FinalWin Prob.pScore
2436%96
87
1564%100
101
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
96.79092.4
ATL logo ATL
111.09188.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDMISS Rush 13' Jump Shot87
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLEvans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Law 3 AST)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDFord 19' Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12ATLJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27INDFord 3' Running Layup (27 PTS)85
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Law 2' Layup83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17INDMurray STEAL (2 STL)83
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24ATLMurray 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47INDFord 8' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)83
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:57ATLHorford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)81
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 3:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 3:13INDMISS Jack 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 3:20INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 3:21ATLMISS Law 17' Jump Shot81
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 3:41INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 3:41INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)80
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 3:51INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 3:52ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:08INDFord 4' Driving Layup (21 PTS)79
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:17INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Law 17' Jump Shot77
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:35INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35INDFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35INDMISS Hibbert 7' Hook Shot75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03INDFord 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)75
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 5:23ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:42INDJack 2' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)73
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 5:47INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 5:49ATLMISS Horford 3' Driving Layup71
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 6:12INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q4 - 6:32ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)71
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 6:53INDMurphy Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)71
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 7:18ATLHorford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 7:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 7:43INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot71
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 8:04INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)71
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 8:06ATLMISS Horford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot71
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 8:29INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)71
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 8:52INDPacers Rebound68
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 8:52ATLMISS Murray 2' Driving Layup68
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q4 - 9:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 9:04INDMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot68
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 9:20ATLPachulia 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Law 2 AST)68
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 9:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Jack 6' Running Jump Shot68
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 10:00ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)68
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 10:00ATLHorford Putback Dunk (10 PTS)68
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 10:02ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 10:23INDJack 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q4 - 10:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q4 - 10:36ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot66
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 10:58INDRush 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)66
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 11:14ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (28 PTS)64
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 11:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 11:21INDMISS Daniels 3' Driving Layup64
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q4 - 11:43ATLMurray 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)64
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND64
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound64
6.9%
75
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Jack 44' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLBibby 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)64
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot64
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot64
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMISS Daniels 2' Driving Layup64
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q3 - 1:05INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
13.6%
72
86.4%
Q3 - 1:06ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 1:10ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 1:13INDMISS Nesterovic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot64
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 1:40ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)64
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q3 - 1:59ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
19.1%
69
80.9%
Q3 - 2:00INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 2:15ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 2:29INDFord 3' Running Layup (15 PTS)64
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 2:36INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 2:37ATLMISS Murray Running Layup62
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 2:41INDMurray STEAL (1 STL)62
22.6%
66
77.4%
Q3 - 3:03ATLJohnson 3' Layup (23 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)62
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 3:23ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
29.6%
64
70.4%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot62
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 3:33INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
33.8%
64
66.2%
Q3 - 3:36ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
32.5%
64
67.5%
Q3 - 3:39ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
29.6%
64
70.4%
Q3 - 3:42INDMISS Ford 2' Driving Layup62
