| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 116.1 | 93 | 77.8 |
 BOS | 117.9 | 95 | 93.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
88
+13
-5
101
BOS
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.05 52.4%
BOS
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | BOS |
| OT1 - 0:00.0 | BOS | 108 0% | 112 100% | |
| OT1 - 0:05.0 | BOS | Pierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS) | 106 0.1% | 112 99.9% |
| OT1 - 0:05.0 | BOS | Pierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS) | 106 0.1% | 111 99.9% |
| OT1 - 0:07.0 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 106 0.3% | 110 99.7% |
| OT1 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot | 106 0.5% | 110 99.5% |
| OT1 - 0:11.0 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 106 2.2% | 110 97.8% |
| OT1 - 0:12.0 | BOS | MISS House Free Throw 2 of 2 | 106 1.9% | 110 98.1% |
| OT1 - 0:12.0 | BOS | House Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 106 0.9% | 110 99.1% |
| OT1 - 0:13.0 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 106 1.7% | 109 98.3% |
| OT1 - 0:14.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot | 106 2.6% | 109 97.4% |
| OT1 - 0:22.0 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 106 6.9% | 109 93.1% |
| OT1 - 0:24.0 | BOS | MISS House 21' Jump Shot | 106 5.4% | 109 94.6% |
| OT1 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 106 4.9% | 109 95.1% |
| OT1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 103 1.4% | 109 98.6% |
| OT1 - 0:51.0 | MIA | MISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot | 103 1.0% | 109 99.0% |
| OT1 - 1:00 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 103 2.0% | 109 98.0% |
| OT1 - 1:00 | BOS | MISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 2 | 103 1.8% | 109 98.2% |
| OT1 - 1:00 | BOS | Perkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 103 1.3% | 109 98.7% |
| OT1 - 1:14 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 103 2.6% | 108 97.4% |
| OT1 - 1:15 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 103 3.2% | 108 96.8% |
| OT1 - 1:31 | BOS | Davis Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 103 6.1% | 108 93.9% |
| OT1 - 1:54 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 103 4.1% | 108 95.9% |
| OT1 - 2:17 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 100 1.8% | 108 98.2% |
| OT1 - 2:19 | BOS | MISS Rondo 1' Layup | 100 1.5% | 108 98.5% |
| OT1 - 2:34 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 100 0.9% | 108 99.1% |
| OT1 - 2:35 | MIA | MISS Beasley 1' Layup | 100 1.1% | 108 98.9% |
| OT1 - 2:36 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 100 1.8% | 108 98.2% |
| OT1 - 2:37 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Layup | 100 1.1% | 108 98.9% |
| OT1 - 2:51 | BOS | Rondo 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 100 2.3% | 108 97.7% |
| OT1 - 2:55 | BOS | House REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 100 3.2% | 106 96.8% |
| OT1 - 2:57 | BOS | MISS Pierce 6' Jump Shot | 100 4.6% | 106 95.4% |
| OT1 - 3:18 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 100 3.1% | 106 96.9% |
| OT1 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 100 3.6% | 106 96.4% |
| OT1 - 3:32 | BOS | Pierce 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST) | 100 7.3% | 106 92.7% |
| OT1 - 3:47 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 100 13.6% | 103 86.4% |
| OT1 - 3:51 | MIA | MISS Cook 7' Jump Shot | 100 15.1% | 103 84.9% |
| OT1 - 4:02 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 100 19.1% | 103 80.9% |
| OT1 - 4:03 | MIA | MISS Beasley 2' Layup | 100 15.0% | 103 85.0% |
| OT1 - 4:20 | BOS | House 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST) | 100 19.0% | 103 81.0% |
| OT1 - 4:34 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 100 33.2% | 100 66.8% |
| OT1 - 4:34 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 100 43.2% | 100 56.8% |
| OT1 - 4:35 | MIA | Perkins BLOCK (4 BLK) | 100 36.1% | 100 63.9% |
| OT1 - 5:00 | BOS | Jump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Chalmers | 100 43.2% | 100 56.8% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 100 29.9% | 100 70.1% |
| Q4 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 | 99 26.1% | 100 73.9% |
| Q4 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 99 33.2% | 100 66.8% |
| Q4 - 0:33.0 | BOS | MISS Davis 10' Jump Shot | 99 27.0% | 100 73.0% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 99 19.9% | 100 80.1% |
| Q4 - 0:58.0 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot | 99 23.8% | 100 76.2% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | BOS | Pierce 17' Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS) | 99 35.5% | 100 64.5% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 99 46.7% | 98 53.3% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | BOS | Pierce 15' Jump Shot (29 PTS) | 97 34.7% | 98 65.3% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 97 45.6% | 96 54.4% |
| Q4 - 2:27 | BOS | Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST) | 95 38.9% | 96 61.1% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | MIA | Beasley Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST) | 95 58.3% | 93 41.7% |
