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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Timberwolves16%8893
6Hornets84%10194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.5
40.7
28.7
11
43%
4
4
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-8
38%
44%
1-4
25%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
35.9
34.2
17
50%
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
33.3
29.4
23
69%
11
0
0
0
1
1
4
7
11-13
85%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.8
31.9
31.9
10
45%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
41%
2-4
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
5.5
10.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.1
33.0
32.7
7
45%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
1-4
25%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.9
22.5
21.8
2
25%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
18.8
14.8
12
75%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
2-3
67%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.4
14.7
18.1
9
60%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
5-8
63%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.2
3.9
15.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
6.2
0
1-2
43%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.5
5.9
0
1-1
41%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 23.0
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.1
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.9
40.9
38.7
26
55%
4
10
5
3
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
9-19
8-15
47%
55%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.8
40.9
38.0
14
59%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.6
33.9
37.6
14
40%
8
3
0
1
0
4
3
5
8-10
80%
3-13
8-16
23%
51%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.3
28.8
6.5
12
75%
8
1
0
0
4
0
6
2
0-0
-
6-8
1-2
75%
55%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.8
18.7
19.8
6
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.2
29.3
27.9
5
30%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-5
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
15.8
12.2
6
104%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.6
14.8
5.4
8
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.3
9.8
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 34.0
7.1
7.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
4.8
0
1-1
46%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.9
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.