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 4:06ATLEvans Running Layup (12 PTS)62
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 4:07INDEvans STEAL (1 STL)62
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 4:09INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 4:10ATLMISS Johnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper62
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 4:29INDJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)62
37.2%
62
62.8%
Q3 - 4:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 4:37ATLMISS Smith 4' Turnaround Jump Shot62
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 4:46ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 4:47INDMISS Murphy 29' 3PT Jump Shot62
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q3 - 4:58ATLBibby Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 5:17ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)62
36.8%
62
63.2%
Q3 - 5:18INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 162
37.4%
62
62.6%
Q3 - 5:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 5:19INDHorford BLOCK (3 BLK)60
30.6%
62
69.4%
Q3 - 5:41ATLEvans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)60
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 5:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)60
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q3 - 5:54INDMISS Jack 12' Running Jump Shot60
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 6:05INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)60
44.7%
59
55.3%
Q3 - 6:06ATLMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot60
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 6:24INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)60
40.5%
59
59.5%
Q3 - 6:34ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
33.3%
59
66.7%
Q3 - 6:34ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 257
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 6:47ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 6:49INDMISS Ford 20' Fadeaway Jumper57
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q3 - 7:16ATLJohnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)57
36.4%
58
63.6%
Q3 - 7:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)57
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q3 - 7:27INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot57
41.1%
56
58.9%
Q3 - 7:48ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 7:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
47.6%
54
52.4%
Q3 - 7:58INDMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot57
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 8:13ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)57
51.0%
54
49.0%
Q3 - 8:35INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
54.5%
52
45.5%
Q3 - 8:35INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 256
53.4%
52
46.6%
Q3 - 8:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)56
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 8:41ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot56
53.5%
52
46.5%
Q3 - 8:54INDFord 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 9:14ATLEvans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)54
46.7%
52
53.3%
Q3 - 9:32INDFord 13' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)54
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q3 - 9:57ATLBibby 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)52
50.5%
49
49.5%
Q3 - 10:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)52
53.1%
47
46.9%
Q3 - 10:07INDMISS Jack 8' Running Jump Shot52
54.2%
47
45.8%
Q3 - 10:29ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q3 - 10:29ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
57.4%
46
42.6%
Q3 - 10:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)52
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q3 - 10:34INDMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot52
61.3%
45
38.7%
Q3 - 10:39INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)52
63.6%
45
36.4%
Q3 - 10:40ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot52
62.6%
45
37.4%
Q3 - 11:01INDDaniels 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
59.2%
45
40.8%
Q3 - 11:10INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
56.1%
45
43.9%
Q3 - 11:13ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper50
55.0%
45
45.0%
Q3 - 11:34INDDaniels 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)50
52.4%
45
47.6%
Q3 - 11:39INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:7 Def:0)48
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q3 - 11:42INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot48
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)48
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
45.7%
45
54.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDMISS Ford 20' Fadeaway Jumper48
46.5%
45
53.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)48
48.3%
45
51.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDMISS Hibbert Putback Layup48
53.2%
43
46.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)48
55.0%
43
45.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0INDHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)48
53.2%
43
46.8%
Q2 - 1:09ATLPachulia Running Layup (2 PTS) (Law 1 AST)48
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q2 - 1:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
58.4%
41
41.6%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Daniels Alley Oop Layup48
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 1:36INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
60.8%
41
39.2%
Q2 - 1:38ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot48
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q2 - 1:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 1:59INDMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot48
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 2:08ATLJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)48
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 2:27INDHibbert Putback Layup (14 PTS)48
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 2:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)46
60.2%
39
39.8%
Q2 - 2:31INDMISS Jack 3' Driving Layup46
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 2:39INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
60.2%
39
39.8%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
59.2%
39
40.8%
Q2 - 2:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
57.1%
39
42.9%
Q2 - 2:54INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot46
58.0%
39
42.0%
Q2 - 3:10INDJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 3:12INDMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot46
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 3:18INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 3:20ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot46
58.6%
39
41.4%
Q2 - 3:26ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 3:29INDMISS Jack 17' Jump Shot46
57.3%
39
42.7%
