FinalWin Prob.pScore
871%101
111
2829%93
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
115.696109.5
MEM logo MEM
116.09483.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN111
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)111
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2111
99.0%
109
1.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)111
93.1%
109
6.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)111
98.6%
108
1.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)110
98.2%
108
1.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)109
88.8%
108
11.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0MEMMISS Mayo Running Layup109
83.6%
108
16.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)109
70.9%
108
29.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENNuggets Rebound106
34.6%
108
65.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENRoss BLOCK (1 BLK)106
23.0%
108
77.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0MEMMayo Layup (16 PTS)106
37.3%
108
62.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
54.2%
106
45.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot106
66.0%
106
34.0%
Q4 - 1:25DENBillups Foul Turnover (P6.T19)106
56.6%
106
43.4%
Q4 - 1:36DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
70.3%
106
29.7%
Q4 - 1:37DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
61.1%
106
38.9%
Q4 - 1:55MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)106
69.3%
106
30.7%
Q4 - 1:55MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound106
56.7%
106
43.3%
Q4 - 1:55MEMMISS Mayo 23' Jump Shot106
65.7%
106
34.3%
Q4 - 2:04MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)106
54.4%
106
45.6%
Q4 - 2:05MEMMISS Mayo Layup106
65.6%
106
34.4%
Q4 - 2:22DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)106
53.8%
106
46.2%
Q4 - 2:22DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)105
51.7%
106
48.3%
Q4 - 2:35MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
46.6%
106
53.4%
Q4 - 2:35MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)104
49.5%
105
50.5%
Q4 - 2:47DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Billups 12 AST)104
53.4%
104
46.6%
Q4 - 2:51DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)101
38.2%
104
61.8%
Q4 - 2:53DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)101
38.2%
104
61.8%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Balkman Layup101
29.3%
104
70.7%
Q4 - 2:57DENArthur BLOCK (5 BLK)101
29.1%
104
70.9%
Q4 - 3:14MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)101
37.9%
104
62.1%
Q4 - 3:29DENBillups 19' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)101
24.6%
104
75.4%
Q4 - 3:42MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P4.T9)99
25.6%
104
74.4%
Q4 - 3:57DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)99
18.1%
104
81.9%
Q4 - 3:57DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)98
17.6%
104
82.4%
Q4 - 4:05MEMGay 18' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Conley 10 AST)97
13.3%
104
86.7%
Q4 - 4:29DENBillups Traveling Turnover (P5.T18)97
17.7%
102
82.3%
Q4 - 4:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
24.6%
102
75.4%
Q4 - 4:39MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
22.3%
102
77.7%
Q4 - 5:01DENNene Layup (19 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)97
22.6%
102
77.4%
Q4 - 5:25MEMConley Driving Layup (8 PTS)95
17.2%
102
82.8%
Q4 - 5:49DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)95
22.1%
100
77.9%
Q4 - 5:59DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
12.7%
100
87.3%
Q4 - 6:01MEMMISS Arthur 8' Jump Bank Shot92
16.0%
100
84.0%
Q4 - 6:23MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
13.1%
100
86.9%
Q4 - 6:24DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
14.2%
100
85.8%
Q4 - 6:32MEMMayo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)92
17.0%
100
83.0%
Q4 - 6:45DENBalkman Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)92
12.9%
100
87.1%
Q4 - 6:49DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
16.9%
100
83.1%
Q4 - 6:50DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
14.0%
100
86.0%
Q4 - 6:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)92
16.8%
100
83.2%
Q4 - 7:01MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
19.3%
100
80.7%
Q4 - 7:19DENAnthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)92
16.1%
100
83.9%
Q4 - 7:28DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
10.1%
100
89.9%
Q4 - 7:30MEMMISS Warrick 6' Jump Shot89
9.3%
100
90.7%
Q4 - 7:51DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
7.6%
100
92.4%
Q4 - 7:51DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 288
7.1%
100
92.9%
Q4 - 7:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
7.7%
100
92.3%
Q4 - 7:52DENMISS Billups Layup88
6.4%
100
93.6%
Q4 - 8:03MEMMayo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)88
10.0%
100
90.0%
Q4 - 8:14DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)88
