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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Trail Blazers58%10095
22Pacers42%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.7
34.3
37.9
20
47%
6
6
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-3
67%
6-16
8-16
38%
50%
2-4
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 29.1
33.9
35.3
14
70%
3
8
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.4
32.5
29.5
10
74%
11
0
1
0
2
1
4
7
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
58%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
32.3
35.9
12
38%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
1-4
25%
4-13
7-14
31%
50%
1-1
100%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.3
17.7
19.7
5
83%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.5
30.5
27.7
15
43%
4
0
1
1
0
2
3
1
3-3
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 24.0
26.7
17.3
13
47%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
2-8
25%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.6
17.1
10.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.2
11.9
10.0
4
52%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.8
3.0
13.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.8
6.3
0
1-1
44%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.2
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.3
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
35.6
35.2
13
57%
5
5
2
1
1
3
0
5
3-3
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.9
34.4
22.1
35
65%
10
0
0
1
2
2
2
8
6-7
86%
7-15
3-7
47%
48%
5-9
56%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 26.0
33.6
29.8
8
29%
4
6
1
1
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
47%
0-1
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.3
29.8
16.6
14
53%
4
0
2
0
2
2
2
2
2-3
67%
6-12
3-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
28.2
21.7
4
22%
11
2
0
1
1
2
3
8
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
54%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.2
21.9
29.2
4
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
14.9
25.7
5
63%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
12.0
5.6
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
10.0
11.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.0
9.9
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 22.1
9.6
2.6
2
100%
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.8
7.0
0
1-1
58%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.5
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.1
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.