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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies46%9579
29Timberwolves54%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
39.2
33.2
17
62%
1
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
7-9
4-8
78%
47%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
37.3
28.1
12
44%
7
1
1
1
0
2
0
7
3-4
75%
3-11
6-11
27%
50%
1-1
100%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
35.7
32.4
14
72%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
5-8
63%
55%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
35.6
34.6
18
49%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
2-5
40%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
23.9
21.2
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
19.9
13.1
10
51%
10
0
0
0
1
3
1
9
0-2
0%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
12.4
19.4
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
10.7
18.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
8.8
21.8
2
26%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
8.8
6.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
7.7
4.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.8
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
33.5
32.2
25
66%
5
5
0
1
0
0
0
5
6-7
86%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
29.6
28.2
19
62%
11
4
1
1
1
3
4
7
3-3
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
29.4
35.6
18
68%
11
3
1
1
1
2
3
8
3-3
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
3-5
60%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
25.6
31.6
9
41%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
1-4
25%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
23.7
11.6
1
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
24.4
16.1
13
60%
8
1
1
0
0
3
4
4
3-4
75%
5-9
3-5
56%
57%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
24.1
14.2
11
79%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
22.8
9.8
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
17.8
6.4
4
52%
8
0
2
0
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
9.2
12.3
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
13.4
1
1-2
48%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
3.7
0
0-0
43%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.