| Q4 - 2:53 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 93 47.2% | 93 52.8% |
| Q4 - 2:54 | BOS | MISS Perkins 2' Tip Shot | 93 42.9% | 93 57.1% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 93 33.3% | 93 66.7% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | BOS | MISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot | 93 43.1% | 93 56.9% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 93 33.3% | 93 66.7% |
| Q4 - 3:20 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot | 93 37.8% | 93 62.2% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | BOS | House 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pierce 5 AST) | 93 43.0% | 93 57.0% |
| Q4 - 3:56 | MIA | O'Neal 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST) | 93 61.4% | 90 38.6% |
| Q4 - 4:10 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 91 52.8% | 90 47.2% |
| Q4 - 4:11 | BOS | MISS Rondo 5' Jump Shot | 91 49.6% | 90 50.4% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 91 42.4% | 90 57.6% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | BOS | Perkins Layup (12 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST) | 88 25.7% | 90 74.3% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | Jones 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 88 33.2% | 88 66.8% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | BOS | Pierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 86 26.4% | 88 73.6% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | BOS | MISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 2 | 86 27.4% | 87 72.6% |
| Q4 - 5:19 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 86 26.1% | 87 73.9% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | MIA | MISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 28.2% | 87 71.8% |
| Q4 - 5:44 | BOS | Pierce 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST) | 86 33.5% | 87 66.5% |
| Q4 - 6:03 | MIA | O'Neal 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 86 39.0% | 85 61.0% |
| Q4 - 6:19 | BOS | Rondo 8' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 84 32.5% | 85 67.5% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | MIA | Magloire Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 84 39.2% | 83 60.8% |
| Q4 - 6:38 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 84 47.0% | 83 53.0% |
| Q4 - 6:43 | BOS | MISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot | 84 44.6% | 83 55.4% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 84 39.3% | 83 60.7% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | MIA | MISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 41.6% | 83 58.4% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | BOS | Rondo 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) | 84 44.5% | 83 55.5% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | MIA | Beasley 23' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST) | 84 51.1% | 81 48.9% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | BOS | Pierce 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST) | 82 42.4% | 81 57.6% |
| Q4 - 8:20 | MIA | Beasley 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 82 49.2% | 79 50.8% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | BOS | Pierce 17' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 80 42.6% | 79 57.4% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | BOS | Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 80 47.5% | 77 52.5% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | MIA | MISS Beasley 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 80 49.3% | 77 50.7% |
| Q4 - 9:24 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 80 53.4% | 77 46.6% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | BOS | MISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot | 80 51.6% | 77 48.4% |
| Q4 - 9:53 | MIA | Jones 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 80 47.7% | 77 52.3% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | BOS | CELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11) | 78 40.0% | 77 60.0% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 78 34.8% | 77 65.2% |
| Q4 - 10:09 | BOS | MISS House 3PT Jump Shot | 78 38.4% | 77 61.6% |
| Q4 - 10:11 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 78 34.8% | 77 65.2% |
| Q4 - 10:12 | BOS | MISS Pierce 2' Layup | 78 38.4% | 77 61.6% |
| Q4 - 10:43 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 78 34.9% | 77 65.1% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 38.9% | 77 61.1% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | BOS | MISS Pierce 9' Jump Shot | 78 37.4% | 77 62.6% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | MIA | Beasley 1' Driving Dunk (13 PTS) | 78 34.2% | 77 65.8% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | BOS | Pierce 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Moore 2 AST) | 76 29.3% | 77 70.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BOS | 76 34.3% | 75 65.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Moore STEAL (1 STL) | 76 33.8% | 75 66.2% |
