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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks54%105110
19Warriors46%103119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.7
38.1
37.7
27
58%
9
4
1
1
0
2
2
7
1-1
100%
10-18
10-19
56%
51%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 36.0
37.8
34.6
21
66%
10
11
2
2
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
5-8
63%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
36.7
27.6
11
45%
0
2
0
1
2
3
0
0
2-3
67%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
1-4
25%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.7
26.2
25.4
8
31%
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.7
19.7
23.6
6
44%
10
1
0
0
1
0
6
4
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
62%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
32.4
32.2
20
45%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
53%
1-9
11%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
24.1
6.8
11
75%
11
0
0
0
1
2
5
6
3-3
100%
4-6
1-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.9
15.3
22.0
6
34%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
6.9
5.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.5
2.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
14.0
0
1-2
44%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
3.5
0
1-1
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.4
44.5
32.1
29
50%
11
3
1
1
0
2
1
10
7-9
78%
11-24
6-12
46%
51%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.9
43.1
36.8
31
60%
7
10
1
1
0
3
1
6
6-6
100%
8-16
5-12
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
33.5
38.8
9
32%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
2-9
4-9
22%
46%
1-4
25%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
15.4
16.0
12
72%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
7.9
23.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-6
0%
60%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.2
25.5
17.2
4
40%
12
1
0
0
5
0
4
8
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
25.0
12.2
14
76%
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
4
3-5
60%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
24.0
18.2
6
43%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.7
21.1
20.5
14
55%
7
3
3
1
3
0
4
3
4-6
67%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
26.4
1
3-5
48%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.9
10.9
1
1-2
47%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
8.4
0
1-3
49%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.3
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.