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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic
93
1Cavaliers
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
39
34
13
15
3
0
1
6
4
4
11
3-5
60%
5-8
7-12
63%
56%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30.0
37
25
16
6
7
0
1
0
4
2
4
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.6
36
31
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-8
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
35
26
23
4
4
5
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
2-6
56%
40%
3-7
43%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
31
21
19
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
8-10
2-4
80%
47%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
28
24
11
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.5
13
19
3
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
12
18
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.1
9
14
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.7
23
0
1-2
44%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.9
4
0
0-1
42%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25.0
3
0
0-1
42%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.2
43
39
43
12
8
4
2
1
6
2
10
9-10
90%
11-20
7-14
55%
52%
4-7
57%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.2
40
36
21
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
36
30
8
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
32
32
12
7
2
1
1
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.8
31
25
8
11
0
0
0
1
1
2
9
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.6
19
18
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.0
17
18
2
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
17
23
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.4
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 25.0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
14
0
1-2
42%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.5
4
0
1-1
51%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.9
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.