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 8:14DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 287
7.5%
100
92.5%
Q4 - 8:26MEMWarrick 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 9 AST)87
7.8%
100
92.2%
Q4 - 8:45DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)87
9.9%
98
90.1%
Q4 - 8:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
12.4%
98
87.6%
Q4 - 8:54MEMMISS Conley 12' Pullup Jump Shot87
11.6%
98
88.4%
Q4 - 9:14DENWarrick STEAL (2 STL)87
12.3%
98
87.7%
Q4 - 9:16DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
15.0%
98
85.0%
Q4 - 9:19DENHaddadi BLOCK (2 BLK)87
13.1%
98
86.9%
Q4 - 9:26DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
15.0%
98
85.0%
Q4 - 9:28MEMMISS Mayo 20' Jump Shot87
14.1%
98
85.9%
Q4 - 9:38DENMayo STEAL (2 STL)87
12.2%
98
87.8%
Q4 - 9:57MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)87
14.9%
98
85.1%
Q4 - 9:57MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
15.6%
97
84.4%
Q4 - 10:17DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)87
20.8%
96
79.2%
Q4 - 10:24DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 10:28MEMMISS Gay 8' Pullup Jump Shot84
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 10:48MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
11.7%
96
88.3%
Q4 - 10:51DENMISS Smith Driving Layup84
12.4%
96
87.6%
Q4 - 11:02MEMJaric 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haddadi 2 AST)84
16.3%
96
83.7%
Q4 - 11:15MEMJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
23.1%
93
76.9%
Q4 - 11:17DENMISS Smith 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
24.2%
93
75.8%
Q4 - 11:30MEMGay 7' Running Jump Shot (28 PTS)84
26.8%
93
73.2%
Q4 - 11:46DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)84
31.5%
91
68.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM81
22.8%
91
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
19.4%
91
80.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
20.4%
91
79.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
24.6%
91
75.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Warrick 17' Jump Shot81
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENSmith Running Layup (18 PTS)81
21.3%
91
78.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0MEMJaric 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)79
17.7%
91
82.3%
Q3 - 1:08DENBillups Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)79
26.1%
88
73.9%
Q3 - 1:08DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)78
25.8%
88
74.2%
Q3 - 1:08DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)77
25.4%
88
74.6%
Q3 - 1:16DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
19.0%
88
81.0%
Q3 - 1:20MEMMISS Warrick Running Layup76
18.2%
88
81.8%
Q3 - 1:31MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound76
16.4%
88
83.6%
Q3 - 1:32DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
17.1%
88
82.9%
Q3 - 1:47MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P1.T6)76
18.9%
88
81.1%
Q3 - 1:55DENSmith 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)76
16.3%
88
83.7%
Q3 - 2:11MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)73
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q3 - 2:19DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)73
18.2%
85
81.8%
Q3 - 2:43MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (26 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)73
21.0%
85
79.0%
Q3 - 2:46MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
24.3%
83
75.7%
Q3 - 2:49DENGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)73
25.3%
83
74.7%
Q3 - 2:57DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q3 - 2:58MEMMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot73
26.7%
83
73.3%
Q3 - 3:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q3 - 3:15DENAndersen Tip Shot (4 PTS)73
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q3 - 3:17DENMISS Anthony 12' Fadeaway Jumper71
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q3 - 3:34MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q3 - 3:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)71
30.3%
80
69.7%
Q3 - 4:02MEMMayo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)68
24.9%
80
75.1%
Q3 - 4:19DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)68
21.3%
80
78.7%
Q3 - 4:33MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
16.4%
80
83.6%
Q3 - 4:33MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 265
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q3 - 4:33MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q3 - 4:33MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.0%
79
82.0%
Q3 - 4:59DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)65
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q3 - 5:08MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)62
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q3 - 5:24DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)62
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 5:37MEMMayo 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)62
