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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors30%9186
13Bobcats70%97112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 25.0
38.9
35.4
18
56%
14
1
0
1
1
3
4
10
8-9
89%
5-12
8-16
42%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.7
36.9
30.5
11
45%
4
4
2
1
1
6
1
3
4-5
80%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.4
34.3
27.9
13
48%
6
1
1
0
1
3
0
6
5-6
83%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
32.4
31.9
8
46%
2
8
0
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.9
31.9
28.0
12
56%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-6
67%
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
19.9
19.0
8
46%
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2
4-6
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.1
17.6
20.7
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
16.6
19.6
8
44%
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.3
8.6
12.4
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
2.9
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.3
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
39.1
39.7
25
76%
9
5
3
2
1
0
1
8
8-8
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
53%
1-3
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.7
32.5
33.8
13
53%
1
8
3
1
0
2
0
1
5-5
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.5
28.3
38.2
10
42%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.5
26.6
28.8
8
40%
8
2
2
1
2
2
2
6
0-0
-
4-10
5-10
40%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
26.6
34.3
14
58%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
54%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
31.2
20.6
9
41%
9
4
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
1-7
14%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.3
20.4
19.0
15
75%
2
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
14.8
2.9
9
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
49%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.1
11.1
11.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.1
3.5
3.3
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.5
3.1
2.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.9
2.9
3.4
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Dontell Jefferson
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.9
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.