for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings24%9497
13Hawks76%103119
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.9
38.2
37.0
14
47%
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-4
50%
6-11
5-10
55%
48%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
36.5
20.4
8
31%
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-11
2-5
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.1
34.8
36.9
31
72%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
15-17
88%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
2-6
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.7
28.3
30.5
13
56%
8
0
1
1
1
1
6
2
5-6
83%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.3
23.7
31.5
11
79%
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
28.7
26.7
6
38%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.5
19.5
12.6
4
33%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 21.1
13.4
12.0
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.7
11.7
15.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.9
5.2
1.4
4
106%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.6
0
0-1
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.6
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 36.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.3
36.6
34.4
21
71%
10
3
1
1
2
3
6
4
2-2
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
53%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
36.1
39.8
20
43%
4
5
1
1
0
6
2
2
3-5
60%
7-16
7-14
44%
51%
1-5
20%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.8
35.7
32.5
18
72%
5
7
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
33.4
37.3
23
74%
12
6
1
1
0
1
4
8
5-6
83%
9-13
6-11
69%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
24.0
21.4
12
81%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.6
27.1
22.1
12
59%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
1-4
25%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.1
18.8
11.0
5
63%
5
3
1
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.1
18.7
15.9
6
60%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
5.4
8.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.7
2.5
4.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
60%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
1.7
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.2
2.3
0
0-1
54%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.7
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.