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q3 - 5:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q3 - 5:44MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot62
28.5%
73
71.5%
Q3 - 5:58DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
25.9%
73
74.1%
Q3 - 5:58DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 261
25.6%
73
74.4%
Q3 - 6:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
28.3%
73
71.7%
Q3 - 6:10MEMMISS Gasol 10' Running Jump Shot61
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 6:30DENArthur STEAL (4 STL)61
24.8%
73
75.2%
Q3 - 6:50MEMArthur Dunk (10 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)61
28.1%
73
71.9%
Q3 - 6:54MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
31.2%
71
68.8%
Q3 - 6:57DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup61
32.4%
71
67.6%
Q3 - 7:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
36.6%
71
63.4%
Q3 - 7:08MEMMISS Gasol Running Layup61
35.5%
71
64.5%
Q3 - 7:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 7:22DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
34.0%
71
66.0%
Q3 - 7:37MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)61
36.5%
71
63.5%
Q3 - 7:37MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
37.4%
70
62.6%
Q3 - 7:57DENAnthony Driving Layup (19 PTS)61
40.0%
69
60.0%
Q3 - 8:18MEMArthur Slam Dunk (8 PTS)59
37.5%
69
62.5%
Q3 - 8:21DENArthur STEAL (3 STL)59
40.8%
67
59.2%
Q3 - 8:36MEMConley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)59
44.7%
67
55.3%
Q3 - 9:02DENAnthony Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)59
49.3%
65
50.7%
Q3 - 9:06DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
45.7%
65
54.3%
Q3 - 9:07MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 157
45.2%
65
54.8%
Q3 - 9:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
49.3%
63
50.7%
Q3 - 9:23DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot57
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 9:39MEMGasol 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)57
53.0%
63
47.0%
Q3 - 9:52MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
56.5%
61
43.5%
Q3 - 9:54DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot57
57.7%
61
42.3%
Q3 - 10:09MEMMayo 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
61.0%
61
39.0%
Q3 - 10:14MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound57
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 10:14MEMMISS Gay Layup57
66.6%
59
33.4%
Q3 - 10:30DENAnthony 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
64.3%
59
35.7%
Q3 - 10:43DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
61.0%
59
39.0%
Q3 - 10:44MEMMISS Mayo 22' Jump Shot55
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q3 - 10:48MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
57.5%
59
42.5%
Q3 - 10:51DENArthur BLOCK (4 BLK)55
58.6%
59
41.4%
Q3 - 11:12MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)55
62.2%
59
37.8%
Q3 - 11:31DENJones Layup (3 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)55
58.6%
59
41.4%
Q3 - 11:37MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)53
55.4%
59
44.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM53
51.7%
59
48.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
53.5%
59
46.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENNene Tip Shot (15 PTS)53
53.5%
59
46.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot51
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0DENNuggets Rebound51
49.2%
59
50.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MEMMISS Conley 22' Jump Shot51
48.4%
59
51.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
46.6%
59
53.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENMISS Nene Layup51
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
49.2%
59
50.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0MEMMISS Mayo Layup51
48.4%
59
51.6%
Q2 - 1:06MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q2 - 1:08DENMISS Nene 20' Jump Shot51
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q2 - 1:27MEMConley 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)51
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q2 - 1:50DENNene Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)51
54.3%
57
45.7%
Q2 - 2:07DENNuggets Rebound49
51.8%
57
48.2%
Q2 - 2:07MEMMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot49
50.8%
57
49.2%
Q2 - 2:21DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T9)49
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q2 - 2:26MEMGay 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)49
51.7%
57
48.3%
Q2 - 2:49DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)49
54.8%
55
45.2%
Q2 - 3:05MEMRoss 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
49.9%
55
50.1%
Q2 - 3:32DENBillups 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
52.5%
53
47.5%
Q2 - 3:37DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
49.8%
53
50.2%
Q2 - 3:39MEMMISS Mayo 3PT Jump Shot44
