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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Hornets60%9695
23Bucks40%9386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
42.4
35.8
17
66%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-4
3-8
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
41.1
37.9
30
74%
6
9
4
3
0
3
1
5
12-12
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.4
37.8
35.5
8
57%
17
0
0
1
0
1
7
10
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
59%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
37.8
38.7
21
60%
10
2
0
1
1
4
2
8
5-6
83%
8-15
8-16
53%
49%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
18.6
20.8
5
36%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
34.0
27.8
10
44%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
11.1
6.6
0
0%
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
6.9
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
5.6
8.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
4.7
7.2
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.7
39.1
35.1
27
60%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
11-16
5-11
69%
48%
0-4
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
31.9
25.8
6
38%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
29.0
18.2
4
67%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.6
26.2
31.7
10
37%
5
2
1
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
50%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
23.8
30.8
4
29%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
33.4
32.8
15
75%
1
3
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.1
24.3
20.8
6
38%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.8
23.4
17.7
14
70%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.7
9.0
7.5
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
7.0
0
1-2
48%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
6.7
0
1-2
48%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
2.8
0
0-0
38%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.