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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 14, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder23%9795
13Suns77%107106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
40.2
24.9
17
46%
10
2
1
1
0
3
4
6
3-3
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
38.6
23.1
22
52%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
3-3
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
35.0
31.9
20
64%
6
7
0
1
0
8
1
5
8-8
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
44%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.9
33.9
33.6
11
56%
8
1
3
2
0
2
4
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
25.1
30.6
12
51%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
22.4
15.9
4
33%
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 23.1
20.1
26.0
6
77%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.6
18.6
6.4
3
75%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.3
6.0
22.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
40%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.8
28.1
1
3-6
45%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.2
15.2
1
2-4
42%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.3
10.3
0
1-2
51%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.5
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.4
38.1
35.0
16
68%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
3-4
75%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.1
36.5
35.4
18
64%
1
8
3
1
0
7
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
54%
2-5
40%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 29.0
25.5
36.3
10
42%
4
4
2
1
0
5
2
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 37.0
24.6
28.4
12
57%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
6-8
75%
3-7
6-11
43%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
21.3
31.4
6
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.3
26.7
27.0
22
81%
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
54%
3-4
75%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.7
22.5
8.0
9
58%
9
0
2
0
1
2
5
4
2-4
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
14.5
14.5
3
31%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.9
11.5
8.4
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
9.9
4.5
3
31%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.9
8.9
5.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.3
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.