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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets71%101111
28Grizzlies29%93109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.5
39.3
33.5
18
64%
5
12
2
1
0
6
0
5
7-9
78%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
36.5
29.5
19
71%
7
0
1
1
2
1
3
4
7-10
70%
6-9
5-8
67%
59%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
35.9
31.8
35
66%
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
8-8
100%
9-18
7-15
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.2
24.4
14.3
4
41%
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
11.7
18.6
3
52%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
29.8
27.5
21
66%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
5-10
50%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
23.6
20.5
4
50%
12
1
2
1
1
3
6
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.8
15.1
17.3
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.2
12.2
22.5
3
23%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
55%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
11.5
20.9
4
106%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.1
4.7
0
1-1
45%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.9
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
43.7
37.8
30
66%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
12-19
7-15
63%
49%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
42.1
37.3
16
43%
3
2
2
1
0
4
1
2
1-1
100%
3-13
5-11
23%
47%
3-5
60%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.4
38.8
35.6
8
36%
1
10
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
25.9
16.4
10
51%
7
1
4
1
5
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
24.7
35.4
9
64%
8
3
0
1
1
2
3
5
5-7
71%
2-4
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.7
19.7
19.4
16
62%
5
1
2
0
0
1
1
4
8-9
89%
4-9
3-7
44%
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.8
18.3
1.5
7
60%
7
2
0
0
2
1
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
0-0
60%
53%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.9
17.6
20.1
7
70%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.3
9.3
10.8
6
75%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-2
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
11.5
0
2-3
48%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.5
6.0
0
0-1
48%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
4.5
0
1-2
48%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.9
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.