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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 18, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons23%84101
7Rockets77%94106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 29.1
55.0
39.4
12
31%
5
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
3-5
60%
3-15
6-12
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
51.4
34.8
14
44%
20
0
3
1
3
2
5
15
0-0
-
7-16
5-10
44%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.9
49.6
32.9
21
37%
5
10
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-7
71%
8-25
5-11
32%
45%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
45.4
22.2
24
77%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
4-6
67%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.0
42.4
19.4
9
51%
12
2
0
0
0
0
7
5
3-4
75%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.1
19.0
25.7
5
43%
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.2
17.8
19.4
10
42%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
43%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.7
7.9
9.1
6
61%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.9
1.4
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.1
25.7
1
5-10
46%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.5
9.2
0
1-2
46%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.7
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.9
47.3
31.8
14
47%
6
3
0
1
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.3
46.9
35.2
26
50%
4
2
0
2
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
10-20
4-9
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.5
45.0
33.9
31
63%
15
2
0
0
4
2
2
13
5-6
83%
13-22
7-13
59%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
44.4
33.1
3
80%
6
5
1
1
1
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.2
34.6
27.7
14
72%
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.0
24.5
21.2
9
57%
2
4
0
1
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.7
18.7
18.4
7
44%
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.8
18.3
7.3
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.2
6.1
7.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.7
4.3
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
9.5
0
1-2
48%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.5
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.