Q2 - 3:44ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)46
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 3:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
65.1%
36
34.9%
Q2 - 3:52INDMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot46
66.1%
36
33.9%
Q2 - 4:17ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)46
67.2%
36
32.8%
Q2 - 4:30INDHibbert Dunk (12 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)46
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 4:38ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)44
67.2%
34
32.8%
Q2 - 5:02INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 5:10ATLJohnson 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)41
57.9%
34
42.1%
Q2 - 5:27ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
60.9%
32
39.1%
Q2 - 5:29INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 5:46ATLJones Putback Layup (2 PTS)41
63.6%
32
36.4%
Q2 - 5:47ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Murray 6' Running Jump Shot41
68.2%
30
31.8%
Q2 - 6:15INDDaniels 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)41
65.2%
30
34.8%
Q2 - 6:18INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 6:20ATLMISS Bibby 7' Running Jump Shot39
62.0%
30
38.0%
Q2 - 6:34ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
59.8%
30
40.2%
Q2 - 6:36INDMISS Hibbert Putback Layup39
60.8%
30
39.2%
Q2 - 6:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)39
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 6:40INDMISS Jack 5' Running Jump Shot39
60.8%
30
39.2%
Q2 - 7:04ATLBibby 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)39
62.1%
30
37.9%
Q2 - 7:12INDFord 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)39
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q2 - 7:29ATLHorford 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
62.1%
28
37.9%
Q2 - 7:42ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
64.7%
26
35.3%
Q2 - 7:43INDMISS Ford 21' Jump Shot37
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMurray Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
67.3%
26
32.7%
Q2 - 7:57ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q2 - 7:59ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
71.4%
24
28.6%
Q2 - 8:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q2 - 8:12INDHibbert Putback Dunk (10 PTS)37
68.5%
24
31.5%
Q2 - 8:13INDMISS Ford Running Layup35
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 8:18ATLJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q2 - 8:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
63.7%
24
36.3%
Q2 - 8:35INDMISS Rush 16' Jump Shot35
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q2 - 8:51ATLMurray 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)35
66.2%
24
33.8%
Q2 - 9:04INDDaniels 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q2 - 9:18ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)33
65.2%
22
34.8%
Q2 - 9:36INDNesterovic 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)33
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q2 - 9:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
60.3%
22
39.7%
Q2 - 9:45ATLMISS Horford 15' Jump Shot31
59.5%
22
40.5%
Q2 - 10:10INDNesterovic 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)31
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q2 - 10:34INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot29
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q2 - 10:52ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 10:54INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot29
52.6%
22
47.4%
Q2 - 11:05INDPacers Rebound29
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q2 - 11:05INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot29
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q2 - 11:26ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)29
54.0%
22
46.0%
Q2 - 11:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 11:46INDMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot29
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL29
54.0%
22
46.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound29
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 58' 3PT Jump Shot29
53.2%
22
46.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)29
50.6%
22
49.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)27
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDJack Running Layup (6 PTS)27
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot25
47.1%
20
52.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDJack 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)25
45.8%
20
54.2%
Q1 - 1:01ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 1:01ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 1:01ATLHAWKS Rebound23
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 1:01ATLMISS Johnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot23
46.5%
18
53.5%
Q1 - 1:27INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)23
45.4%
18
54.6%
Q1 - 1:47INDPacers Rebound21
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot21
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 1:56ATLWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
40.8%
18
59.2%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot21
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 2:11ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 2:12ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot21
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 2:29INDHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)21
41.0%
18
59.0%
Q1 - 2:46ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T4)21
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 2:53INDJack 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)21
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 3:02INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)19
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 3:03ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot19
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 3:20INDRush 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)19
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 3:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)16
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 3:27ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:29ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson Tip Shot16
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:34ATLMISS Pachulia Layup16
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:37ATLMISS Pachulia 4' Jump Shot16
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 3:47ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q1 - 3:48INDMISS Foster 6' Hook Shot16
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 4:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
31.5%
18
68.5%
Q1 - 4:02ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 4:29INDFord Running Layup (4 PTS)16
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 4:35ATLBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 4:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 4:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
