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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 15, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets59%98105
27Clippers41%95107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
43.0
35.6
41
67%
7
6
2
1
0
3
2
5
10-10
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
48%
5-9
56%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.0
36.3
31.2
14
79%
5
0
0
1
4
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-8
6-11
75%
55%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.0
30.6
29.3
4
67%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.0
23.1
37.3
13
89%
1
4
2
2
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
5-6
6-12
83%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
22.2
19.3
8
41%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.9
26.2
19.5
6
44%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
23.5
20.9
8
40%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-6
33%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
22.1
20.6
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
7.7
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
4.5
4.2
5
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
0.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
5.6
0
0-1
48%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
42.7
37.5
20
65%
8
1
1
1
0
4
1
7
2-3
67%
9-14
7-15
64%
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.9
37.1
32.3
20
52%
6
10
2
2
1
1
0
6
7-7
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
1-5
20%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.2
35.9
34.2
17
62%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 35.0
32.4
27.8
9
65%
6
2
2
1
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
25.4
25.1
10
42%
8
2
1
0
0
4
4
4
2-2
100%
4-11
4-7
36%
50%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 30.0
27.0
24.7
7
58%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
24.0
21.9
21
95%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
7-11
64%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.1
11.3
14.1
3
31%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.6
4.2
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.6
7.6
0
1-2
44%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
4.6
0
1-1
48%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.5
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.