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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pacers44%10187
21Raptors56%103110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
35.7
36.7
13
41%
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
2-5
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
30.9
32.5
16
62%
10
1
1
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
2-4
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
25.6
34.5
15
46%
1
6
1
1
0
3
1
0
1-1
100%
7-13
7-14
54%
47%
0-3
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
25.2
18.6
4
52%
8
2
0
1
0
0
5
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
24.1
34.2
7
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-4
6-12
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
27.1
25.4
8
50%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
20.4
9.8
5
50%
2
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
18.6
24.4
10
39%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
10.6
21.9
2
25%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
53%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
8.9
4.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
6.7
3.4
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
6.3
14.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
34.7
22.9
27
93%
9
4
2
0
1
3
2
7
6-8
75%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
3-3
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
32.8
38.1
15
42%
13
1
1
1
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
6-16
9-18
38%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
31.2
33.1
15
73%
3
12
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
1-2
50%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.7
26.1
34.5
10
63%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
23.6
32.1
10
46%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
55%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
24.3
15.8
0
0%
10
0
0
0
0
2
5
5
0-0
-
0-7
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
21.7
17.8
21
67%
8
0
0
0
0
2
5
3
11-13
85%
5-10
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.1
20.7
20.7
6
27%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
13.6
11.1
2
33%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
6.7
2.2
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
4.6
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.3
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.4
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.