| Q3 - 0:22.0 | BOS | House 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST) | 76 38.0% | 75 62.0% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | BOS | Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 43.5% | 73 56.5% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot | 76 44.8% | 73 55.2% |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | BOS | Rondo Driving Layup (21 PTS) | 76 48.0% | 73 52.0% |
| Q3 - 0:52.0 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 76 53.7% | 71 46.3% |
| Q3 - 0:53.0 | MIA | MISS Moon 21' Jump Shot | 76 55.1% | 71 44.9% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 76 56.6% | 71 43.4% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | BOS | MISS Rondo 1' Layup | 76 55.2% | 71 44.8% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Head 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST) | 76 52.2% | 71 47.8% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 74 46.8% | 71 53.2% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | BOS | MISS Pierce Free Throw 2 of 2 | 74 46.2% | 71 53.8% |
| Q3 - 1:51 | BOS | Pierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 74 42.7% | 71 57.3% |
| Q3 - 2:10 | MIA | Magloire 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST) | 74 45.2% | 70 54.8% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 72 40.7% | 70 59.3% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | BOS | MISS Davis 9' Jump Shot | 72 39.3% | 70 60.7% |
| Q3 - 2:31 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 72 36.3% | 70 63.7% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 72 37.6% | 70 62.4% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 72 40.7% | 70 59.3% |
| Q3 - 2:46 | BOS | MISS Davis 20' Jump Shot | 72 39.4% | 70 60.6% |
| Q3 - 3:08 | MIA | Cook 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 2 AST) | 72 34.8% | 70 65.2% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | BOS | CELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10) | 70 31.1% | 70 68.9% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 70 27.1% | 70 72.9% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | BOS | MISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot | 70 29.9% | 70 70.1% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 70 27.2% | 70 72.8% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 69 26.5% | 70 73.5% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | BOS | Davis 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 4 AST) | 68 24.0% | 70 76.0% |
| Q3 - 4:16 | MIA | Chalmers 3' Layup (7 PTS) (O'Neal 6 AST) | 68 26.7% | 68 73.3% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS) | 66 24.0% | 68 76.0% |
| Q3 - 4:45 | MIA | O'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 66 30.3% | 65 69.7% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | BOS | Perkins 5' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS) | 66 33.6% | 65 66.4% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 66 37.0% | 63 63.0% |
| Q3 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot | 66 38.3% | 63 61.7% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | BOS | Rondo 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 66 41.5% | 63 58.5% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | MIA | Moon 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 66 45.2% | 61 54.8% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 63 36.3% | 61 63.7% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 63 37.4% | 60 62.6% |
| Q3 - 6:24 | MIA | Rondo STEAL (1 STL) | 63 39.9% | 59 60.1% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | BOS | Marbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 63 44.1% | 59 55.9% |
| Q3 - 6:35 | BOS | MISS Marbury Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 44.9% | 58 55.1% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 63 43.8% | 58 56.2% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | MIA | MISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 45.1% | 58 54.9% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | BOS | Marbury Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 63 46.2% | 58 53.8% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | MIA | Cook 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Moon 2 AST) | 63 42.3% | 58 57.7% |
| Q3 - 7:44 | BOS | Marbury Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 61 38.8% | 58 61.2% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 61 46.2% | 55 53.8% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | MISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 47.5% | 55 52.5% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 49.2% | 55 50.8% |
| Q3 - 8:09 | BOS | MISS Davis 1' Layup | 61 48.0% | 55 52.0% |
| Q3 - 8:16 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 61 45.2% | 55 54.8% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | MISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 46.4% | 55 53.6% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 61 49.2% | 55 50.8% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Layup | 61 46.4% | 55 53.6% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 49.2% | 55 50.8% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | BOS | MISS Perkins 2' Layup | 61 48.0% | 55 52.0% |
