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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks54%106102
25Timberwolves46%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
41.9
34.4
12
43%
13
3
5
1
0
0
3
10
0-0
-
6-14
6-11
43%
57%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
41.6
33.1
24
63%
12
3
2
1
1
3
2
10
6-7
86%
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.8
37.4
29.5
25
56%
6
7
2
1
0
4
3
3
14-17
82%
4-12
5-10
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.1
35.5
34.6
12
38%
4
1
3
2
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
43%
1-6
17%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
23.2
28.7
12
58%
3
0
2
1
1
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
49%
0-2
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.9
24.5
15.1
6
44%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.3
24.2
11.4
8
41%
5
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
4-6
67%
2-7
1-2
29%
47%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
11.7
17.8
3
30%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
7.4
0
1-3
52%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.3
7.0
0
1-2
54%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.4
1.8
0
0-1
51%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.5
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
43.6
32.6
12
54%
11
7
2
1
2
6
0
11
5-7
71%
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
42.9
29.0
22
53%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
44%
2-7
29%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
40.3
32.1
28
59%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
10-17
5-10
59%
50%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
25.9
28.3
6
34%
4
2
1
1
4
3
1
3
2-4
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
24.6
19.3
14
81%
9
0
0
0
0
0
2
7
6-6
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
57%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
35.5
18.0
6
33%
7
0
0
1
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
12.2
11.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
9.5
11.2
4
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
5.5
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
32.9
1
5-10
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
16.5
0
1-2
41%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
9.4
0
1-2
48%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.