48.7%
53
51.3%
Q2 - 3:54DENAnthony 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)44
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q2 - 4:03MEMRoss 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)42
44.7%
53
55.3%
Q2 - 4:19MEMRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q2 - 4:20DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 142
47.9%
51
52.1%
Q2 - 4:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
44.6%
51
55.4%
Q2 - 4:30MEMMISS Gay 16' Jump Shot40
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q2 - 4:51DENAnthony 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)40
41.4%
51
58.6%
Q2 - 5:05MEMMayo Layup (9 PTS)38
40.1%
51
59.9%
Q2 - 5:11DENMayo STEAL (1 STL)38
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q2 - 5:46MEMGay 19' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)38
45.8%
49
54.2%
Q2 - 6:04MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q2 - 6:06DENMISS Anthony 22' Jump Shot38
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q2 - 6:28MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)38
52.6%
47
47.4%
Q2 - 6:35DENBalkman Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)38
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q2 - 6:35DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
61.1%
44
38.9%
Q2 - 6:36MEMMISS Arthur Layup38
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 6:37MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q2 - 6:39MEMMISS Ross 21' Jump Shot38
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q2 - 6:50MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
57.8%
44
42.2%
Q2 - 6:51DENMISS Kleiza 10' Jump Shot38
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 7:06DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
61.7%
44
38.3%
Q2 - 7:08MEMMISS Ross 23' Jump Shot38
60.9%
44
39.1%
Q2 - 7:26DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
58.9%
44
41.1%
Q2 - 7:35DENNuggets Rebound38
61.7%
44
38.3%
Q2 - 7:35MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 7:35MEMMISS Arthur Tip Shot38
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 7:35MEMMISS Mayo 16' Jump Shot38
60.8%
44
39.2%
Q2 - 7:51DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 7:51DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
58.1%
44
41.9%
Q2 - 8:04MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
57.0%
44
43.0%
Q2 - 8:04MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
57.7%
43
42.3%
Q2 - 8:16DENSmith 21' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
59.7%
42
40.3%
Q2 - 8:26DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 8:28MEMMISS Jaric Layup34
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 8:38MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 8:39DENMISS Kleiza Layup34
55.1%
42
44.9%
Q2 - 8:45DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 8:46MEMMISS Arthur 15' Jump Shot34
56.1%
42
43.9%
Q2 - 9:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q2 - 9:05DENNene Tip Shot (9 PTS)34
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q2 - 9:07DENMISS Smith Layup32
50.1%
42
49.9%
Q2 - 9:27MEMArthur Layup (4 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)32
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 9:38DENBalkman Layup (4 PTS)32
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 9:39DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 9:41DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
50.1%
40
49.9%
Q2 - 9:53DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 9:54MEMMISS Mayo 21' Jump Shot30
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q2 - 10:09DENArthur STEAL (2 STL)30
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 10:18DENNuggets Rebound30
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 10:18DENArthur BLOCK (3 BLK)30
50.8%
40
49.2%
Q2 - 10:22MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
52.7%
40
47.3%
Q2 - 10:22MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)30
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 10:29MEMJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
55.2%
38
44.8%
Q2 - 10:31MEMMISS Warrick 15' Jump Shot30
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 10:39DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
55.2%
38
44.8%
Q2 - 10:39DENBalkman Layup (2 PTS)30
55.2%
38
44.8%
Q2 - 10:42DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 10:54MEMRoss 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)28
52.6%
38
47.4%
Q2 - 11:19DENSmith 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)28
58.1%
35
41.9%
Q2 - 11:39DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q2 - 11:40MEMMISS Jaric 22' Jump Shot26
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
53.0%
35
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound26
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 45' 3PT Jump Shot26
53.8%
35
46.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMGay 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENArthur STEAL (1 STL)26