| Q3 - 8:44 | MIA | Haslem 2' Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST) | 61 45.2% | 55 54.8% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 59 41.8% | 55 58.2% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | BOS | MISS Pierce 1' Layup | 59 40.6% | 55 59.4% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | Haslem 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 59 37.3% | 55 62.7% |
| Q3 - 9:42 | BOS | Perkins 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 57 34.0% | 55 66.0% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | BOS | MISS Pierce Free Throw Technical | 57 36.3% | 53 63.7% |
| Q3 - 10:14 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 57 36.4% | 53 63.6% |
| Q3 - 10:15 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot | 57 37.4% | 53 62.6% |
| Q3 - 10:36 | BOS | Davis 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST) | 57 39.8% | 53 60.2% |
| Q3 - 10:51 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 43.3% | 51 56.7% |
| Q3 - 10:52 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 57 44.4% | 51 55.6% |
| Q3 - 11:07 | BOS | Pierce 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST) | 57 45.6% | 51 54.4% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST) | 57 48.9% | 49 51.1% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | BOS | Rondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 54 42.3% | 49 57.7% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 54 38.7% | 49 61.3% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | Marbury BLOCK (1 BLK) | 54 39.8% | 49 60.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 54 42.3% | 49 57.7% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 54 42.3% | 49 57.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 40' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 39.8% | 49 60.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | BOS | Walker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7) | 54 42.3% | 49 57.7% |
| Q2 - 0:17.0 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 54 38.5% | 49 61.5% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 | 54 38.8% | 49 61.2% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | BOS | Rondo Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 52 34.7% | 49 65.3% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | BOS | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 52 38.5% | 47 61.5% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 52 38.8% | 47 61.2% |
| Q2 - 0:46.0 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 52 41.0% | 47 59.0% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | BOS | Rondo Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 51 37.8% | 47 62.2% |
| Q2 - 1:06 | MIA | O'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 51 34.8% | 47 65.2% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | BOS | Pierce Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 49 31.2% | 47 68.8% |
| Q2 - 1:41 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS) | 49 29.2% | 47 70.8% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | BOS | Perkins 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST) | 46 23.2% | 47 76.8% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | BOS | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 46 25.5% | 45 74.5% |
| Q2 - 2:16 | BOS | MISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 27.3% | 45 72.7% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | MIA | Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST) | 46 25.6% | 45 74.4% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 43 21.1% | 45 78.9% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | BOS | MISS Rondo 4' Running Jump Shot | 43 20.4% | 45 79.6% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | MIA | Cook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 43 18.6% | 45 81.4% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 43 20.9% | 45 79.1% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | BOS | MISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot | 43 20.2% | 45 79.8% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | MIA | Beasley 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST) | 43 18.6% | 45 81.4% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 17.1% | 45 82.9% |
| Q2 - 4:01 | BOS | MISS Walker 1' Putback Layup | 41 16.3% | 45 83.7% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | BOS | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 41 15.1% | 45 84.9% |
| Q2 - 4:04 | BOS | MISS Perkins 6' Jump Shot | 41 16.3% | 45 83.7% |
| Q2 - 4:31 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST) | 41 15.1% | 45 84.9% |
| Q2 - 4:34 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 38 12.3% | 45 87.7% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | MIA | MISS Cook 11' Jump Shot | 38 11.4% | 45 88.6% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 12.3% | 45 87.7% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | BOS | MISS Perkins 5' Hook Shot | 38 11.9% | 45 88.1% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 38 11.2% | 45 88.8% |
| Q2 - 5:13 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 11.5% | 45 88.5% |
| Q2 - 5:37 | MIA | Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 12.4% | 45 87.6% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | BOS | MISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot | 38 12.0% | 45 88.0% |