27.8%
18
72.2%
Q1 - 4:42INDMISS Hibbert Putback Dunk14
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:44INDMISS Daniels 6' Running Jump Shot14
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 5:07ATLHorford Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)14
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 5:22INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
26.1%
18
73.9%
Q1 - 5:22INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
25.8%
18
74.2%
Q1 - 5:47ATLHorford Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 5:57ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)12
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 6:08INDMurphy Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)12
27.7%
15
72.3%
Q1 - 6:24ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 6:24ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
26.6%
14
73.4%
Q1 - 6:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.7%
13
72.3%
Q1 - 6:29INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot10
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 6:43ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:43ATLEvans Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:44ATLMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup10
32.6%
11
67.4%
Q1 - 7:06INDFord Running Layup (2 PTS)10
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 7:11INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 7:12ATLMISS Bibby 3' Alley Oop Layup8
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 7:27INDHibbert Layup (8 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)8
27.5%
11
72.5%
Q1 - 7:39ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 7:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 7:47INDMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot6
24.7%
11
75.3%
Q1 - 7:59ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 8:18INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
27.4%
9
72.6%
Q1 - 8:18INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)5
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 8:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 8:19INDMISS Ford 9' Running Jump Shot4
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 8:31INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 8:33ATLMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Hook Shot4
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 8:51INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)4
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 9:10ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)2
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 9:14INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)2
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:34ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)2
26.2%
7
73.8%
Q1 - 9:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 9:50INDMISS Jack 17' Jump Shot2
28.3%
5
71.7%
Q1 - 10:08ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
29.7%
5
70.3%
Q1 - 10:18ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:20INDMISS Ford 2' Driving Reverse Layup2
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 10:36ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 10:53INDHibbert 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)2
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 11:18ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 11:19INDMISS Jack 22' Jump Shot0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:38INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:40ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Hibbert: Tip to Johnson0
32.5%
0
67.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.90 44.8%
ATL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
30
57%
ATL
17
27
63%
Midrange
IND
17
50
34%
ATL
18
44
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
ATL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
IND
10
12
83%
ATL
10
11
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford2958%14.5 / 25
R. Hibbert1558%7.5 / 13
J. Jack1029%5.0 / 17
M. Daniels829%4.0 / 14
B. Rush850%4.0 / 8
T. Murphy744%3.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic650%3.0 / 6
J. Foster450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3063%15.0 / 24
A. Horford1761%8.5 / 14
M. Evans1594%7.5 / 8
M. Bibby1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1045%5.0 / 11
R. Murray840%4.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia433%2.0 / 6
S. Jones4100%2.0 / 2
A. Law0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
84
+12
-6
96
ATL
83
+12
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.90 44.8%
ATL
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.2
IND 96.7 +14.3
ATL 111.0
Pace
96.5
89.8
IND 92.4 +3.8
ATL 88.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.9
IND 15.6 +0.7
ATL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
50.4%
IND 42.8%
ATL 51.7% +8.9%
TO %
14.4%
13.6%
IND 5.9% +2.9%
ATL 8.8%
ORB %
25.5%
26.0%
IND 19.2%
ATL 23.8% +4.6%
FTrt
26.7
32.3
IND 13.3 +0.8
ATL 12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.1%
IND 43.2%
ATL 57.1% +13.9%
STL %
7.2%
8.2%
IND 2.2%
ATL 4.4% +2.2%
BLK %
8.1%
7.4%
IND 1.4%
ATL 3.8% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
53.2%
IND 44.8%
ATL 53.2% +8.4%
Rim FG%
56.5%
60.5%
IND 56.7%
ATL 63.0% +6.3%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.2%
IND 34.0%
ATL 40.9% +6.9%
3P %
37.8%
36.6%
IND 30.0%
ATL 41.2% +11.2%
FT %
80.7%
73.8%
IND 83.3%
ATL 90.9% +7.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
32.2%
IND 33.3% +2.7%
ATL 30.7%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
42.4%
IND 55.6%
ATL 50.0% +5.6%
3P Att. %
24.4%
25.3%
IND 11.1%
ATL 19.3% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDATL
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points87101
Rebounds4252
Assists1624
Steals24
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)42 (0)
Field Goals37-9042-88
At-the-Rim FG17-3017-27
Midrange FG17-5018-44
2-Point FG34-8035-71
3-Point FG3-107-17
Free Throws10-1210-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
38.7
10
29%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-14
36%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
38.2
29
58%
5
5
1
0
1
4
1
4
5-5
100%
12-23
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 28
35.9
8
29%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 245 · 29
30.0
7
44%
14
1
0
1
1
1
0
14
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
27.9
15
58%
7
0
0
0
0
2
7
0
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
28.7
8
50%
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
21.8
4
50%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
10.8
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
6.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 33
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
#33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
45%
42
16
2
1
6
0
10
32
10-12
83%
34-80
43%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.