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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks18%9493
1Cavaliers82%10698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
42.8
35.3
14
48%
9
6
1
1
0
3
2
7
4-6
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
2-7
29%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
40.8
26.4
26
60%
9
2
0
1
1
2
3
6
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
5-12
42%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.8
39.9
31.8
20
47%
3
7
0
1
0
1
3
0
1-1
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
48%
1-5
20%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
38.2
36.3
10
30%
14
4
1
1
0
1
5
9
0-1
0%
5-16
6-12
31%
53%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.1
38.1
34.1
15
42%
3
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-11
3-8
36%
39%
2-6
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.3
19.3
16.8
3
52%
6
1
2
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.9
15.1
18.6
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
39%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
5.8
15.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.3
7.1
0
1-2
51%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.5
5.5
0
1-2
49%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.4
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.5
1.2
0
0-0
41%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
40.2
35.5
23
80%
7
5
1
1
0
3
0
7
2-3
67%
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
5-5
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
39.9
40.4
19
52%
8
10
4
2
3
3
1
7
1-3
33%
9-14
8-15
64%
55%
0-3
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
36.0
27.5
13
44%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
50%
0-5
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
30.6
33.3
8
52%
9
0
2
1
0
2
0
9
2-4
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
26.8
23.7
12
47%
8
0
0
0
2
1
5
3
2-2
100%
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
25.9
21.1
7
35%
2
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
17.9
17.7
10
63%
7
1
1
0
0
1
5
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
15.9
18.8
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
6.7
2.2
4
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.0
20.5
1
1-2
45%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
5.0
0
1-1
51%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
4.9
0
1-1
55%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.