| Q2 - 5:53 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 38 11.2% | 45 88.8% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 38 11.5% | 45 88.5% |
| Q2 - 6:13 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 12.7% | 45 87.3% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | MIA | MISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 11.4% | 45 88.6% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | MIA | O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 38 12.2% | 45 87.8% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | BOS | Perkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 37 11.4% | 45 88.6% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | BOS | Perkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 37 11.8% | 44 88.2% |
| Q2 - 6:40 | BOS | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 12.5% | 43 87.5% |
| Q2 - 6:41 | MIA | MISS Head 3PT Jump Shot | 37 12.9% | 43 87.1% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | BOS | House Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 37 14.0% | 43 86.0% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 37 12.5% | 43 87.5% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIA | MISS Magloire 7' Hook Shot | 37 12.9% | 43 87.1% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | MIA | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 37 13.8% | 43 86.2% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | BOS | MISS Marbury 20' Jump Shot | 37 13.4% | 43 86.6% |
| Q2 - 7:27 | MIA | Beasley 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 37 12.4% | 43 87.6% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | BOS | Moore 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST) | 35 11.3% | 43 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | MIA | Quinn 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 35 12.6% | 41 87.4% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | BOS | House 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Marbury 6 AST) | 33 11.4% | 41 88.6% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | MIA | Beasley 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 33 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | BOS | House 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Moore 1 AST) | 31 12.6% | 38 87.4% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | MIA | Head 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 31 13.8% | 36 86.2% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 28 11.4% | 36 88.6% |
| Q2 - 9:28 | BOS | MISS Walker 20' Jump Shot | 28 11.1% | 36 88.9% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | MIA | Magloire 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS) | 28 10.4% | 36 89.6% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 26 9.4% | 36 90.6% |
| Q2 - 9:55 | MIA | MISS Magloire 1' Tip Shot | 26 8.8% | 36 91.2% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 26 9.4% | 36 90.6% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3' Layup | 26 8.8% | 36 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 26 9.7% | 36 90.3% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | BOS | Walker Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 25 8.8% | 36 91.2% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | BOS | Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 7.9% | 36 92.1% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | MIA | MISS Magloire 2' Dunk | 25 8.2% | 36 91.8% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | BOS | Walker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Pruitt 1 AST) | 25 8.8% | 36 91.2% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | MIA | Beasley 7' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 25 9.9% | 34 90.1% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | MIA | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 9.0% | 34 91.0% |
| Q2 - 11:31 | BOS | MISS House 21' Jump Shot | 23 8.8% | 34 91.2% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | MIA | Beasley 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 1 AST) | 23 8.2% | 34 91.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 21 7.5% | 34 92.5% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | BOS | House 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST) | 21 7.5% | 34 92.5% |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | MIA | Jones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST) | 21 8.5% | 32 91.5% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 19 7.6% | 32 92.4% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | MIA | MISS Magloire 1' Tip Shot | 19 7.2% | 32 92.8% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 19 7.6% | 32 92.4% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot | 19 7.2% | 32 92.8% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | BOS | Moore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 19 7.6% | 32 92.4% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | BOS | Moore Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 19 7.6% | 32 92.4% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | BOS | MISS House 24' Jump Shot | 19 8.9% | 30 91.1% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 19 8.7% | 30 91.3% |
| Q1 - 1:13 | MIA | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 7.1% | 30 92.9% |
