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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers42%94102
11Spurs58%9795
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
41.1
35.4
23
70%
11
3
1
1
2
3
2
9
3-3
100%
10-15
7-13
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
38.0
36.0
23
51%
4
6
0
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
8-19
9-18
42%
49%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.3
35.5
17.1
12
42%
10
2
1
0
2
0
6
4
2-5
40%
5-12
2-4
42%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.6
31.8
27.6
10
56%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
26.4
23.0
10
78%
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.0
19.3
24.0
6
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.3
16.2
19.3
4
50%
1
1
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
13.6
25.7
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
12.3
17.4
6
104%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.2
5.8
10.2
4
100%
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.6
4.3
0
0-1
38%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
39.2
30.0
16
50%
11
5
0
1
1
2
2
9
4-7
57%
6-13
7-13
46%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
39.1
27.1
25
74%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
47%
5-6
83%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
38.5
33.2
25
59%
2
9
0
1
0
5
0
2
3-7
43%
8-15
9-17
53%
51%
2-3
67%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
33.4
30.7
7
39%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
12.6
19.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
24.9
22.5
8
67%
7
1
1
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
14.5
16.8
4
69%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
13.3
21.2
5
63%
0
0
3
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.7
12.3
20.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
8.8
6.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
3.5
20.0
2
100%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.3
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.