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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 12, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers58%102119
13Suns42%99111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
43.5
39.6
34
57%
10
13
3
2
3
3
6
4
11-13
85%
7-16
8-15
44%
53%
3-8
38%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
40.7
36.4
30
61%
5
3
2
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
4-13
5-10
31%
51%
6-10
60%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
33.2
32.9
6
44%
9
0
0
1
2
0
3
6
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
25.1
27.5
15
76%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
22.5
31.5
6
60%
0
2
0
1
0
7
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
28.2
8.7
16
78%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
3-4
1-1
75%
46%
3-5
60%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
18.9
14.1
7
102%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-3
67%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
15.8
16.8
5
51%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
10.2
20.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
2.0
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.0
43.0
33.8
21
71%
4
5
1
1
2
4
0
4
1-2
50%
7-8
3-5
88%
49%
2-6
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.4
40.9
32.6
15
56%
6
4
0
1
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.1
36.9
35.4
20
65%
2
6
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
8-13
5-11
62%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
31.9
32.1
13
46%
7
3
2
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
1-5
20%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.0
25.8
30.9
12
82%
7
0
0
0
1
4
3
4
2-3
67%
5-6
7-12
83%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.3
19.9
31.5
14
46%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
4-9
5-9
44%
51%
0-3
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
11.1
5.8
6
75%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.9
9.5
2.6
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
8.9
18.0
2
100%
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.7
7.1
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.3
5.0
4.5
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.