| Q1 - 1:14 | BOS | MISS Rondo 2' Reverse Layup | 16 7.0% | 30 93.0% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | BOS | Pruitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 16 6.7% | 30 93.3% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Head Free Throw 2 of 2 | 16 6.8% | 30 93.2% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | MIA | Head Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 16 7.2% | 30 92.8% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 15 6.5% | 30 93.5% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 15 6.7% | 29 93.3% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | MIA | Beasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 15 7.5% | 28 92.5% |
| Q1 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 14 7.4% | 28 92.6% |
| Q1 - 2:15 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 7.4% | 28 92.6% |
| Q1 - 2:16 | BOS | MISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 1 | 14 7.3% | 28 92.7% |
| Q1 - 2:18 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 14 8.2% | 26 91.8% |
| Q1 - 2:20 | MIA | MISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot | 14 8.4% | 26 91.6% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | MIA | Head REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 8.8% | 26 91.2% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | BOS | MISS Moore 20' Jump Shot | 14 8.6% | 26 91.4% |
| Q1 - 2:51 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST) | 14 8.2% | 26 91.8% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 11 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | MIA | MISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot | 11 6.5% | 26 93.5% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | BOS | Perkins Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST) | 11 6.8% | 26 93.2% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 11 7.4% | 24 92.6% |
| Q1 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 | 10 7.3% | 24 92.7% |
| Q1 - 3:47 | BOS | Pierce Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 7.4% | 24 92.6% |
| Q1 - 4:01 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 6.9% | 24 93.1% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | MIA | MISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot | 10 7.1% | 24 92.9% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | BOS | Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST) | 10 7.5% | 24 92.5% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 10 8.8% | 21 91.2% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Layup | 10 9.1% | 21 90.9% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | BOS | Rondo 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST) | 10 9.6% | 21 90.4% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 10 10.4% | 19 89.6% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | MIA | Perkins BLOCK (3 BLK) | 10 10.6% | 19 89.4% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 11.6% | 19 88.4% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | BOS | MISS Perkins 4' Turnaround Jump Shot | 10 11.3% | 19 88.7% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | Haslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST) | 10 10.6% | 19 89.4% |
| Q1 - 5:39 | BOS | Pierce 13' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 8 9.9% | 19 90.1% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 8 10.6% | 17 89.4% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Moon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 9.8% | 17 90.2% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | BOS | MISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 1 | 6 9.7% | 17 90.3% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | BOS | Marbury REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 10.5% | 15 89.5% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | BOS | MISS Davis 21' Jump Shot | 6 11.1% | 15 88.9% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | BOS | Pierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 10.6% | 15 89.4% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | MIA | MISS Cook 23' Jump Shot | 6 10.8% | 15 89.2% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | BOS | Pierce Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 6 11.3% | 15 88.7% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | BOS | Rondo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST) | 6 12.2% | 14 87.8% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 13.0% | 12 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:10 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup | 6 13.3% | 12 86.7% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | BOS | Perkins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 6 14.1% | 12 85.9% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 13.0% | 12 87.0% |
| Q1 - 7:28 | MIA | Perkins BLOCK (2 BLK) | 6 13.3% | 12 86.7% |
| Q1 - 7:46 | BOS | Davis 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST) | 6 14.1% | 12 85.9% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | BOS | Perkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 14.9% | 10 85.1% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Moon 21' Jump Shot | 6 15.2% | 10 84.8% |
