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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 17, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Timberwolves31%9186
15Spurs69%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
34.0
35.7
6
28%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
33.3
24.9
10
35%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-3
33%
3-11
3-7
27%
44%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
32.1
32.6
17
57%
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
8-12
3-7
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
31.5
28.6
17
64%
19
1
0
1
0
2
3
16
3-5
60%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
10.8
8.9
3
80%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
34.0
32.8
15
80%
6
1
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
19.9
23.7
0
0%
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
15.9
14.9
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
14.7
14.3
3
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.3
13.8
21.1
9
51%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
8.5
0
1-2
43%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
7.9
0
1-2
41%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.8
34.9
35.2
24
53%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-8
75%
9-17
10-18
53%
53%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 36.0
31.7
34.4
9
46%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.5
31.1
31.6
15
61%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-7
29%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.4
28.5
17.2
10
50%
10
6
2
0
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
26.1
25.4
8
40%
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-6
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.9
21.9
15.6
5
66%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.8
21.5
8.8
3
38%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 34.0
19.5
5.0
12
90%
5
3
1
0
1
2
3
2
4-6
67%
4-4
1-1
100%
60%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
18.6
19.9
7
44%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
6.2
14.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
7.9
0
1-2
52%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.1
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.4
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.