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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 16, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets39%8895
7Hornets61%9284
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
40.5
33.7
18
36%
4
5
1
2
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
0-9
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
35.0
32.9
11
56%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
34.5
31.2
14
44%
12
0
2
1
0
3
3
9
2-2
100%
6-15
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
25.4
29.6
14
83%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
24.6
1.7
1
27%
6
0
0
0
3
2
2
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
23.4
18.7
12
62%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
6-6
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
22.6
20.8
6
82%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4-6
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
19.4
18.1
12
90%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
8.3
7.1
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
6.2
7.2
2
100%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
44.3
35.7
11
42%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
43.8
36.9
29
56%
6
11
6
2
0
2
1
5
11-11
100%
9-20
7-14
45%
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.5
42.0
36.1
16
45%
13
0
0
1
4
3
5
8
2-2
100%
7-17
7-15
41%
49%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
37.5
35.0
4
40%
7
0
2
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
59%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
19.1
20.3
6
30%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-5
30%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
30.4
27.2
7
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
15.0
10.0
6
77%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
4.3
9.4
2
53%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
3.7
5.9
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
10.5
0
1-2
48%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
8.9
0
1-2
51%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
6.4
0
1-2
43%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.