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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 11, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets44%102112
21Warriors56%104116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
41.4
39.3
31
56%
7
12
3
2
0
6
2
5
13-17
76%
9-14
7-13
64%
50%
0-6
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.9
36.0
28.7
14
64%
6
0
2
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
7-11
6-10
64%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.0
35.5
22.4
13
66%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
32.1
37.3
14
37%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-12
6-13
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
10.8
18.9
2
18%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
22.7
19.1
10
69%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-5
40%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.8
21.7
18.1
10
85%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
21.6
27.5
10
63%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
12.1
15.8
6
48%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-5
40%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
6.2
2.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
7.2
0
1-1
48%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
5.6
0
1-1
56%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
46.1
34.4
19
53%
1
5
2
1
0
3
1
0
7-7
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
2-7
29%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
44.6
30.6
29
59%
7
7
1
1
0
3
2
5
7-8
88%
8-14
5-10
57%
47%
2-7
29%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
30.8
15.1
10
83%
13
2
2
0
1
1
4
9
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
60%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
30.8
34.4
19
56%
3
6
1
1
0
5
0
3
1-2
50%
9-15
7-13
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
16.7
24.9
8
72%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-8
75%
1-2
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
31.3
25.5
18
70%
7
1
0
1
0
3
0
7
16-20
80%
1-4
5-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
17.2
17.2
4
45%
7
0
0
0
3
0
2
5
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
13.5
23.2
5
50%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
8.9
12.3
4
25%
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
50%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
18.0
1
2-4
49%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
14.9
0
2-5
50%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
7.5
0
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.