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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Cavaliers77%102126
27Kings23%92123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
47.0
40.4
51
68%
4
9
2
2
3
3
0
4
15-17
88%
12-19
8-15
63%
54%
4-11
36%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
39.8
32.7
18
88%
12
0
1
1
0
2
5
7
2-5
40%
8-8
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
38.4
37.3
10
32%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
0-4
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
31.1
17.6
8
37%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
20.4
26.5
9
44%
7
0
0
0
2
2
4
3
1-3
33%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
31.0
16.7
9
78%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-4
50%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
26.6
16.4
12
77%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
22.5
16.5
2
35%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
8.3
3.2
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
1-1
100%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
6.4
0
1-2
55%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.3
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
43.6
33.4
34
63%
6
2
1
1
0
4
0
6
13-14
93%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
3-8
38%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
42.4
37.3
11
61%
4
4
1
1
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
40.4
35.2
12
61%
9
1
0
1
1
1
0
9
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.6
32.6
26.2
19
61%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
7-8
88%
6-11
4-7
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.0
27.9
28.1
19
74%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
3-4
75%
5-5
2-5
100%
44%
2-6
33%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.6
23.6
16.1
18
91%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
5-8
63%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
23.1
30.4
3
38%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
19.1
3.4
2
25%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
12.3
18.0
5
31%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
20.0
1
2-5
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.5
0
0-1
45%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.8
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.