%
31
41.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)30
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)28
54.1%
31
45.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
58.9%
29
41.1%
Q1 - 1:01BOSMISS Walker 5' Jump Bank Shot28
58.0%
29
42.0%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
59.0%
29
41.0%
Q1 - 1:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q1 - 1:30BOSMISS Powe 6' Jump Shot28
64.7%
26
35.3%
Q1 - 1:41BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)28
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
65.2%
26
34.8%
Q1 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q1 - 1:55BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 128
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q1 - 2:08MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
61.5%
26
38.5%
Q1 - 2:20BOSPierce 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
59.7%
26
40.3%
Q1 - 2:34MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
57.0%
26
43.0%
Q1 - 2:46BOSHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T4)24
59.7%
24
40.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIADiawara Reverse Layup (4 PTS)24
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q1 - 3:13BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)24
64.1%
22
35.9%
Q1 - 3:13BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 3:13BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)22
61.9%
22
38.1%
Q1 - 3:14BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot22
60.4%
22
39.6%
Q1 - 3:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)22
61.9%
22
38.1%
Q1 - 3:44BOSPowe Dunk (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)22
66.1%
19
33.9%
Q1 - 3:53BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
64.0%
19
36.0%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot20
63.4%
19
36.6%
Q1 - 4:07BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
61.8%
19
38.2%
Q1 - 4:07BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)19
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 4:12MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)18
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
57.5%
19
42.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 4:26BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)18
61.8%
17
38.2%
Q1 - 4:32BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 4:33BOSO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)18
62.4%
17
37.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 5:01BOSAllen Reverse Layup (9 PTS)18
65.3%
15
34.7%
Q1 - 5:21MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)16
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
65.4%
13
34.6%
Q1 - 5:34BOSMISS Marbury 19' Jump Shot16
66.1%
13
33.9%
Q1 - 5:41BOSMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
67.6%
13
32.4%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot16
66.9%
13
33.1%
Q1 - 6:00BOSPowe Tip Shot (7 PTS)16
65.4%
13
34.6%
Q1 - 6:01BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 6:02BOSMISS Marbury Driving Layup14
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 6:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 6:30BOSAllen 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)14
61.6%
13
38.4%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)12
60.0%
12
40.0%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
61.6%
11
38.4%
Q1 - 6:51BOSMISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
62.2%
11
37.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIADiawara 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 7:19BOSAllen 12' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)12
65.5%
9
34.5%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 7:39BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)10
63.6%
8
36.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
65.7%
8
34.3%
Q1 - 7:49MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 7:58BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
67.4%
6
32.6%
Q1 - 8:00BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 8:02BOSMISS Moore 21' Jump Shot7
62.5%
6
37.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)7
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 8:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
65.7%
4
34.3%
Q1 - 8:34BOSMISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
66.3%
4
33.7%
Q1 - 8:50BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
67.6%
4
32.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot7
67.0%
4
33.0%
Q1 - 9:11BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
66.0%
4
34.0%
Q1 - 9:18BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 10:08BOSPowe 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:09BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 10:10BOSMISS Perkins 9' Hook Shot2
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 10:17MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
58.7%
4
41.3%
Q1 - 10:37BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
56.8%
4
43.2%
Q1 - 10:54MIAChalmers Layup (2 PTS)0
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 10:57BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)0
56.8%
2
43.2%
Q1 - 11:07MIAO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 11:35MIAMoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.5%
0
39.5%
Q1 - 11:36BOSMISS Perkins 16' Jump Shot0
61.0%
0
39.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Perkins: Tip to Marbury0
62.1%
0
37.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
25
64%
MIA
15
18
83%
Midrange
BOS
9
32
28%
MIA
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
BOS
25
33
76%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2771%13.5 / 19
L. Powe2361%11.5 / 19
P. Pierce1662%8.0 / 13
K. Perkins1354%6.5 / 12
E. House1267%6.0 / 9
H. Walker880%4.0 / 5
S. Marbury0-0.0 / 6
M. Moore0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3262%16.0 / 26
J. Moon1372%6.5 / 9
J. O'Neal1255%6.0 / 11
M. Chalmers1050%5.0 / 10
U. Haslem10100%5.0 / 5
D. Cook1050%5.0 / 10
M. Beasley844%4.0 / 9
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
Y. Diawara467%2.0 / 3
J. Magloire2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
72
+15
-17
87
MIA
76
+14
-13
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.3%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
107.6
BOS 111.2
MIA 120.2 +9.0
Pace
90.9
90.2
BOS 97.5 +15.6
MIA 81.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
BOS 14.8 +2.8
MIA 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
50.0%
BOS 50.7%
MIA 55.6% +4.9%
TO %
16.4%
13.1%
BOS 16.3%
MIA 12.7% +3.6%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
BOS 34.1% +5.2%
MIA 28.9%
FTrt
32.8
28.2
BOS 45.2 +17.7
MIA 27.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
55.1%
BOS 45.5%
MIA 52.5% +7.0%
STL %
8.3%
8.7%
BOS 7.9%
MIA 10.1% +2.2%
BLK %
7.8%
9.2%
BOS 6.7%
MIA 12.3% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
52.6%
BOS 56.3%
MIA 59.4% +3.1%
Rim FG%
60.2%
59.5%
BOS 64.0%
MIA 83.3% +19.3%
Mid FG%
42.4%
41.8%
BOS 28.1%
MIA 38.1% +10.0%
3P %
39.7%
35.7%
BOS 50.0% +5.0%
MIA 45.0%
FT %
76.7%
75.4%
BOS 75.8%
MIA 81.8% +6.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
30.3%
BOS 34.2% +11.7%
MIA 22.5%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
45.2%
BOS 43.8% +8.7%
MIA 52.5%
3P Att. %
21.4%
24.5%
BOS 21.9%
MIA 25.0% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points99107
Rebounds4138
Assists1521
Steals79
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)27 (2)
Field Goals33-7340-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2515-18
Midrange FG9-3216-42
2-Point FG25-5731-60
3-Point FG8-169-20
Free Throws25-3318-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
42.9
23
61%
13
0
0
0
0
5
4
9
9-12
75%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
40.6
16
62%
5
3
1
0
4
3
1
4
5-7
71%
4-9
44%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
40.4
27
71%
5
2
0
0
4
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
5-8
63%
C · 6'10" 270 · 24
28.3
13
54%
8
0
0
3
2
3
4
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 32
24.3
0
0%
0
4
2
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
24.8
12
67%
4
2
2
0
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33
18.0
0
0%
4
2
0
0
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 21
14.4
8
80%
1
2
2
0
1
4
1
0
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 170 · 23
6.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23
G · 6'1" 186 · 23
G · 6'5" 215 · 24
#44 · F · 6'9" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'11" 240 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
56%
41
15
7
4
17
0
14
27
25-33
76%
25-57
44%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.