| Q1 - 8:35 | BOS | Rondo 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST) | 6 16.0% | 10 84.0% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | BOS | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 17.2% | 8 82.8% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | MIA | Perkins BLOCK (1 BLK) | 6 17.5% | 8 82.5% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | BOS | Davis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST) | 6 18.4% | 8 81.6% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | MIA | Haslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 6 19.7% | 6 80.3% |
| Q1 - 9:33 | MIA | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 18.4% | 6 81.6% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | BOS | MISS Pierce Layup | 4 18.0% | 6 82.0% |
| Q1 - 9:49 | MIA | Cook 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 4 17.3% | 6 82.7% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | BOS | Pierce 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST) | 2 16.3% | 6 83.7% |
| Q1 - 10:23 | MIA | O'Neal 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Moon 1 AST) | 2 17.3% | 4 82.7% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | BOS | Pierce 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 0 16.3% | 4 83.7% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | BOS | CELTICS Rebound | 0 17.3% | 2 82.7% |
| Q1 - 10:55 | BOS | MISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 18.1% | 2 81.9% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 17.1% | 2 82.9% |
| Q1 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 17.4% | 2 82.6% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | BOS | Pierce 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST) | 0 18.2% | 2 81.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | BOS | Jump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Davis | 0 19.1% | 0 80.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.05 52.4%
BOS
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
28
50%
BOS
20
34
59%
Midrange
MIA
22
45
49%
BOS
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
BOS
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
MIA
12
19
63%
BOS
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Beasley | 21 | 55% | 10.5 / 19 | |
| M. Chalmers | 19 | 56% | 9.5 / 17 | |
| J. O'Neal | 17 | 53% | 8.5 / 16 | |
| U. Haslem | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| D. Cook | 9 | 32% | 4.5 / 14 | |
| J. Jones | 9 | 113% | 4.5 / 4 | |
| J. Moon | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| L. Head | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| C. Quinn | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| J. Magloire | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Celtics| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Pierce | 36 | 69% | 18.0 / 26 | |
| R. Rondo | 27 | 61% | 13.5 / 22 | |
| E. House | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| K. Perkins | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| G. Davis | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| S. Marbury | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| M. Moore | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| H. Walker | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
88
+13
-5
101
BOS
85
+11
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.05 52.4%
BOS
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.6 110.1 | MIA 116.1 BOS 117.9 +1.8 |
| Pace | 90.2 90.9 | MIA 77.8 BOS 93.8 +16.0 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.3 15.8 | MIA 18.5 BOS 15.3 +3.2 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.0% 52.8% | MIA 52.2% BOS 58.5% +6.3% |
| TO % | 13.1% 16.4% | MIA 6.5% +5.0% BOS 11.5% |
| ORB % | 24.6% 27.9% | MIA 18.6% +1.5% BOS 17.1% |
| FTrt | 28.2 32.8 | MIA 20.7 BOS 29.3 +8.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.1% 60.6% | MIA 65.9% BOS 66.7% +0.8% |
| STL % | 8.7% 8.3% | MIA 2.2% +0.1% BOS 2.1% |
| BLK % | 9.2% 7.8% | MIA 6.9% +0.1% BOS 6.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.6% 55.6% | MIA 52.4% BOS 58.3% +5.9% |
| Rim FG% | 59.5% 60.2% | MIA 50.0% BOS 58.8% +8.8% |
| Mid FG% | 41.8% 42.4% | MIA 48.9% BOS 50.0% +1.1% |
| 3P % | 35.7% 39.7% | MIA 42.1% BOS 60.0% +17.9% |
| FT % | 75.4% 76.7% | MIA 63.2% BOS 66.7% +3.5% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 30.3% 37.8% | MIA 30.4% BOS 41.5% +11.0% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.2% 40.8% | MIA 48.9% BOS 46.3% +2.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 21.4% | MIA 20.7% +8.5% BOS 12.2% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 95 |
| Possession Minutes | 28.7 | 24.3 |
| Points | 108 | 112 |
| Rebounds | 37 | 41 |
| Assists | 29 | 30 |
| Steals | 2 | 2 |
| Blocks | 5 | 5 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 5 (2) | 10 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 8 (5) | 6 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (2) | 35 (4) |
| Field Goals | 44-92 | 45-82 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 14-28 | 20-34 |
| Midrange FG | 22-45 | 19-38 |
| 2-Point FG | 36-73 | 39-72 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-19 | 6-10 |
| Free Throws | 12-19 | 16-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.