59.1%
33
40.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0MEMJaric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)26
60.9%
33
39.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
59.6%
33
40.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)26
60.9%
33
39.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
65.9%
30
34.1%
Q1 - 1:00DENMISS Billups 12' Turnaround Bank Shot26
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q1 - 1:24MEMGay Slam Dunk (10 PTS)26
68.2%
30
31.8%
Q1 - 1:41DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)26
70.8%
28
29.2%
Q1 - 1:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
66.0%
28
34.0%
Q1 - 1:51MEMMISS Warrick 8' Jump Shot23
65.6%
28
34.4%
Q1 - 2:09DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
64.9%
28
35.1%
Q1 - 2:09DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
64.3%
28
35.7%
Q1 - 2:16DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q1 - 2:18MEMMISS Mayo 17' Jump Shot21
61.8%
28
38.2%
Q1 - 2:24DENWarrick STEAL (1 STL)21
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q1 - 2:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q1 - 2:33MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot21
61.8%
28
38.2%
Q1 - 2:51DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
60.6%
28
39.4%
Q1 - 2:51DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
60.2%
28
39.8%
Q1 - 2:51DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q1 - 2:53DENHaddadi BLOCK (1 BLK)19
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q1 - 3:14MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)19
58.8%
28
41.2%
Q1 - 3:14MEMHaddadi Slam Dunk (7 PTS)19
58.8%
28
41.2%
Q1 - 3:16MEMMISS Haddadi 9' Jump Bank Shot19
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q1 - 3:28DENAnthony 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
61.0%
26
39.0%
Q1 - 3:41MEMWarrick 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haddadi 1 AST)17
58.8%
26
41.2%
Q1 - 3:59DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
61.0%
24
39.0%
Q1 - 4:09MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 4:09MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 4:22DENMartin 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)14
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q1 - 4:42MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
57.3%
22
42.7%
Q1 - 4:42MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 212
57.9%
21
42.1%
Q1 - 4:58DENNene Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
57.2%
21
42.8%
Q1 - 5:17MEMConley Layup (2 PTS)10
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q1 - 5:21MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 5:24DENMISS Billups 8' Jump Bank Shot10
58.0%
19
42.0%
Q1 - 5:44MEMWarrick Dunk (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)10
59.6%
19
40.4%
Q1 - 5:50DENConley STEAL (1 STL)10
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 5:54DENJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 5:56MEMMISS Conley 20' Jump Shot10
63.0%
17
37.0%
Q1 - 6:17MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 6:18DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
62.8%
17
37.2%
Q1 - 6:20MEMHaddadi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
64.2%
17
35.8%
Q1 - 6:22DENAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 6:27DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 6:29MEMMISS Gay 19' Jump Shot8
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 6:43MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q1 - 6:44MEMMISS Haddadi 7' Jump Shot8
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 6:52MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q1 - 6:53DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot8
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 7:07MEMHaddadi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
60.7%
17
39.3%
Q1 - 7:07MEMMISS Haddadi Free Throw 1 of 28
61.2%
16
38.8%
Q1 - 7:20MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
60.4%
16
39.6%
Q1 - 7:21DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 28
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 7:21DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
61.9%
16
38.1%
Q1 - 7:31MEMHaddadi 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
60.7%
16
39.3%
Q1 - 7:34MEMHaddadi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 7:36MEMMISS Conley 16' Jump Shot7
64.0%
14
36.0%
Q1 - 7:56MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound7
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 7:56DENArthur BLOCK (2 BLK)7
63.1%
14
36.9%
Q1 - 8:22MEMArthur Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)7
64.9%
14
35.1%
Q1 - 8:33DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
66.8%
12
33.2%
Q1 - 8:35MEMGay 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)7
68.6%
12
31.4%
Q1 - 8:56DENNene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
70.4%
10
29.6%
