for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 20, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat52%9788
23Nets48%9696
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.2
39.2
36.0
27
50%
8
6
1
2
1
2
1
7
9-14
64%
9-18
8-16
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
32.9
33.3
10
56%
3
5
0
2
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.4
30.5
30.6
15
55%
2
4
1
1
4
0
1
1
3-4
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
25.7
27.9
5
32%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.8
11.1
22.4
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.2
25.9
22.5
17
72%
4
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
8-11
5-10
73%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
18.3
27.3
5
36%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
41%
1-6
17%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.3
17.4
15.8
2
17%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
16.4
7.9
3
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.8
13.8
11.2
4
67%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.5
8.7
18.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.5
9.6
0
1-2
44%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.3
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.9
38.0
28.4
10
56%
4
8
2
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
37.9
35.7
17
41%
9
8
1
1
2
2
2
7
5-6
83%
3-14
6-12
21%
48%
2-4
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 21.0
32.1
31.8
15
45%
7
0
0
1
2
3
3
4
7-8
88%
4-13
6-11
31%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 30.0
31.9
28.2
7
60%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
19.8
19.0
6
38%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
27.2
21.3
18
75%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
27.0
14.2
18
99%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
7-7
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
1-1
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
15.5
10.6
2
53%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
10.5
20.5
3
50%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
16.8
1
3-5
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
8.0
0
1-1
47%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.1
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.