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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Celtics57%9499
13Heat43%92107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
42.9
25.0
23
60%
13
0
0
0
0
0
4
9
9-12
75%
7-14
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.4
40.6
41.6
16
61%
5
3
1
1
0
4
1
4
5-7
71%
4-9
6-13
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.6
40.4
38.2
27
72%
5
2
0
1
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
5-8
63%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.3
28.3
32.9
13
55%
8
0
0
1
3
2
4
4
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
59%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 32.1
24.3
17.5
0
0%
0
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
24.8
21.9
12
61%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.3
18.0
12.9
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.4
14.4
2.8
8
71%
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
4-6
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.9
6.4
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.2
22.0
1
3-6
47%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 23.0
20.5
1
3-6
51%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
39.1
29.6
10
51%
3
7
4
2
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.1
36.6
38.6
32
59%
4
7
4
2
0
1
2
2
13-16
81%
8-16
8-17
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
32.3
26.6
12
56%
5
1
0
0
3
2
3
2
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
29.6
32.9
10
83%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
48%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.7
29.5
30.8
13
72%
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
22.6
24.4
8
44%
4
2
0
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
20.2
24.9
10
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
39%
2-2
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.4
12.7
7.2
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
11.6
3.2
2
100%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.5
5.8
5.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
7.4
0
0-1
46%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.