Q1 - 9:15MEMHaddadi 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)5
69.6%
10
30.4%
Q1 - 9:34DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
71.4%
8
28.6%
Q1 - 9:34DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
71.0%
8
29.0%
Q1 - 9:48DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
69.6%
8
30.4%
Q1 - 9:50MEMMISS Arthur Layup3
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 10:06DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 10:06DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
68.3%
8
31.7%
Q1 - 10:06MEMMayo Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)1
67.4%
8
32.6%
Q1 - 10:15MEMGay Dunk (4 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)1
68.9%
7
31.1%
Q1 - 10:18MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
70.4%
5
29.6%
Q1 - 10:20DENArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)1
70.9%
5
29.1%
Q1 - 10:46MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)1
72.0%
5
28.0%
Q1 - 11:01MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 11:04DENMISS Jones Reverse Layup1
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 11:17MEMGay Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)1
76.4%
2
23.6%
Q1 - 11:21MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 11:23MEMMISS Gay 15' Step Back Jump Shot1
78.4%
0
21.6%
Q1 - 11:41MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 11:43DENMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 21
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 11:43DENJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
78.4%
0
21.6%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
77.6%
0
22.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.21 60.3%
MEM
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
34
53%
MEM
17
27
63%
Midrange
DEN
10
21
48%
MEM
17
47
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
MEM
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
Free Throws
DEN
28
34
82%
MEM
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony3567%17.5 / 26
J. Smith2166%10.5 / 16
Nene1968%9.5 / 14
C. Billups1869%9.0 / 13
K. Martin440%2.0 / 5
R. Balkman450%2.0 / 4
C. Andersen4100%2.0 / 2
D. Jones350%1.5 / 3
L. Kleiza325%1.5 / 6
A. Carter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay3068%15.0 / 22
O. Mayo1644%8.0 / 18
H. Warrick1662%8.0 / 13
D. Arthur1050%5.0 / 10
M. Gasol964%4.5 / 7
M. Conley836%4.0 / 11
H. Haddadi758%3.5 / 6
Q. Ross770%3.5 / 5
M. Jaric675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+15
-19
92
MEM
84
+13
-10
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.21 60.3%
MEM
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
103.4
DEN 115.6
MEM 116.0 +0.3
Pace
94.5
90.3
DEN 109.5 +25.7
MEM 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.2
DEN 13.2 +4.0
MEM 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.6%
DEN 54.6% +2.9%
MEM 51.7%
TO %
15.8%
15.6%
DEN 17.3%
MEM 10.2% +7.1%
ORB %
27.5%
25.9%
DEN 32.4% +6.2%
MEM 26.2%
FTrt
38.2
32.9
DEN 44.7 +15.6
MEM 29.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
49.7%
DEN 51.4%
MEM 53.7% +2.3%
STL %
9.1%
8.2%
DEN 6.3%
MEM 9.6% +3.3%
BLK %
9.7%
7.9%
DEN 5.4%
MEM 16.4% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
51.5%
DEN 60.3% +5.2%
MEM 55.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
55.3%
DEN 52.9%
MEM 63.0% +10.1%
Mid FG%
38.7%
40.9%
DEN 47.6% +11.4%
MEM 36.2%
3P %
37.1%
36.0%
DEN 42.9%
MEM 58.3% +15.4%
FT %
76.0%
75.6%
DEN 82.4% +2.4%
MEM 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
37.2%
DEN 44.7% +13.3%
MEM 31.4%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
45.3%
DEN 27.6% +27.0%
MEM 54.7%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.5%
DEN 27.6% +13.7%
MEM 14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points111109
Rebounds4336
Assists1922
Steals69
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)25 (2)
Field Goals37-7641-86
At-the-Rim FG18-3417-27
Midrange FG10-2117-47
2-Point FG28-5534-74
3-Point FG9-217-12
Free Throws28-3420-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
39.3
18
69%
5
12
2
0
6
2
0
5
7-9
78%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
36.5
19
68%
7
0
1
2
1
5
3
4
7-10
70%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
35.9
35
67%
5
2
0
0
3
3
1
4
8-8
100%
9-18
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
24.4
4
40%
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 225 · 28
11.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24
29.8
21
66%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
5-10
50%
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
23.6
4
50%
12
1
2
1
3
2
6
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
15.1
0
0%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
12.2
3
25%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
11.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
G · 6'3" 180 · 31
#13 · G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
43
19
6
4
19
0
12
31
28-34
82%
28-55
51%
9-21
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.